New Poll Shows Pace, Tipton in Dead Heat

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by: Colorado Pols

According to results of a poll released today by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), Sal Pace is running neck-and-neck with incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Tipton. From a news release:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee today released a new Grove Insight poll that shows Sal Pace (CO-03) and Congressman Scott Tipton statistically tied. Despite being an incumbent, Congressman Tipton garners only 42 percent in the initial head to head vote while Pace is close behind with 39 percent.

Almost half, 46 percent, give Congressman Tipton a negative evaluation of his time in office and only 37 percent approve.

Anytime a poll is conducted by a partisan organization, you have to take the results with a certain amount of salt grains. But it’s unlikely that the numbers would be significantly different in either direction depending on the pollster.

9 thoughts on “New Poll Shows Pace, Tipton in Dead Heat”

ClubTwitty says:

October 3, 2012 at 6:40 pm

There is very little enthusiasm for Tipton.

What happens when Casida is in the mix I wonder? GJ Results–which likes to image itself as Mesa County’s ‘original’ Tea Party–has endorsed Tisha.

Then there is this…which–although not scientific–shows some traction on Tisha’s behalf. http://electionsmeter.com/poll…

So, if it is this close…a couple of points siphoned off to Casida can matter.

Go Tea Party!

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BlueCat says:

October 3, 2012 at 6:49 pm

3 point deficit “statistical tie”. Those hardly ever pan out for the one trailing. Casida would have to take a much bigger chunk than 3rd party candidates usually do to turn that around. I would guess that 19% who don’t go for either already includes Casida supporters along with undecideds if Casida wasn’t included in the poll.

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1. Diogenesdemar says:
  
  October 3, 2012 at 7:00 pm
  
  I don’t know if we can underestimate the allure a protest vote has for the batshit, aluminum foil, and tri-cornered hat crowd of Mesa County. You may be projecting a bit from your semi-sane locale.
  
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  1. ClubTwitty says:
    
    October 3, 2012 at 7:15 pm
    
    But I may mail a check to Casida.
    
    Still, the TeaPartiers had great hope for the Cowboy Colonel two years ago and he only managed to barely get double digits in the primary.
    
    It is still a one-party town (as the probable election of Jared Wright will demonstrate).
    
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  2. dukeco1 says:
    
    October 3, 2012 at 7:26 pm
    
    Don’t underestimate the blind vituperation of the guanopsychotic hordes in Mesa County.
    
    There is a real power struggle going on in Happy Valley. Both sides are imbued with a heapin’ helpin’ of self-righteous fervor.
    
    Sal has a real chance.
    
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    1. parsingreality says:
      
      October 3, 2012 at 8:53 pm
      
      From the lexicon of our most intellectual prez, George Bush.
      
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      1. dukeco1 says:
        
        October 3, 2012 at 10:15 pm
        
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  3. Gray in Mountains says:
    
    October 3, 2012 at 8:27 pm
    
    there are NO signs in Lake County for Pace. Only a few for Tiptoe. Sal, your campaign has my contact info, search Lake and call those in your contacts. I’ll be the guy who will say send me 20.
    
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OrangeFree says:

October 3, 2012 at 9:13 pm

…which alone doesn’t give much weight to the numbers.

However, if it’s anything like the Dtrip poll I got last night about Perlmutter/Coors, it’s a fair poll but a tad worrisome that Pace is behind.

DCCC Poll for 7th District, just to show what I got:

Q1 – Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Ed Perlmutter

Q2 – do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Joe Coors

Q3 – Are you Very Likely/Somewhat Likely but could change your mind /Not Likely to vote for Ed Perlmutter

Q4 – Are you Very Likely/Somewhat Likely but could change your mind /Not Likely to vote for Joe Coors

Q5 – did you vote for Barack Obama or John McCain in the last election

Q6 – demographic question

Q7 – Party affiliation

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