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October 17, 2010 01:17 AM UTC

New Rasmussen Poll Shows Senate Race Within Margin of Error

  • 81 Comments
  • by: RealJessJohnson

(As we’ve said for more than a week now, the Buck rape case story is really hurting him – and voters haven’t even seen the case in a TV ad yet. – promoted by Colorado Pols)

From Rasmussen Reports:

Incumbent Democrat Michael Bennet and his Republican challenger Ken Buck are in a virtual tie in Colorado’s U.S. Senate race as the candidates prepare for a nationally televised debate on Sunday.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Colorado shows Buck with 47% support to Bennet’s 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer another candidate in the race, and another four percent (4%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

These findings move the race from Leans Republican to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. This is the closest the race has been in eight months of surveying.

As much as I hate to admit it, the attack ads against Buck and the recent Rape case hoopla has done considerable harm to Ken Buck’s support amongst women.  Although, I can’t be sure of this since I am not a platinum member of Rasmussen, I assume this is the case.  It looks like this Senate race will become even more expensive in the next two weeks.  Keep your seatbelt on, this is going to be a rocky ride.

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81 thoughts on “New Rasmussen Poll Shows Senate Race Within Margin of Error”

  1. The Colorado Pols/Progress Now/CoDA evil empire is smearing their way to another backstab of the people of Colorado!

    I will spend every waking moment of the next two weeks righting this wrong you have committed.

    1. The Senate campaign has been relatively honest – from both sides. Each is calling the other out on legitimate points. Yes this site has more people that favor Bennet than favor Buck – that’s life. But it’s neither or evil, it’s just individual preference.

    2. …your mother will let you go outside and play.

      Wow, that was one of the most illogical statements posted here.  (Excepting Beejer’s, of course.)

      Smear? Backstabbing the people of Colorado?

      Hey, it’s politics.  It’s hardball. It’s another Republican non sequitur.  

      1. it’s because he’s such a stand-up, staight-forward guy. And the Beej brags in a diary about how his candidate is still losing, but by less than before.

        But when Bennt closes the gap, it’s because of smear merchants and backstabbing. Never mind that Buck can’t keep his message consistant from one day to the next, making it seem like he doesn’t know his own stance on issues.

            1. You put up a big picture of an explosion and said “I get to gloat a little bit”.

              But since you can’t see the difference between pre-primary Buck and current Buck. I guess I can’t expect you to see the difference between reporting that poll numbers are getting and celebrating that you are losing.

                2. Let’s all talk like Yoda, it makes us feel wiser.

                  Rasmussen has actually polled this race before, and they showed Buck with a bigger lead. Hence the trend is that Buck is losing support.

                  RealJessJohnson admits it. Why can’t you?

                  1. A large lead in one poll, Ken had. Mmph. A small lead in another, he had. A margin of error, polls include. Jump around a bit, they do, when things are close. More than two polls, you need. Now get to Dagoba.

                    1. I’m sorry when is it good news when an incumbent is below 50% in all the polls?  Has Bennet led in any poll, despite the desperate scorched earth campaign strategy employed by him?

                    5. He polled at 5%, 5%, and then 2%. That shows that he lost 3% (although that’s not even clear, due to the margin of error), based on Bennet’s attack ads. It doesn’t show him continuing to trend down.

                    9. I’m a mathematician, dummy, I know what it means. Your sad attempts to keep up indicate that you have no more than a bachelors in math, if that. I would guess you probably never made it further than Calculus or Diff Eq.

    6. and is still going to bear Bennet by 5%. When the other side’s good news still has them losing, things are still good.  

      Let’s look at the big picture.  

      2008 absentee ballot requests by Dems lead Republicans by 20K.  

      This cycle Republican requests lead Dems by 45K.  

      Do you think those people are casting their votes for Bennet?  

      I don’t either.

            2. so maybe 18-19 days between the poll and voting.  But of course, some votes are already cast.  In 2008, 80 percent of the vote was cast before election day.

  2. Is a lot of voters took the view that we Democrats suck and need to be replaced. Advantage Ken Buck. But now they’re remembering how awfully the Republicans ran things. Advantage Michael Bennet.

    So if we can hammer home what Republican rule did to the country, then we’ve got a chance…

  3. Karl Rove and the Chamber have more to do with Buck’s drop in the polls than any attack ad from the Dem side.  Coloradans don’t want Karl Rove and the Chamber of Commerce telling them how to vote.

    3. Just out of curiosity, how many voters have you tried to contact? Calling? Knocking on doors?

      Lots of people here have been doing that stuff. Have you? If not, why not?

      1. goppussy are time wasters.

        Call friends and family and help get more yard signs out.  Early voting and mail in ballots are already in play but these state level races are going to come down to the end game and final GOTV efforts.  Nobody really wants the return of the failed policies of Republicans and the best way to avoid that is to crank up your individual GOTV efforts.

      2. In my house of many colors, we have been engaged in the GOTV.  The last activity was to call through and make sure that newcomers to the area had registered to vote in time,

        Now then, age and infirmity take their toll and do limit the walking. But we throw the money that we can. Also, we do the letters to the editor, which don’t get published, but I hope that they at least get read by someone in the various editorial departments. Oh yeh, I blog.

