A pair of polls out today shed little light on the state of the race in Colorado. The first, a Presidential poll by the House of Ras puts Romney up by 2. The second, by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, shows a very narrow and yet very open race for Colorado’s 6th Congressional District, with 19% undecided in a 3-point race with Coffman in the lead.
Rasmussen has had a long run of barely-believable polls this cycle, often putting Romney in a narrow lead while other pollsters, such as PPP, Ipsos, NBC, and even a more pessimistic Gallup track demonstrating the opposite. For example, aside from a single instance put out by the green Purple Strategies Poll in April, Rasmussen has been the only pollster to not show Obama leading by any margin in the state. The Purple Poll redeemed itself somewhat showing the President up by an average of 1.5 points, more in line with the consensus which states that Obama is up, but not by much compared to 2008. Ras, on the other hand, has headed in the opposite direction.
Joe Miklosi, in the meantime, has an advantage over his opponent: 29% name recognition. Alright, so it isn’t fantastic news, especially with the election just 50-some days away. However, if he can build up that name recognition, he could take advantage of another unfortunate number for his opponent: at 83% name recognition, over 25% of voters have a negative view of Mike Coffman as compared to 36% who view him favorably. In a district that pulled 54% of the Obama vote in 2008 (very similar to the state’s overall numbers) the Obama ticket will do nothing but bolster Miklosi’s opportunity here, but without some ground work on his own behalf, it is far from a sure thing.
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