“Liars share with those they deceive the desire not to be deceived.”
–Sissela Bok
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From The Hill newspaper (October 2, 2015): Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is maintaining his lead in the GOP race, according to a poll released by the Pew Research Center on Friday. The real estate mogul garners 25 percent of the GOP vote, followed by retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 16 percent support. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina are tied for third place with 8 percent. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) follows with 6 percent, then former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 4 percent.
QUESTION: It's October. If Trump had 4 percent and Bush had 25 percent (and had been in first place for 4 months), wouldn't everyone say it's over?
Sanders vs. Trump: That's what I think the general will look like. Huffpo has called it for Sanders. And Sanders beats Trump by 4-16 points, according to RCP polls.
Clinton also wins, but by a smaller margin.
The GOP nominee will depend on whether women vote in the primary.
Republican women still see Trump unfavorably, and less favorably the more he talks, although he is their "top pick" among the dismal selection of turds that have risen to the top of the bowl.
In the 8/19 CNN/ORC poll, in the crosstabs, page 28, women see Trump unfavorably, 64% to 27%. Among younger voters, it's 63% to 19%. These are registered Republican voters. No one talks about this. Either people are too lazy to dig through the crosstabs, or they don't want to challenge the prevailing media narrative. It certainly does look as though Trump will win the GOP nomination.
Trump has (probably) funded this whole stellium of "Women for Trump" groups, which extol his virtues. Trump himself continues to claim ridonculously that he is "surging with women". Polls, however, continue to tell a different story, and Donald Trump has never had any problem buying the loyalty of individual women.
Biden also beats Trump by a wider margin than HRC.
In response to the Nurse's question, I have two thoughts: 1. The race is not binary. It is not Trump v. Bush. As the clown car empties, the dynamics will change. For example, I do not think that Trump is the second choice of Carson or Fiorina voters. When they drop out, their supporters will not go to Trump. 2. To me, as interesting as Trump's lead is the fact that the leading candidates are Trump, Carson, and Fiorina. In my opinion, each are deeply flawed candidates, none of whom has ever won an election for dog catcher.
That pretty much sums up the entire Republican field. Deeply flawed candidates, with support from angry, disaffected voters that will only reluctantly switch their allegiance to the eventual party nominee.
For decades, their candidates and representatives have proven to be big on talk, short on achievements (which were pipe dreams in any case).
Republican voters have the misfortune of being granted their wish for "fresh voices" that will shake up the status quo.
Where in the world is our brave, little truthsayer? Hiding for a couple of news cycles, hoping by Monday we'll have forgotten about Oregon and he can go back to peddling his doctored videos and platitudes about (his version of) 'life'?
“Stuff happens” — JEB!, 2015
Apparently there's no way to see these things coming …
http://nyti.ms/1VtVPMa
and nothing we can do …
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/03/opinion/the-political-ritual-after-mass-shootings.html?smprod=nytcore-iphone&smid=nytcore-iphone-share
… I mean, as long as
freedomgun-industry profits are more important politically than human lives?More “stuff,” I’m sure …
Australian comic Jim Jefferies nails it.
You Don't Pass a Pool Fencing Law After a Child Drowns, Says Jeb, Who Did Just That
Can't wait for the Nevilles and RMGO to propose legislation to make this a reality
Also, every single day that there's a shooting total in America that exceeds the number of deaths in Bengazi, let's mandate that H. Watson Gowdy III, or some other blathering amosexual Representative, hold a similar number of Congressional hearings to thoroughly investigate the matter??!!??
We lose someone every ten minutes to epileptic seizures, a condition that could largely be addressed with CBD oil. Congress could end the prohibition easily; POTUS could end it with an EO, although that action could be removed by the same stroke-of-the-pen by the next POTUS. In the time it took to write and post this, another one has left us.
Gowdy and his ammosexual friends are abhorrent.
Michael, you just made my day. They couldn't say you were violating their vaunted Second Amendment rights. If they did, we'd have all the "ammunition" we'd need to tear down waiting periods, notification laws building code restrictions, and all of the other petty B.S. the righties use to restrict women's health clinics.
Can we stop pretending voter ID and concurrent measures are about protecting the legitimacy of the vote? Republicans love your right to support the gun industry. Hate your right to vote unless you're the "right" kind of voter.
Southern Poverty Law Center, check your messages. This won't last. It's a lawsuit that writes itself, and the SPLC is based in Montgomery. Gotta send them some money.
With a national, private prison industrial complex that is out-of-control, stories like these are refreshing…
Harvard debate team loses to prison debate team
Michael, your mission today must have been to make me smile. I love this.
A veritable font…thanks Michael…
We are long-overdue, Duke.
Private prisons should be outlawed. There's no way a private for profit prison system can have anyone's best interests, not the public's, not the prisoners', as their primary goal. Prisons run on the bottom line, for profit principle can't possibly be anything other than hot beds of abuse. And then there are the charming arrangements between bought and paid for judges and for profit juvenile facilities to encourage the judges to keep feeding them children on the slightest pretext. We pay. The blood suckers profit.
Another of the many examples of how the private sector does not do everything better to add to the horrific examples set by the contracting out of the war in Iraq to profiteers.They threw away public funds at a rate even our admittedly wasteful military never dreamed of with no accountability while private sector construction workers built unlivable building projects, including showers that electrocuted our troops, and private sector mercenaries murdered civilians at will, having no interest in the American interest of winning hearts and minds and no loyalty to anyone but themselves.
