Obama Improves Slightly In Colorado In “Purple Poll”

Breaking down the release of today’s latest Purple Strategies “Purple Poll” of swing states including Colorado, where in line with previous results, a very close race is indicated:

Purple Predictor States: Obama holds slim leads in Virginia and Colorado, while Romney leads in Florida and has moved up in Ohio.

Since our last poll, President Obama has improved his position in Virginia (49% to 46%, up 1 point from April) and Colorado (48% to 46%, tied at 47% in April). Mitt Romney has expanded his lead from 2 points to 4 in Florida (49% to 45%)…

We were a little confused to see this same Purple Strategies poll represented by Allison Sherry of the Denver paper today as evidence that GOP candidate Mitt Romney is “gaining on Obama in Colorado,” since this poll appears to show the opposite result. Sherry is erroneously comparing the latest Purple Strategies poll, with its unique methodology, to Public Policy Polling’s results showing a much bigger lead for Obama in April.

Without wading into the accuracy of either poll, we’d suggest to the normally spot-on Sherry that these trends are best understood by not introducing an apple into a series of oranges.


Full story: Obama Improves Slightly In Colorado In “Purple Poll”

22 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. JeffcoBlueJeffcoBlue says:

    Disappointing for Allison Sherry. Judging from the eagerness of Chuck Plunkett to retweet her misleading headline, I think I can guess who’s responsible.

  2. Moderatus says:

    Obama is still not ahead by any big margin. So what if she didn’t read the first poll. There will be a thousand polls. I’ll bet you the TRAJECTORY is right! Obama is failing.

    • ArapaGOPArapaGOP says:

      Yes he is. I think even the Colorado Pols sheep are getting demoralized.

      • Duke Coxdukeco1 says:

        you would be wrong about that, loser.

        Your political power is waning and your world view is poisonous. You and your ilk are about to be tossed in the dustbin of history.

        You espouse hatred and discrimination. You support division and acrimony. You are an endangered specie… hence your panic.

        Sooner or later, the arc of history will render you an irrelevent footnote in the history of excremental politics.

        I just hope it happens while I am alive to see it…and gloat.

        • GalapagoLarryGalapagoLarry says:

          LOL: excremental politics. I could only find excrementitious. Both appropriate, however.

        • RegisteredRepublican says:

          You do understand that millions of Americans repudiated the actions of the Obama administration and the congressional Democrats, in 2010, by giving the GOP a net gain of 65 seats in the House, which included defeating 52 Democratic incumbents, and electing the Republicans to six previously Democratc held seats, including toppling two incumbents?

          You really think they are ready to embrace the Dems again?

          According to the CNN/ORC International survey, 51% of Americans say they oppose the health care law, while 43% say they favor it. CNN – June 8th

          55% Support Repeal of Obama’s Health Care Plan

          Even If It Survives the Court, the Health Care Law Is Doomed By Scott Rasmussen

          Monday, May 28, 2012

          Most voters still want to repeal President Obama’s national health care law as they have consistently in regular surveys since it was passed by Congress over two years ago.

          The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 55% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care law while 39% are at least somewhat opposed.

          Those figures include 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 25% who are Strongly Opposed.  

          Election 2012: Colorado President

          Colorado: Obama 45%, Romney 45%

          Related Articles

          Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 47%

          Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

          Core Four States: Obama 46%, Romney 43%

          Voters Think Obama, Dems More Likely To Raise Taxes, Spending Than Romney, GOP

          52% See Romney As Mainstream, 45% Say Same of Obama

          Thursday, June 07, 2012

          President Obama and Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the presidential race in Colorado.

          A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows both the president and his likely Republican challenger receiving 45% support in the Centennial State. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided.  

          The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on June 6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

          I know you hate to admit it, but there is a lot of the 99% who are voting against the liberal agenda… and there is little reason not to believe that they won’t do it again in November.

          • DavidThi808DavidThi808 says:

            What we really are at present is very evenly divided. And both sides support policies that are incompatible with other policies.

            The big problem is that while the Democrats have shown a willingness to compromise, the Republicans in D.C. have not. And that has brought our usually sclerotic system to a complete standstill.

            • RegisteredRepublican says:

              I’d be willing to give it a try.

              New High: 41% Favor One-Party Rule in Washington, D.C.

