President (To Win Colorado) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Biden*

(R) Donald Trump

80%

20%↓

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

90%

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

90%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(D) Adam Frisch

(R) Jeff Hurd

(R) Ron Hanks

40%

30%

20%

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert

(R) J. Sonnenberg

(R) Ted Harvey

20%↑

15%↑

10%

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Dave Williams

(R) Jeff Crank

(R) Doug Bruce

20%

20%

20%

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

90%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) Brittany Pettersen

85%↑

 

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(D) Yadira Caraveo

(R) Gabe Evans

(R) Janak Joshi

60%↑

40%↑

20%↑

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
May 29, 2012 05:55 PM UTC

Keating/PNA Poll: Obama 48%, Romney 44% in Colorado

  • 24 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

UPDATE: Will somebody let Dick Wadhams know that Politico is now referring to Colorado as “The Boulder State?” Wadhams should have a unique appreciation for this nickname change.

—–

Politico’s Maggie Haberman this morning:

As Mitt Romney heads to battleground Colorado this week, the Democratic-leaning firm Project New America is out with a poll showing President Obama with a slight edge in the Boulder State, [?–Pols] leading 48 percent to 44 percent.

The survey of 601 likely voters taken over three days last week also give Obama a big lead among registered unaffiliated voters, 57 percent to 30 percent for Romney.

From Project New America’s poll memo:

“A 27-point margin for the President among Unaffiliated voters is surprising,” said Jill Hanauer, President of Project New America. “Colorado elections are won among Unaffiliated voters, mostly in the suburbs of Denver. Mitt Romney has a steep hill to climb with this group.”

Obama also holds a commanding lead among the state’s fastest-growing demographic, Hispanic voters, among whom he leads 67-24.  Jason Leon, PNA’s Director of National Outreach, said, “Colorado Hispanics have been hit hard by the recession, but these numbers suggest that Mitt Romney’s economic message is not resonating. We’ve seen a significant movement from “undecided” towards Obama in the past year.”

The “gender gap” that fueled Senator Michael Bennet to a narrow victory in 2010 is relevant today, with Obama leading 51-40 among women.

Pollster Chris Keating said, “These numbers show it will be difficult for Romney to win Colorado, especially if Obama continues to appeal to women.”

The unaffiliated and Hispanic spreads, as well as the persistent Ken Buck gap” in women’s support for the abortion hard-line Republican candidate, are key bellwethers to watch and are indeed looking good for President Barack Obama if this poll is accurate. Politico is right to note, though, that Obama’s overall margin over Mitt Romney is right at the poll’s margin of error.

So needless to say, nobody gets to relax–most likely not until the second week of November.

Comments

24 thoughts on “Keating/PNA Poll: Obama 48%, Romney 44% in Colorado

    1. Along with boulders.  Thus we are also the Stoney Mountain State, or something like that…

      And there is always the ‘Welcome to Rocky Colorado…’ signs

  1. This is definitely a wakeup call to Dems. Most would have called Colorado for Obama based on the poll’s huge Indy numbers, the edge among women and the Hispanic landslide.  But Obama is losing white working-class Democrats by HUGE margins, not only in Colorado, but accross the country.

    As in the 2010 Bennet victory, GOTV is all-important in Colorado. But some of the other swing states may be more difficult for Dems.  

    1. The Supreme Court is going to rule on the Affordable Care Act.

      The economy and gas prices can go up or down.

      The debates with Obama and the liar side by side.

      As a starting point, I’d rather be ahead than behind and believe me Party Democrats know Colorado is a high stakes state that will be tough to win.

      It’s going to be exciting man and Democrats should welcome the challenge to explain why we’re better off than four years ago.

    2. What specifically has the President done to “lose the white working class Democrats by huge margins?

      I can easily see how the avalanche of red money this early has flooded the airwaves with bullshit, misinformation, and race baiting, dog whistle fringe red meat, and how that is directing clueless “unaffiliated”, reddogs, and faux fools, but how is it affecting working class Democrats?

      Is there a poll showing the President losing Democratic voters?

      What policies of his would be cited?

      I would think the 30,000 voter advantage reds have here, thanks in part to Gessler’s hijinks, would have mittens closer to even, maybe ahead, if the President’s losing Democrats.

      The “reagan Democrats defected long ago, racists for the majority, and a not completely white President won’t bring them back.

      So, who else?

      1. Obama is losing white working-class Democrats by HUGE margins.  It sounds scary but is it true and what is the underlying reason for this abandonment.

        The Sirota democrats I can understand.  Obama has governed as a centrist and the left fringe is outraged that he hasn’t done their every bidding.

        1. As for the “Sirota Democrats”, they’ll vote for the President over mittens, but maybe won’t be enthused enough to advocate for him.

          Honestly, I don’t think there’s  poll showing loss of white working Dem’s.

          I think it’s mythical like Milwaukee Mayor Barrett’s “war on guns”, “Obama hates veterans”, and “mittens knows how to create jobs”.

          But if it’s repeated enough, perception becomes reality.  

      2. thanks in part to Gessler’s hijinks

        Gessler has had nothing to do with the edge Republicans have in state voter registration. His “hijinks” have been around campaign finance rules, whether inactive voters get ballots, and some proposals that might affect turnout this fall but have had zero effect on voter registration to this point.

        Proportionally, more Republicans voted in 2010 and 2011 than Democrats or unaffiliated voters, so they didn’t deactivate at the same rate. There was also a vigorously contested Republican presidential race, which probably led to more Republicans registering to vote over the last six months.

        1. As in mail in ballots, or the lack of being able to vote with them should a person have sat out the ’10.

          Inactive!

          “Subjectively”.

          That’s a first…………EVER!

          Zero effect? Hardly.

          Precinct changed during redistricting?

          Inactive!

          And the person isn’t told so!

          It’s subjective as well, with “U” and “D” pulled, not “r”.

          Try this with somebody else. Suthers and Gessler are rigging this thing, whether you want to deal with it or not.  

          1. Seriously, I’m trying to make sense of what you’re saying.

            No doubt Gessler will do his best to make it harder for Obama supporters to vote this fall. But what does that have to do with the state’s current voter registration advantage for Republicans? That total includes both active and inactive voters.

            1. I’m ok with my voter suppression theory, but you’re right that there is a republican edge in registered voters to begin with.

              Sorry I muddied the waters, I was too quick to jump.

  2. Rush Limbaugh is saying some crazy shit on the radio right now, which means the Dems are completely hapless !

    How could we be so pompous to expect we could win against this tidal wave of idiotic nonsense anyway.  Its unstoppable, and brilliant.

    Its over.

  3. For example:

    1) Was this all voters or most likely to vote?

    2) What was the result among white males?

    3) Where is the Republican strength?

Leave a Comment

Recent Comments


Posts about

Donald Trump
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Lauren Boebert
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Yadira Caraveo
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado House
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado Senate
SEE MORE

238 readers online now

Newsletter

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!