Breaking down the release of today’s latest Purple Strategies “Purple Poll” of swing states including Colorado, where in line with previous results, a very close race is indicated:
Purple Predictor States: Obama holds slim leads in Virginia and Colorado, while Romney leads in Florida and has moved up in Ohio.
Since our last poll, President Obama has improved his position in Virginia (49% to 46%, up 1 point from April) and Colorado (48% to 46%, tied at 47% in April). Mitt Romney has expanded his lead from 2 points to 4 in Florida (49% to 45%)…
We were a little confused to see this same Purple Strategies poll represented by Allison Sherry of the Denver paper today as evidence that GOP candidate Mitt Romney is “gaining on Obama in Colorado,” since this poll appears to show the opposite result. Sherry is erroneously comparing the latest Purple Strategies poll, with its unique methodology, to Public Policy Polling’s results showing a much bigger lead for Obama in April.
Without wading into the accuracy of either poll, we’d suggest to the normally spot-on Sherry that these trends are best understood by not introducing an apple into a series of oranges.