The June 24 Primary is still several weeks away, though the outcome in some races is becoming easier to call. That looks to be the case with the campaign for the Democratic nomination in HD-24, which will essentially decide the winner of the seat being vacated by Rep. Sue Schafer.
Jessie Danielson has outpaced fellow Democrat Kristian Teegardin in just about every measurable category since both candidates entered the race in January. Danielson won top line on the Primary ballot by capturing an impressive 59% of caucus delegates, and since that time, she has been racking up big endorsements and big checks. Danielson now has the backing of traditional Democratic supporters such as the AFL-CIO and NARAL, and her recent fundraising numbers are indicative of her growing support.
As of the fundraising cycle that just ended on May 1, Danielson's campaign has raised nearly $35,000 with a cash-on-hand amount of $13,531. Teegardin, meanwhile, reported raising just $6,510 and now has a meager $3,895 in the bank. While weird things can — and do — happen in Primaries, it's difficult to envision a scenario in which Teegardin comes from behind for the upset victory.
Momentum, and the perception of momentum, is critically important in this stage of a campaign. Unless Teegardin has a huge card up his sleeve that he has yet to play, Danielson should cruise through June and into the General Election.