        I have a question for you.  I got an email from what I thought was Organizing for America. It told me that I should click on a link and get the name of one voter whom I was to call and encourage to vote.  However, when I hit the link, I got a message from my server saying that it could not verify the sender and there was a possibility that it was a phish.

        Have you heard anything along these lines.  I would be happier just calling OFA to check it out, but I have had no luck with trying to call campaigns, etc.  So any information would be appreciated.  

        The GOTV is important.  But, the failure of the Democratic Party to have a truth squad and/or to answer the obvious lies being told is outrageous and undermines the efforts of volunteers like you and me.

        1. I don’t think I have made it clear, recently, about my motivation.  I am getting this “what have you done” and “you don’t care about women’s rights, etc.” kind of questions.

          Let me clear.  My family has been hurt already by the republican crap in this election.  I see the fear and the defeat  and I am outraged.  I want the dems to win.  right now, they are losing because they are not fighting back.  

          Two immediate concerns:

          1) Anybody know what it is like to see a qualified kid not get a job and not be able to afford insurance because of a serious pre-existing condition, now in remission? The kid has a shot with the keep the kids on the parent’s insurance until 26 provision of Obamacare.  Buck does not support that; it may well get changed if he is in the Senate….I don’t know…but I do know the god damm sick feeling of “what are we going to do?”  Then, I come here and listen to the all this crap over a 5 year old case.  Nobody is talking about kids and cancer…cause it is not sexy.  What I am hearing, is “no problem”….because Obama will just veto any such provision….AND…how many years do you think it takes to get someone to 26?….and why do you think Obama will be back in the White House in two years?  And the SOMA is being passed out by the same crew that told us the tea party was a joke; that Tancredo was a joke; that MA would never give the senate seat which Kennedy held for years to a Republican…by the crew which said talk radio is passe and boyles is a joke.

          2) The whole 14th Amendment crap and the mean son of a bich tancredo who is part of the “let’s change the 14th amendement” and drive out the ones he decides are not sufficiently “acculturated.” .American born kids in our family..who do NOT have both parents as citizens….are now having their futures thrown into a political caldron…and what do I say to their parents..”don’t worry?”.. I am worried sick.

          I am pissed at the smug dems for whom this is some kind of video game.  I am pissed at the cowards…and I put Ritter right on top….who will not defend their votes or their policies….

          2. We all have our own good reasons for supporting our candidates. Trivializing what others feel because you think your concerns are the only important ones is just circular firing squad bullshit. We’re in this together, dwyer. Please stop picking fights until after we win this election. It’s too late for David, but maybe it’s not too late for you.

        2. usually, newspapers try to publish their letters in about the ratio they receive them.

          I.E. 12 pro bennet letters, 4 pro buck, the package will be 3-1 bennet.  So even if your’s isn’t picked to run, it can influence the mix.

        3. It’s quite possible that the certificate expired or was temporarily unobtainable, even if it wasn’t a phishing attempt. Browsers tend to err on the side of caution, but as long as you know that the links are actually pointing to the right place (e.g., a link to http://www.barackobama.com/blahblah rather than http://www.barackobama.hahafooledyou.bjwilson.83), I think it’s safe even with an error message like that. Maybe one of our more technically inclined people could answer more specifically.

          I’ve done my volunteering at the local Bennet/Polis office in Boulder, and they just give me a printed sheet.

          Glad to hear you’re working with us rather than just being defeatist. As for the truth squad and such, there are things like that. But Democrats can’t just tell the media what to say. Even if there are press releases and fact sheets, a right-leaning media in the end will say what it wants to say. You’re not the only one who’s noticed this.

          1. But, this is where I disagree with you. Democrats MUST get the message out. It is not enough to do a press release. My god, it is 2010.

            What about a press conference on the capital steps where Patti Waak, with a bull horn, answer the lies, one at a time….everyday at noon.  Any technokids. capture it on cellphone and upload to Facebook and UTube…..

            A million years ago, I said that dems had to go on republican talk radio and refute the lies.  I said that they had to be trained to deal with the bullying, etc.  They are always invited on and never respond…basically because they know they won’t be treated fairly….but there are ways to prepare for that

                  1. but with all the crap that gets posted about me I may get sick of it and stick to more rational blogs after Nov. 2nd. Especially the more that outings and harassment occur.

                    1. and then spent a week calling me “sexy penis” and another poster “pansy.”

                      Get over yourself.

                    2. In the first instance, you called yourself sexy penis first. And then you spent a whole thread lying about it until I posted a link to your comment, which still didn’t phase you. I suspect you’ll continue to deny reality. (Yes, s3xypen15 is not just a random combination of numbers and letters.)

                      In the second case I was also responding to attacks on my integrity.

                    3. Never understood this connection.

                      Knock off the gay-bashing. Seriously.

                      As for the other thing, it’s kind of funny that days later you still don’t get the joke.

                    5. was calling people pansies long before it came to have any connection with gays. You people need to stop appropriating words from the English language. Gay used to mean happy, too.

                    6. That’s right. “BJ” used to mean something before a certain blogger dragged it into the gutter. Damn those gays and their arch sense of word appropriation.

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