President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
70%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 11, 2010 09:23 PM UTC
19 Comments
Loading ...
By a lot. No way a third party candidate is pulling more votes than the whackjob on the Republican ticket.
Tancredo has name recognition, and the things he says are only sometimes as stupid as what Maes has been saying.
If I had to make a wild guess, I would predict that a number (perhaps a large number) of normally Republican organizations will spend their efforts at getting Tancredo elected rather than Maes. If Maes’ fundraising numbers still look anemic at the end of the month, look for the GOP to desert Maes a la Connecticut.
Keep those comments coming.
Everybody who has a choice has a reason.
This is about who will get more votes in the general, correct?
Takers?
Okay, how much are we betting?
about the general.
Not betting.
The GOP has to back Maes in the general election or they will put their party back even more dramatically than it is now. Whatever the GOP leadership may think of Maes, and I think we can all guess, they have to back him or run the real risk of the splintering the party to the point that it is irrelevant.
I think many GOP voters who vote will be voting against Hickenlooper as much as for Maes or Tancredo, and that some will vote for Hickenlooper as a protest against the machinations of the GOP leadership, which seems to have conclusively demonstrated that they are completely out of touch with the state.
Put plainly, the GOP in Colorado looks like it is about to implode completely. From what I can see, it has two credible statewide candidates in Suthers and Stapleton, and some state legislative candidates who will win in highly Republican territory. (I’m leaving aside the Senate race for the moment.) As the party marginalizes itself more and more, eventually the party will either effectively dissolve or more moderate types will finally retake the party or die trying.
Some republican will offer a lot of money and cushy job if he drops out. And the Tanc has already claimed that he is out if the primary winner drops. I think this poll is missing “Neither: both drop out”.
If it comes down to a three-way race, Maes gets more votes. I think those who voted for him in the primary will stick with him, and independents would prefer him over Tancredo.
Either way, you know Wadhams has been on the phone all morning trying to figure out how to get Maes or Tanc to drop.
And decided the Maes is having too much fun to drop out.
Still, it is a valid option. I can’t change the poll after it starts, but people who feel that way should post a comment to that effect.
Maes is going to need this fall, a job. God knows it doesn’t look like he is a business genuis and it seems like he burned his bridge to his last gig.
but I feel sorry for the guy, there’s just no good way out of this one.
And if he had quit months ago, he would have done less damage.
On October 12th. Early voting in person begins on October 18th–this is also the day that MIBs can start being counted. Of course, military ballots go out on October 1st, so maybe that’s really the first day.
Another important date: October 4th. Last day to register.
I thought the counties could process mail-ins early, but couldn’t count them until election day.
PS – MIBs? Men In Black?
Per the SoS Elections Calendar:
I was confused for a second. I thought it was a salient comment from the original Libertad. Thanks 2.0! Much better version!
🙂