Ken Buck is feeling very confident on caucus day, despite his campaign’s shortcomings. Alex Isenstadt and David Catanese of the Politico report that Buck’s campaign is expecting a surprising upset in the caucus tonight.
“Ken and the campaign feel very good going in,” Buck adviser Walt Klein said. “Norton is supposed to be the front-runner, but I think Ken Buck is going to give her a run for her money. I think he’s going to be competitive, and that’s all he has to do to build on the momentum. I wouldn’t be surprised if Ken won by a small margin and Jane finished second,” he said.
It’s hard to believe that Buck’s campaign can be so confident given the meager fund raising numbers they put up in the fourth quarter. Preliminary polls discussed earlier this week have Norton up on Buck by 17 points.
Beyond those two glaring disadvantages, Buck has yet to muster up any significant ad time. Most of the attacks levied against Norton have come from 527’s rather than from the candidate himself.
Tonight will tell us whether Buck’s confidence has any merit or whether it is the delusion of a soon-to-be written off nobody.
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Buck’s “meager fund raising numbers,” “preliminary polls,” and lack of actual Buck ads on the air — those have exactly what to do with grassroots support at caucuses?
Norton has already drained more than a quarter million dollars on TV ads aimed not at Republican activists but at — well, it’s not exactly clear. And you must have skipped all the angry conservative organizing meetings the last few months. They hate Norton and are rallying around Buck, who has been in the race for a year and didn’t have to wait for John McCain to draw him into it.
You’re in for a big surprise tonight.
for Most Hilariously Wrong Prediction at this year’s Polsies.