Poll: Hickenlooper Pulling Away from Rest of Field

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is out with some new numbers in Colorado for both the race for Governor and U.S. Senate.

Is there room for a competitive candidate?

Is there any room for a competitive candidate?

Things are largely unchanged in the race for Senate, even with the inclusion of Rep. Cory Gardner in the race, but it's the fight for the Governor's Mansion where the numbers have really shifted:

John Hickenlooper's approval rating is back on positive ground at 48/41, after slipping into negative territory on our December poll. Hickenlooper's also back to having double digit leads over all of his potential Republican opponents. Bob Beauprez comes closest at 48/38, followed by Scott Gessler at 48/36, Tom Tancredo at 50/36, Greg Brophy at 48/33, and Mike Kopp at 49/32. Hickenlooper's lead over the four Republicans included in the December poll has increased from an average of 8 points to an average of 14 points.

The Republican clown car is close to bursting with Bob Beauprez now part of the field. With the State Party Convention just a few weeks away (April 12), there isn't any room left for another Republican candidate — even if they could find someone more competitive than the current crop of GOP contenders. The newest PPP poll reflects that reality, with voters acknowledging that Gov. John Hickenlooper can start to breathe a little easier. Hickenlooper's 48% approval rating isn't steller by any means, but it's all relative when it comes to campaign season; the Republican with the highest favorability rating is Tancredo, at just 30%.

30 Community Comments, Facebook Comments

  1. Progressicat says:

    Should Bob have two sets of polling numbers depending on which way he goes on any given issue?

  2. DawnPatrol says:

    So, IOW, Gardner at this point polls no better than guaranteed-to-lose bagger Buck did a month ago.

    Of course this is before all the filthy fascist Koch money does what it can to rough Mark up. Still, the preliminary numbers are not good for the CO GOP.

    As for Hick, I've always felt he'd be fine in the end. And he will be.

    • Andrew Carnegie says:

      DP, you are nuts.

      An incumber polling in the low to mid 40's 8 months out is in deep trouble in most years.  In this election cycle he is in very deep trouble.

      • MichaelBowmanMichaelBowman says:

        I'll take that bet.

      • exlurker19 says:

        Is an incumber any relation to a cucumber?  Only if you are a Republican, apparently.

      • Normally, yes. That's because the challenger is often a relative unknown with few political burdens compared to the incumbent. But Gardner, according to the PPP poll, already has solid name recognition and worse favorables than Udall. (This stands to reason since he's a Tea Party Republican in the House – the single worst thing you can be in polling for reputation; compared to his fellow Tea Partiers, Gardner does reasonably well.)

        • DawnPatrol says:

          Unlike Udall, Gardner has yet to face so much as a dollar's worth of the massive, sustained negative blitz headed his way from the Udall campaign, the Democratic Party, and outside groups. Gardner's favorables have nowhere to go but down — possibly precipitously — once Coloradans find out who he really is, and to whom he's beholden….

  3. VoyageurVoyageur says:

    "An incumber polling in the low to mid 40's 8 months out is in deep trouble in most years."

     We all make typos, but this one made be laugh.  I think such an "incumber" isn't so much in deep trouble as sliced up as part of a chef salad, maybe with a few radishes and a hard-boiled egg added.

    An incumber polling in the low to mid 40's 8 months out is in deep trouble in most years. – See more at: http://coloradopols.com/diary/55603/poll-hickenlooper-pulling-away-from-rest-of-field#comments
    An incumber polling in the low to mid 40's 8 months out is in deep trouble in most years. – See more at: http://coloradopols.com/diary/55603/poll-hickenlooper-pulling-away-from-rest-of-field#comments
    An incumber polling in the low to mid 40's 8 months out is in deep trouble in most years. – See more at: http://coloradopols.com/diary/55603/poll-hickenlooper-pulling-away-from-rest-of-field#comments
  4. HarleyHarley says:

    Well, you can now cancel Owen Hill's numbers—he just dropped out.

  5. ModeratusModeratus says:

    These numbers are meaningless. Scott Gessler is the Republican with the fundraising power and reputation to beat Hickenlooper, and this Democrat poll doesn't change anything. Beauprez is skating on name recognition, nothing more.

  6. notaskinnycooknotaskinnycook says:

    Preibus Predicts 2014 Tsunami                                         http://www.politico.com/story/2014/03/reince-priebus-2014-prediction-104762.html%20Priebus%20predicts%202014%20GOP%20tsunami

    And Dems wonder where they get it from…

     

  7. davebarnesdavebarnes says:

    I support Governor Frackenlooper all the [one] way.

  8. Sunmusing says:

    Why is Gardner generating such talk in the national areana?  Is he that "good"? or is it that no one really knows how corrupt he really is…

    • Meiner49erMeiner49er says:

      It's not that Gardner is "generating such talk in the national arena," but that the "national arena is generating such talk about Gardner.  This is the time of year when people are desperate for a story, so they'll produce a "close race" in hopes that there will be one.  Never forget, "news" is the business of selling advertisements, not "information."  With no close race to report in CO, like Voltaire's deity, we need to invent one.

      • DawnPatrol says:

        Spot on. Gardner's a lightweight and a Teabagger. He won't fare well under the scrutiny that's about to hit him in the face.

      • MichaelBowmanMichaelBowman says:

        Spot. On. 

      • BlueCat says:

        Agree. Pundits like Chris Cillizza and the rest of the DC crowd now claiming Udall is in super grave danger of losing his seat are just working off one size fits all stats plugged into a template. They don't know Colorado. Sure, we can't relax and just assume Udall will coast to a win but Colorado Dems aren't about to do that and, bottom line, candidates as extreme as Gardner don't win Senate seats in Colorado any more. They don't get elected Governor either.

  9. Ray SpringfieldRay Springfield says:

    I'm not voting for Roxanne WHite for Governor aagain. This race will be shaken heaviy in May.

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