CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 20, 2016 07:29 AM UTC
56 Comments
Time to update the Big Line.
And, http://fciruli.blogspot.com/2016/08/colorado-likes-independent-candidates.html
But, then there is this: “Is President Obama An ‘Uncle Tom’? Green Party Veep Nominee Ajamu Baraka Just Called Him One” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ian-reifowitz/is-president-obama-an-unc_b_11620304.html
Snerk.
Really, dave? That wasn't necessary…
there is no imogee on this CE for "yucchh!" … so, yucchh!
Too late, Duke. Those Trump statues will be forever in the public consciousness now. Just as I can't see Sarah Palin without thinking of Tina Fey and "I can see Russia from my house", just as I can't see Trump speak without noticing the size of his hands, artists have done their job in fixing this image of Trump into American minds.
It is definitely a "Yucch!", and I suppose it's a violation of Trump's privacy and of some kind of libel laws, although I can't see Trump suing. What would he say? "Mine's bigger than that"?
As a "public figure" he would have to prove "known falsity with malice" per Sullivan v. Washington Post to win a suit
That's the standard for defamation but not privacy.
As for any claim of invasion of privacy, the man is a virtual exhibitionist. He's told us way more than we care to hear about his sexual prowess, the purported size of his junk (he said "it's large and beautiful" in response to Rubio's comment about his hand size), and all the twisted fantasies that go through his head. About the only thing he's kept to himself are his tax returns.
Yes, you're right
There is no legal basis that he could win on. But he could sue just in order to harass.
Or threaten to sue as he does with his smaller contractors. His lawyers will admit to a contractor to whom they're offering only half or less of the agreed amount that the contractor would probably win the suit….. eventually.… but go bankrupt in the process. The contractor, who has bills and people to pay now, not years from now, gives in but now the offer is more like a third and takes a fraction of the agreed amount, sometimes suffering failure anyway.
Of course his most preferred business model just calls for bankruptcy so you can pay everyone, large or small, pennies on the dollar.
Trump's business model is a three legged stool: screwing, suing and fraud.
And daveb's newest strategy may be posting disgusting images until CoPol gives in and expands the damn Line. That would be Johnson at .00001% (Trump and HRC would both be dead or in comas in this scenario at a point too late to come up with new candidates… say with the polls closed and the counting commenced) and Stein at 0%.
But don't under-estimate the ability of even a dead candidate to win an election. Remember the late Governor and Senator-elect Mel Carnahan defeated John Ashcroft in 2000 Senate race in Missouri?
But your point is well-taken. Johnson has such a small theoretical chance of being elected, it's pretty close to zero.
Yeah, he could sue, but any judge worth his gavel knows libel law and would toss the suit out for the nuisance it is. Also, it would have to be filed in small claims court. I'm sorry, I couldn't resist. I'll go to my room now.
Just guessing because I have no direct personal knowledge, but Trump might be able to win a claim that he actually has testicles (these statues are titled "The Emperor has no Balls").
Love to be a fly on the wall in that courtroom.
Actually it is not a violation of libel laws. Under the law you cannot libel a public figure. Trump is running for president, He is a public figure.
Otherwise his suit would have to stand in a long line behind all the suits Obama could file.
Including Drumpf's extensive Birther undercover work…
If you are updating the Big Line, you might re-consider your judgment on Districts 1 & 2. 5% for the minority candidates seems generous.
To help recalculate, I went to the National Weather Service for lightning strike data. They say
If many of those reading here don't know their names and couldn't identify the candidates among a choice of 6 in a line-up, the challengers' chance of winning is way below 5%.
The Big Line works in mysterious ways.
So this is the picture that makes davebarnes' johnson surge? You need counseling, dave.
A party that claims to hate "big government" is supporting a presidential candidate who says every day how he will single-handedly fix all the things when he becomes President.
But, Drumpf™ is not "big" as he has tiny hands and a small …
They want a government big enough to torture people, big enough to exert control over a woman's uterus, big enough to engage in warrantless wiretapping, big enough to discriminate against the LGBTQ community, by deciding whether they can get married, which bathroom they can use, and big enough to decide whether someone can join the military, and what jobs they may hold within the military. The Republicans love big government!
Scampaign 2016 . . .
. . . Other people's money . . .
. . . yuuuuuuge debt . . .
. . . belieeeve me, Beeeelieeeeve Me . . .
Thank you Republican Party !!!!
Hey Alva,your site says I am a spammer
PK, we all get that spammer msg once in a while. I've learned to copy comments I care about in case it happens.
Yeah I get that sort of thing regularly . . .
. . . thank god no one's yet invented a spambot that can master Alva's cunning addition test of 9 plus 3 ???
What I don't regularly get is the "your comment is awaiting moderation" that BC often gets. I always thought that was Alva's WordPress special torment for kitties, until I got that today on a post (a comment and link to a NYT article on Drumpf's yuuuge debt) I entered here nearly three hours ago . . .
Hey WordPress, your junk is smaller than Drumpf's. Go screw yourself. Moderate the fuck outta' this comment, with your POS platform!
