CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 01, 2014 05:40 PM UTC
27 Comments
I was out delivering Vote Notes in Lafayette today. In one of the areas I was in, there were two other door hangers on many of the doors I visited. I saw three other canvassers – two on the Dem side and one Repub, judging by the doors he was visiting.
Thanks to Tazistan Jen mentioning Vote Notes a couple days ago, I was also out delivering them in Boulder today. I saw lots of hangers from ColoDems, Udall, and NARAL. I didn't see any other canvassers, but there was evidence the Dems were out there.
I canvassed in Denver today and saw 5-6 other Dem canvassers during by 6 hours knocking on doors. I've never canvassed before, but it seems like Denver Dems are out in force.
If you are thinking about canvassing or calling – do it. At his point it is about turning out the Dem base, and so you will be speaking with Dems almost exclusively, also unaffiliated/independents.
I had many "thank you for doing this work" comments today. People are appreciative and they are worried about the election – they really want people helping to get out the vote.
A brave front, Pols, but futile. Democrats simply cannot make up the margin you are losing by.
Better luck in 2016…
Can't wait to see you come back and whine about it. A lot.
The polls means shit when they don't count two key demographics: 1) People who don't use landlines, and 2) Severly undersamples pissed off minorities.
Can the GOP win the Senate, sure but the Governor's Mansion, that seems far elss likely. Plus not winning back the legislature.
Yeah. I'm concerned since I've heard some rumblings that state legislature seats may do some switching. It's hard to tell because folks involved in those races can have a hard time separating fear from facts. It would take 5 to flip the state house, but only one to flip the senate. Oddly, I feel better about the senate since the traditional movement is in the Jeffco seats and the Republicans have made that place a nuclear wasteland for themselves. We'll see, though.
Unless the numbers take a drastic turn on Monday night, I'm afraid Cory will have lied himself to a senate seat (which sets a horrifying precedent for politics generally) and Coffman will continue to regale his caucus with calisthenics in the Speaker's Lobby. I still think Hick is stronger with U's than Beauprez, though, and we'll have Governor Milquetoast for another four years.
I think Hick is the man; moderate, pragmatic, and smart. He is a great governor. As blue as this state is now not sure a liberal would win statewide
Also Udall has seemed to tied in up in recent polls and seems Latinos are undersampled.
No worries, modster. In 2016 the Senate seats up will favor Dems and it will be a presidential, high turn out year. Republicans will be crushed.
Hardly. It's 51-49 Republican currently. Dem votes dropping on Monday and Tuesday will cover that spread.
A brave front, Mod, but futile. Republicans simply cannot make a big enough margin in early voting to stop the inevitable Dem catch up.
Better luck in 2016…
I did a poll of my own. I run a small boutique Internet service, and people can hook up their landline with us if they choose to keep it. When we started in 2005, we had about maybe an average of 1/3 out of over 120 units connected with us, and now it's 2014, and I can count with just one hand how many still uses landlines.
Now if I can keep them off from using 4G to make it their "internet" – lost one client who signed up with Verizon for their 4G capabilities, when it's high latency, and bad on high rises on poor weather. My guess he'll be back with us – he's about 85, and is technologically confused, so I'm granting him a break on reconnection fees – if he decides to come back, all he has to do is pay his monthly fees.
*Looks at his recurring billing* Looks like more Home Depot fuckups to clean up *sigh*…
Okay, so the point I'm trying to make here is that based on some information at hand I have, the polls are going to wind up being way off by a margin of no more than 5 points, and the pollsters will have to figure out why, and I know exactly why they are way off.
A message from the republican party https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10152447162239205
I'm signed up for GOTV out of the Centennial Udall/Romanoff office tomorrow. It ain't over 'til it's over, modster.
I like all of these pictures.
Hard working bunch of people. May the best candidates win.
There is a lot of GOTV work going on. But the Udall ground game is not as well organized as it should have been. A week before Election Day, I was making calls to inactive, unaffiliated voters. That type of voter id should have been done over the summer, or even earlier. I hope this last surge will be enough.
Gardner really HAS to win for them this year. Because if he doesn't, think about where that would leave them. They haven't won a gubernatorial or senatorial race in 12 years. They've tried the traditional Chamber of Commerce-type candidates (i.e., Pete Coors, Both Ways '06, Jane Norton, and McInnis) and come up short. They've tried the exotic fringe candidates (i.e., Bob Schaffer, Ken Buck, Dan Maes, Both Ways '14) and come up short. In sum, they have nowhere else to go.
If Udall loses, it will be a disappointment for the Dems. If Gardner loses, who do they turn to next time? Lamborn? Tipton? Buck 2.0?
I don't really think it matters if Gardner wins or loses in terms of who takes on Bennet in 2016. Lamborn doesn't have the charisma and is entirely too toxic. Tipton, maybe? I could see Buck taking another stab at it, especially if he wins his seat in congress here in a couple days. Two years of conservative voting record in congress under his belt is a lot more compelling than a less than stellar record as DA of wherever.
Eli Stokols: Not so fast, Colorado Republicans!
Y'all need to get the Dems voting. WashPo has already called it for Gardner and Coffman. Here in Maryland we have the problem of a Dem running for gov being tied by a Republican in the polls. That is real bad, but then the Dem failed to run as a Dem and let the Republican get the first shot at labeling. Now we have a stream of Christies showing up and the Clintons tag teaming too. Too bad, those people should be helping in other states, not one that is solid blue like Maryland is supposed to be.
Governor O'Malley was in Colorado a few weeks ago. I met him at a Romanoff event.
Fuck WashPo. It's owned by a Liberterian Bezos who enslaves Amazon workers.
WashPo better prepare an editorial of apology to all offended Dems when it's discovered that the Republicans have lost across the country.
Found a WP article saying it looks tough for Udall but didn't find them calling those races. Link please? I even googled Washington Post calls Colorado for Gardner and Udall and got nothing.