( – promoted by Colorado Pols)
State Bill Colorado (http://www.statebill.com) takes a look today at the 2010 election in the Colorado House of Representatives. To no one’s surprise:
Democrats enjoy a healthy 38-27 majority in Colorado’s House of Representatives. It’s unlikely they’ll lose their advantage in 2010, but they’re being forced to play a lot of defense. …
The sheer size of the Democratic advantage makes a GOP takeover improbable. However, GOP challengers already are lined up for 15 seats held by Democrats.
• House Republicans enjoy a slight majority of incumbents, declared or undeclared, who face no cross-party opposition: 18 vs. the Democrats’ 16.
• Democratic incumbents face Republican opposition in 15 races; Republican incumbents face Democratic opposition in just four races.
• In races where there are no incumbents running, the edge goes to the Democrats: six seats to five.
Read the whole story and look at the Election Tracker here: http://www.statebillnews.com/2…
Who’s viable? Who’s vulnerable? Which party do you think will have control after the next election, and by how many seats?
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Well, I hope Dems retain Dan Gibbs’ seat. Hope Steve Harvey wins.
Joan Fitz Gerald and Dan Gibbs were very special politicians
JFG had great NAME ID in JeffCo, where the majority of this seat is – despite running with a ‘D,’ JFG was beloved in JeffCo (especially after serving as Clerk there) which gave her ownership over SD16
Gibbs, on the other hand, won SD16 primarily because he almost won 80% of the vote alone in Summit County – that, alone, carried him to victory
Overall, Gibbs and JFG were heavily beloved by their home communities, which helped them at the polls – I don’t see any Democrat that could produce those kinds of abberations in a seat like SD16, which ‘should’ go Republican in 2010
BTW – Don Ytterberg ran a great campaign in 2008 – had it not been for the bailout, I say he would’ve won
SD-16 only has a slim plurality in Jeffco. Another quarter in Boulder and the other half split among the mountain counties.
Nonetheless, that district has changed quite a bit since the days when Joan was elected for the first time – now it’s about 31% R, 31% D, and 38% U and momentum has been shifting from the Rs. Not to mention that Ds have been building quite a bench throughout the area.
And, well, I’m just not sure someone who ran the state Constitution Party could beat a strong Dem, whoever it will be.
I say it goes Republican – but yes, a good Democrat stands a great chance, as SD16 is a very ‘liberterian’ district – fiscal conservative, socially liberal