Sorry you got caught. The spam filter seems to just throw a tantrum sometimes. We fixed what we could.
I figured you were messing with me since I am on the fence on A69 and caucused for Bernie.
It just seems to pick one of us out once in a while and force us to prove we're not a robot. Seems to happen in bunches then not again for a long time. It's not a black helicopter thing. Lots of people here caucused for Bernie, disagree about 69 and plenty of other stuff and some of us are just obnoxious as hell but we don't get blocked on purpose.
How does Andrew Carnegie manage to get past that robot screening?
Maybe he can't? Has anyone heard from him lately?
He posted briefly, a couple of weeks ago…
of course, you never know who might be a sock puppet…..
Some posters here appear to be snark-detecting challenged. So for the record, I am not actually suggesting that Alva knows my thoughts and thus purposefully tries to block me with high level math.
Oh?…Are you so sure? Maybe there is software…doubtful Alva could afford it though, I guess. I haven't been paying my dues (tithe to you, Fluffy) lately.
Alva is all-knowing
Actually, Alva is a know-it-all.
Also, and this happened to me a few days ago, you might get message that your comment is being held up for moderation and it just drops off the face of the earth. You post another comment and it's fine. Once again…. just a glitch.
A few of mine should be held up for moderation…..
Will Joe Arpaio be forced to live in a tent in 110 degree heat and wear pink underwear?
Judge is pressing for criminal contempt charges on a 2007 racial profiling case.
Here's hoping there's green Oscar Mayer in Joe Arpaio's future!
And will daveb post a pic along with the demand to expand the Big Line?
Oh, how I sometimes wish there were a god . . .
I saw that this morning and it made me happy. I save bits of news for Karen to read and discuss over dinner and I always ask her what the best and worst things were and which made her giggle and/or grouse. We decided this one gets the prize for bestest and the giggle of the day
What a day reading the New York Times!
Does that include the reported $600 Million owed to the Russians?
Trump's Colorado campaign director Patrick Davies interviewed by Kyle Clark.
Background:
Patrick Davies is a conman equal to Trump himself. He bilked a Texas tycoon of $3 million in a largely fraudulent PAC called "Vote2reducedebt", ultimately paying himself and his friends over $400,000 for nonexistent campaign services. He also worked closely with one of the Jack Abramoff lobbying scandal operatives.
Kyle Clark tried to pin Davis down about Trump’s “Deport Muslims” policy. Davis dodged, weaved, didn’t answer.
Davies said in the 9news interview that it's "fair game" for Trump to repeat rumors about HRC's "failing health", which have been spread by Sean Hannity, debunked by Clinton's doctor, debunked again by Rachel Maddow, and debunked a week earlier by yours truly on Kos.
Why Joy Reid should replace Chris Matthews:
Matthews excels at asking follow-up questions, which is what a journalist should do. He was able to get Trump to admit to a belief that abortion should be punished as a crime.
But, as we agree on here, Matthews is also rude, obnoxious, and annoying, tends to talk over and interrupt his guests, and not allow them to answer his questions.
Reid accomplishes the same journalistic objectives: asking probing initial and follow-up questions, getting at the truth, not letting guests slide by on talking points; however, she manages this with class and grace, seldom raising her voice. For example, here she was yesterday (9/20/16) telling Trump's black spokespastor:
I like both and would like both on. MSNBC has time they use/waste on prison shows.
If MSNBC makes a decision to give JR a regular show it will be based on ratings. Chris Hays would likely be the loser
I wouldn't miss Matthews who I see as an out of touch dinosaur, obnoxious preference for listening to himself bloviate over letting guests complete a sentence aside, but agree about all those Lock Up shows. What's up with those? Guess they must be cheap and get ratings.
That was great. I've also heard Tamron Hall do the same kind of thing.
Reince…flailing badly…Dickerson backed him into a corner.
Sessions next….
Really, Jeff…and what, pray tell, is "a dangerous area of the globe"? A number of nations have issued travel warnings to their citizens about travel to the U.S. And not just for Zika.
Rudy Juliani is the chair of Trumps' security advisory group…what else needs to be said?
well…whattaya know?
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/hillary-clinton-to-back-public-option-for-health-care/
Errr (not for you, for the article). She was talking about letting people in their 50s into Medicare several months ago, during the primaries.
Fact-Checking Hillary Clinton's Medicare Buy-In Proposal
Yay for folks who are 55+ and have enough money to buy into Medicare, but don't have private insurance? It’ll be interesting to hear where the money is coming from. Premium costs? New taxes (on whom)?
Kidnapping ISIS members and holding them for ransom?
Make the doctors pay for it?
Sell Nevada to the Chinese?
lots of options…
If it goes through, I might jump. I just got notice that after 3 letters in a row saying that despite my nice little insurance company being bought by Giganto Behemoth Insurance Company nothing was going to change, they are no longer offering insurance on the eastern slope. Where I live. Of course. So I will be looking for my fifth insurance company since the exchange opened here in Colorado.
The only problem is that a lot of docs are probably going to boycott Medicare again soon. That happened a dozen or so years ago and it got ugly very, very quickly for the seniors.