Prisons, military and government in general, especially including our legislative bodies, are areas where there should be no place for the profit motive as the decision making factor.
Always a pleasure, skinny 😀 This particular story hit close to home for me as I'm in grad school at Bard. Great small school filled with world-class thinkers
Don't know if I ever mentioned this but my brother lives in pueblo and teaches college freshman comp classes at the women's facility there. He knows they do better with an education.
Don't you long for the day when we have enough money to give everyone a world-class education – and the Pentagon has to hold a bake sale to buy more bombs?
I remember that poster!
Pope Francis May Fire Archbishop Who Set Up the Meeting With Kim Davis
Very good article on the phony nature of the originally circulated story including interviews with Grassi providing lots of background info on his relationship with the Pope and his insights into the Pope's character since the days when he was a favorite High School student, 50 year ago, of the man who would become Pope in today's Denver Post. Also prominent treatment of the story of the three, not one, jurors who did not buy was Braucher was selling.
Once again, as with the doctored PP videos, the most dramatic of which do not, in fact, even depict anything taking place at a PP clinic, the "family values" Christian far right demonstrates that one of their favorite values is the value of lying, spinning, distorting and cherry picking to decieve. One can imagine this ends justify the means/deception as a virtue "value" being taught in Sunday schools across the nation.
Perhaps my favorite quote of the weekend:
I'm in England this week. A land without Donald Trump, where health care is a right, not a privilege, and ammosexuality is taboo and illegal. I'm watching David Cameron, the conservative prime minister, on BBC being interviewed and talking about his opposition world wide to capital punishment. This is a guy who believes that global warming is real and man-made and supported legalization of same sex marriage. Our right wing party could learn a few things from Cameron.
Wow! Keep your head down, it's hard to fathom just how incredibly dangerous it’s gotta’ be in a country where hardly anyone is permitted to carry
firearmsprotection devices everywhere in public?!? …And avoid football (soccer to us) matches.
Heck, even Margaret Thatcher Milk Snatcher, Reagan buddy/ Rightie Goddess ( "she has the eyes of Caligula and the mouth of Marilyn Monroe") was a proud and staunch supporter of National Health. Contemporary American Conservatism is a craziness unto itself.
Quote was off by a hair. Here it is with attributiom. So French!
"She has the eyes of Caligula but the mouth of Marilyn Monroe." French President Francois Mitterrand
I hope certain Supreme Court Justices read this. At least the of course corporations aren't really people part:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernanke-more-execs-should-have-faced-prosecution-for-2008-financial-crisis_5611a5d7e4b076812702677e
Explain the Russian airstrikes in Syria. Is it a proxy war between us and Russia? Are we really targeting ISIL? Will the right wing be forced to dial back their man-crush on Putin?
John McCain says that the Russians are hitting the same anti-Assad rebels that the CIA has funded and trained. He also got in the obligatory digs against Obama and Sos Kerry. McCain is calling this "naked Russian aggression".
Fox Noise says that this helps Putin, thus complicating Fox's love-hate relationship with Putin. He's so much more manly than that wuss Obama. If only Obama would bomb some Muslims, the right wing could back our President, even though US airstrikes are apparently targeting Doctors without Borders and other hospitals.
So Russia supports Assad. The USA is backing anti-Assad rebels. Supposedly, we're helping rebels target ISIS. (The image below is from Veterans Today)
We're both bombing the crap out of Syria. Is this going to escalate into something uglier? And where are the money, power, resources, in this? What will our troops stationed in Kuwait do? What kinds of missions will they be asked to accomplish, and why?
Jump in anytime, please. Help me make some sense of this.
The latest thing in combat boots?
Making sense of it all is probably too tall an order to fill. One thing is certain. Since everyone knows that Putin supports Assad and his government (it's not like he doesn't say so frequently) nobody could have had realistic expectations that Russia wouldn't be doing exactly what it's doing; supporting the Assad regime against all its enemies including the anti-Assad moderate forces (such as they are) that we support, putting us in diametric opposition on that score. We want Assad out. They want him in. At least that's one thing that's perfectly clear.
I'm pretty sure that, despite the Obama administration's protestations, this can't really come as a surprise to them. It's not like it takes a rocket scientist to figure that out. There's also no reason to think Putin will have any better luck controlling the situation, "winning" in any sense, than we do. Obama has more than implied he's banking on Russia getting mired in another quagmire there. But then, how about us?
How about the refugee situation? How about the Kurds (for my money I'd give them whatever they want and to hell with wasting another cent or piece of equipment on any of the other players) and our relations with the Turks? How about Iran? Iraq? What policy or combination of policies is ever going to fix all of this? Besides turning back time to before before the Pottery Barn rule was not just broken but pulverized, not without assistance from Colin Powell himself, the guy who cited the Pottery Barn rule but aided and abetted Cheney/Bush in smashing a whole storefull anyway. To be a team player, I guess.
So what really gives? What's the end game for us or for Russia and the path for either of us or anyone else to get there? I don't think anyone, including our administration, Putin's government or any of the international "experts" has a clue. If you find someone to make sense of it for you, the White House and Pentagon need to hear from that someone.
If you're really interested, Charlie Rose did a show, last Thursday night (I think); an interview with a former CIA Deputy Director, and a French diplomat, on Putin, Syria, Iran, etc. Very enlightening …