The discussable word today from Public Policy Polling:
Barack Obama’s opened up a 13 point lead on Mitt Romney in Colorado at 53-40. He’s gained 11 points in the state since December when he led just 47-45.
The formula for Obama’s gains is the same in Colorado as it is everywhere. He’s getting more popular and Romney’s getting less popular. In December only 45% of voters approved of the job Obama was doing to 50% who disapproved. Now he’s on positive ground with 50% giving him good marks to 47% who think he’s doing a poor job. The main thing that’s changed is Democrats really rallying around him. In December he was at 76/18 with them, but now it’s 89/8. The party is getting a lot more unified as the election comes closer.
Romney’s headed in the other direction. His net favorability has gone from – 18 (35/53) to an even worse – 29 (31/60). Romney had a healthy amount of appeal to Democrats earlier with 20% viewing him favorably but that’s now down to 11%. And he’s extremely unpopular with independents at 25/65…
Full memo is here. As with all such early polls, the biggest thing to take away is the spread between favorable and unfavorable ratings–in Colorado, particularly among the all-important independent voters. It’s very clear that the bruising Republican primary has taken its toll on Mitt Romney with our independents, and it’s going to take far longer to recover from this far underwater than it would to pull Barack Obama down to similar levels.
Assuming, of course, that there’s any way to do that.