CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 10, 2010 10:27 PM UTC
37 Comments
Lamborn is as embedded in CD-5 as a colony of bedbugs in a crappy hotel. Ditto for Coffman in CD-6.
As we wrote above, it’s hard to say what these races might look like until redistricting is complete. But as the districts are currently constituted, a Democrat isn’t winning in CD-5 any more than a Republican is winning in CD-1. Doug Lamborn by himself isn’t unbeatable, but Doug Lamborn the Republican incumbent in a 2-to-1 Republican district is all but untouchable.
The guy lives in Evergreen. Can you smell “comeback”?
So it’s probably not worth the effort for Maes. We’re only half-joking.
getting solid advice on finance rules in suburban City Council campaigns. And who, on either side of the aisle, doesn’t know how badly Ed would crush Maes? Or maybe cartwheel right over him?
going from Aurora to Arvada, back and forth, back and forth,
I think his campaign was his only source of income.
It will be the first since 2000.
It’s an every 12 year kind of thing.
I’m registering as a Republican in Teller County and I’m taking on Doug Lamborn!
Because ya know what? The man ain’t CONSERVATIVE enough!
It’s RINO season! And Muhammad Ali Hasan is on a RINO hunt!!!!
Move to Woodland Park. There’d be a little less honky in their tonk.
…I’ve been to Woodland Park, my friend….
The Eggmendment 2012 to the Big Line.
They will be back!
A spermendment. Sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…
he he he he he he
What if, what if, what if Lady Di were deprived of a giant majority of Dem voters? Would people howl if Denver were split up, or would they appreciate the Dem voters being spread around the metro area more?
and we;ll re-elect Markey, Jammy;-)
Perhaps CD 4 could be given a bigger section of Boulder County. That would help the dems.
Sure, we could move a chunk of those Dems down to Arapahoe and Douglas counties. Even El Paso county! HD 1 will look like a tiny little pinpoint in central Denver with long blobby tentacles reaching south and southeast. Cool looking, but probably won’t happen.
is only 566k. Leaving Denver intact has a certain logic, but wastes Democrat votes. So pile on a heavily Republican 150k or so from the Burbs. The Denver-Douglas County barbell, anyone? Push enough marbles through the tubes and you can unite the City of Boulder with northern Boulder County in the 4th CD. Or maybe put Pueblo in the fourth,
Hey, if the Ds had won one more house seat, you would have seen some very creative engineering to create a permanent 4-3 majority or maybe even 5-2. As it is, I expect the current court-ordered blend to survive with minor changes — possiubly after another deadlock and court actions.
cool-looking, gerrymandered congressional districts never happen
they are not official but shold be close enough to get the general gist.
My ideal (which both sides would hate!):
CD1: Denver and Greenwood Village
CD2: Boulder, Broomfield and Weld
CD3: the remainder of western and southern Colorado
CD4: Adams, Larimer, and eastern plains
CD5: Pueblo and El Paso (that should set off some fireworks)
CD6: Douglas & remainder of Adams (Aurora moderating Douglas Co)
CD7: Jefferson, Park, and Clear Crrek.
By my count, 1 solid Dem (1), 1 Dem leaning (2), 1 solid GOP (3), 1 GOP leaning (5), and 3 toss ups (4, 6, and 7).
The true joy is only one county gets split up (Arap)
Had a bad experience at the Fair, did you?
would be a really obvious and weird discontinuity. On the other hand, Weld is the bane of every Dem forced to campaign there– just Democratic enough to raise hopes, but in the end a winning campaign loses Weld by as little as possible. Why land that in poor Polis’ lap?
would be Republican forever, putting both under solid GOP.
Pueblo and the Springs hate each other’s guts and would be a terrible fit. Community of interest? Hah! The Springs is considerably larger than Pueblo, thus ensuring Lamborn or someone like him forever.
Keep Pueblo in the 3rd to counteract crazy Mesa County and you have a competitive district, provided the Democrat is a bit on the conservative side. Take Pueblo out and it’s Republican for life.
Senate: of the 7 term limited seats, all but 2 are held by Dems and most are in contentious areas. It will be a tall order for them to hold them all. Reapportionment could help but only if heavily favorable to D’s
House: More promising for D’s, but again all comes down to reapportionment.
Saving grace: we seem to have a sequel to the “House Crazies” which could paint the GOP very unfavorably to voters.
Impossible he wins, Frazier was much more electable. But he should be added to the board.
And I think Coffman may want to run for Gov in 2014 instead of Senator.
He needs to make some money, and Congress pays double what the Governor makes every year. That’s a big consideration.
Besides, would you rather run against Mark Udall or John Hickenlooper? Assuming both run for re-election, Udall is probably the preferable opponent.
From a fundraising perspective alone, Hickenlooper is a problem for any Republican. It’s no secret that many of the big traditional GOP donors are friendly with Hickenlooper and supported him early in the race; unless Hick does something to really anger that group, they’re almost certain to support him again, which is a huge consideration given the low contribution limits for Governor. A lot can change in four years, but we’d guess that there won’t be a lot of top-tier Republican candidates who will be anxious to challenge Hickenlooper.
he’s bound to do something, unlike Ritter, and therefore people will be angry. He had republican support because it was an anti-republican vote. Everyone was mad at Tom, Dan, and Dick. And if you think Coffman is in it for the money, I’m guessing you’ve never met him.
Plus, Hickenlooper can screw him in re-districting. Coffman is loved by the establishment, and tea party. He also isn’t a guy that has gaffes. Udall will be an easier target, but who else can take on Hickenlooper? And if Obama is defeated and the public does like what Republicans are doing in Washington, then that still takes an effect on Hickenlooper (less than Udall of course).
I imagine Salazar could make a comeback in CD3. Is he interested?
Or will he take a position with Hickenloopers camp for some campaign downtime?
Perhaps he’ll get the itch to get back into politics after a few months, but we’d be shocked if he did anything other than just go back to his farm.