CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 06, 2014 11:34 AM UTC
32 Comments
I think the Independents will be the key.
Buck beats Udall among Independents 44-36.
37% of Independents think Udall should be reelected.
Obama is very unpopular and voting with him 99% of the time in 2013 kind of makes it hard to seperate himself.
blah blah blah losing independents, blah blah blah Obama unpoular.
Still beating all Republicans this far out from the election. That's the salient detail you keep willingly glossing over.
On another note – Udall can't vote with Obama 99% of the time. Obama doesn't have a vote in the Senate. How can you people expect to run the government when you don't even know how it functions? /sarcasm.
And clearly just make this stuff up anyway,
The hypocrisy of the crazy radical right. Accusing Udall of voting with his party most of the time when the republicans do the same exact thing. Does anyone think that Ken Buck wouldn't vote with his party most of the time if he was senator for CO? You know he would, so you gotta laugh at the radical right and their hypocritical claims. The right don't want to admit that Udall and Hick are beating their GOP challengers, so naturally they deflect and bring up independents instead. Why don't the GOP want to admit that their candidates are doing much worse with women voters than Udall and Hickenlooper are?
Remember the poll where Hick's ahead with voters over all in every head to head race even though he doesn't have the advantage with your key indies. Here again, despite your key indies, Udall is ahead by at least a few points in every head over all, if only by a little at this point in time. So you can repeat your indies mantra all you want. These figures show that even a small improvement among indies would widen Udall's head to head to head leads and even the present indie numbers are failing to erase those head to head leads. I'd definitely wait until the election season really gets off the ground before doing a victory dance, if I were you, which, thank God, I'm not.
Moron Andrew, if you look at the polls, you republicans are MORE UNPOPULAR than Obama.
Who is doing a victory dance?
Pols has Udall with 5-1 odds.
That is a victory dance.
I see it as 50-50.
Probably why you're not a paid political consultant.
The second half to this poll makes me wonder if the governor's race is really that tight.
I just can't credit a poll that puts Randy Baumgartner anywhere near a lead.
I think everbody is having a little trouble with that one.
Oops. Commented on this in the open thread before I saw this one. But AC said that young people (18-29) were against Udall. Not true. 37%-23% favorable, but 37% say they don't know enough about him yet. Outreach needed!!!
Don't worry. There will be plenty of ads all over all media to reach that 37%. I don't see any way for any possible ad to make any of the R alternatives more attractive to the majority of that 37% than what can easily be accomplished in Udall ads.
Mama you let your son's grow up to be Republicans. he he.
Buck vs. Udall in 18-29 year demo, Buck leads Udall 42-38.
It is not about getting your message out. They heard your message did not like it.
Seems like the young don't like subsidizing Ralphie's health insurance.
They only have to do it for 10 months. Then I go on Medicare and they can subsidze me even more. You can subsidize me too. Eat shit and die.
Pretty sure Ralphie paid in all his life and has paid his fair share of what the public picks up when those young people get sick and can't pay.
Yep.
My son and daughter are not Republicans. I see your Buck vs. Udall matchup among the 18-29 year olds, and I'll raise you one. From the same poll, young people feel that Udall is handling his job well:
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 45% 19% 79% 40% 40% 51% 49% 46% 43% 45% Disapprove 41 64 9 47 49 32 34 35 46 46 DK/NA 14 17 12 13 11 17 17 19 10 9And check out how they feel about raising the minimum wage and immigration reform. Also, look at the millenial generation (30-49). Much better informed than the younger voters, and more liberal in their views.
And the Baumgardner thing: Any Republican up against Udall gets 39-42% versus his 45%. All that tells you is that Republican voters will fall in line with whomever the Party puts up. Nothing special for the 'stache to rejoice over.
What I see from both polls is: lots of angry males out there. And, given the demographics of CO, that means: lots of angry white males.
As a group, women approve of Udall. Indeed, they would approve of just about any big government liberal, especially those with a youthful smile and a full head of hair. Women more than men consider security more important over liberty. However, I suspect there is much less approval for Udall among married women … "and that's the way it is", as Walter Cronkite would say at the end of the evening news.
By the way, I'm married and have three grown daughters.
And you’re sleeping in the garage tonight, right?
Naw … they're don't read political blogs, and they think I'm doing cross word puzzles.
Well, I'm sure they'd be thrilled to know you have so much respect for them.
How about women as a group have more empathy, humanity, and critical intellect than a given group of males? My adjective string beats your adjective string. Neither has any empirical evidence, but hey…
In case you couldn't tell, I don't buy the whole "Women need security more than liberty" rationale, nor the implication that we are dazzled by a senator's looks. Republicans do keep putting out those "good hair" guys, and women keep voting them down.
See: Mitt Romney Ken Buck, Randy Baumgardner (hey, he even has a beaucoup facial hair bonus), Dan Quayle, etc.
On the liberal side, Ed Rendell and Joe Biden are both balding, but that hasn't lessened their political impact, nor appeal to female voters. Same with Jerry Brown of CA.
Bottom line, women voters are not a "bloc" in your sense – our opinions vary widely, even within a political party. But we do tend to pay more attention to policy than follicles.
I noticed something very important in this poll and the poll from yesterday about Hickenlooper. Both Udall and Hickenlooper are doing much better with women than the conservatives are and there are more women voters in the country then men. Is anyone surprised that the GOP are doing terrible with women voters? I am not because I know there are a lot of women out there who are disgusted with the GOP and their war on women and with the GOP trying to take away their rights.
I noticed somthing very important in this poll and the poll from yesterday about Hickenlooper. Both Udall and Hickenlooper are doing much worse with men than the conservatives are and the split in men to women voters in relatively close. Is anyone surprised that the Dems are doing terrible with men voters? I am not because I know there are a lot of men out there who are disgusted the with the Dems and their war on the economy and free enterprise and with the Dems trying to take away their rights?
Udall should obviously say "bipartisan" like a million times between now and November and he should tell everyone how much he wants a Grand Bargain to Cut Social Security………..NPR is still piming it, he could too!
Buck may be a smidgeon ahead of Udall at the moment, but Buck hasn't started campaigning yet. He'll manage to swallow both feet in record time. He's guaranteed to say something stupid and patronizing about women. He just can't help himself. it's in his nature.
Looking at the 2014 U.S. Senate race in Colorado, Sen. Udall gets 45 percent to 42 percent for Republican District Attorney Ken Buck. – See more at: http://coloradopols.com/diary/54073/latest-u-s-senate-q-poll-shows-tightening-race#comment-537995
The point seems to be "don't vote republican" because their policies hurt America…simple…
If Dem policies helped American they wouldn't have to lie about them. You can keep . . . period.
Dobra drukarnia poznań tanio oraz przyjemnie!