We've updated The Big Line 2014, so head on over and take a look.
From where we're sitting, things don't look a whole lot different than they did when we last updated the Big Line. The Senate race is still close, though we maintain that Sen. Mark Udall will ultimately prevail over Congressman Cory Gardner as Democrats outperform Republicans in the ground game and the antics of the right-wing Jefferson County School Board convince more voters to oppose Republicans in general.
As for the other two marquee races in Colorado, Gov. John Hickenlooper seems to be steadily pulling further ahead from Republican Bob Beauprez, and the battle in CD-6 between Congressman Mike Coffman and Democrat Andrew Romanoff is a true toss-up at this stage.
What say you, Polsters? Let us know in the comments below.
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Three words: Romanoff ground game.
I got a huge kick out of Politico story – National Dems pull out of CD-6 race suggesting that Romanoff has too hard a climb. Folks I trust think that this race is winnable for Romanoff.
After the election you may not trust them on picking races. Just sayin'.
You must be referring to his chalking incident.
Did it interfere with your hop scotch game. By the way is the rash gone yet?
Big Line does not say anything about ballot propositions. But isn't there a connection between Personhood Again (Amendment 67) and GOTV efforts? What is the latest polling on 67? My guess is that personhood proponents are going to vote anyway no matter what. Question is if having 67 on the ballot will encourage women who might not have voted this cycle to turn out?
Democratic early voting outpacing 2010 http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/10/14/1336609/-Democratic-early-vote-outpacing-2010