              Related Articles

              Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 37%

              Voters Think Obama, Dems More Likely To Raise Taxes, Spending Than Romney, GOP

              Just 7% Say Congress Doing Good Or Excellent Job

              50% Trust Republicans More on Economy

              Thursday, June 07, 2012

              Partisan feelings are at an all-time high this election year: More voters than ever like the idea of one party running the whole show in Washington, D.C.

              A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 41% of Likely U.S. Voters think it’s better for the country with one political party in charge of both the White House and Congress. Thirty-four percent (34%) disagree and feel the country is better off with each branch of government being run by a different party. One-in-four voters (25%) are undecided.

              The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters U.S. Voters was conducted on June 3-4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

              • raymond1 says:

                … other than that you and Lib drink the same kool-aid.

                • RegisteredRepublican says:

                  That most writers here think Dems can do no wrong and all Republicans are evil.  I don’t think any poll, or fact, could convince you otherwise.  That’s why we have elections.

                  In 2010, voters, across the nation, saw fit to boot out boatloads of Congressional Democrats… and that wasn’t because they thought Obama and his party was doing a good job.  

                  I think 2012 will show you the electorate is not finished.  Like it or not, a majority of Americans really want Obamacare repealed and they are not happy about the economy.  

                  Obama might be re-elected, but the country will never give him both houses of Congress again… just like they didn’t with Bill Clinton after two years of his presidency.      

            • GalapagoLarryGalapagoLarry says:

              Republicons not only are not willing to compromise, they’ve actively sworn to bring down our duly elected government. From day one. July 20, 2009. Conley, Boener, Thune, Paul, DeMint, etc., etc., etc., and biggy Republican political operatives swore to obstruct and to defeat the new administration at every — every — turn. No matter what. National fiscal stability? Obstruct. Fair pay for women? Obstruct? National security? Obstruct. Executive appointments? Policies they supported just a few years previously? Defeat and obstruct. They’ve carried out their oath. To a man. Look at the record.

              That’s not merely not a “willingness to compromise”. It’s near-treason against the American people and their democratically elected government.

          • GalapagoLarryGalapagoLarry says:

            And on the other side: millions. a lot.

            Cute, RR, but the coming election will not be solely on Romney/ObamaCare. Nor was the last one. As for Rasmussen polls: what can I say?

            By the way, where did you get those boxes — FedEx or the Big Brown?

      • Libertad says:

        The mutual agreement society here at Pols has not been able to maintain that Obama mojo.

        It really started to go down hill when Obama was awarded the Nobel Peace prize after doing nothing

        • RegisteredRepublican says:

          but it really wasn’t Barack Obama’s fault he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.  It wasn’t like he campaigned for it.  I suspect he was shocked — and a bit embarrassed — by being awarded the prestigious award shortly after being inaugurated president.

          But teachers across the nation were mortified.  All the times we’ve told our students that you actually need to do something before you start reaping honors, and then the Nobel Peace Prize Committee decides to award it to the president based on what he said he was going to do.

          I cannot help but wonder what the members of that committee thought when Obama ordered the aerial bombings, in Libya, that didn’t even have congressional approval.  

          • Libertad says:

            Proud as a fucking peacock.

            Our rookie President needs to be sent down to single A.

            • Duke Coxdukeco1 says:

              for either of you to understand the worldwide sigh of relief that was breathed when George Bush departed Washington D.C.

              Around the world, people understood that, had the Cheney/Rumsfeld military machine been allowed to continue its’ brutal occupation of one mid-east country after another, it would have eventually led to a much larger conflagration, pushing us inexorably toward disaster.

              The candidacy and election of Barack Obama changed the course of history. The Nobel prize committee recognized a truth you cannot and will never see.

              • Gray in Mountains says:

                duke is right, the world breathed a sigh of relief. A former lover in Germany called me to say thank you “for saving America for the world”. It made me cry. I said “you’re welcom, glad to accomodate. When are you coming to see me”

      • MADCO says:

        Romney doesn’t win.

        Put up or…smell the glove.

    • GalapagoLarryGalapagoLarry says:

      Your TRAJECTORY ! (What, no boldface?): Somebody dropped an apple into your orange basket, so now you’ve got more oranges? Count ‘em again.

  3. JeffcoBlueJeffcoBlue says:

    Very disappointing, Allison.

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