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October 22, 2010 09:11 PM UTC

So, what if the unthinkable happens?

  • 9 Comments
  • by: SSG_Dan

I’ve been spending some time on PollingReport.com examining the 2004 elections. And while that could be another long rant from Democrats about a lost election, I’m starting to wonder about a repeat of history.

To wit: Bush started with a 14-point lead after the national conventions and was dragging a number of Repub candidates on his coat tails. But as the election moved on and Dubya started getting punked in the debates, his numbers fell, taking some candidates with him. In the end, he pulled it out with the narrowest victory margin seen in decades.

But…at the final week, Dems were convinced that the 2004 election was a referendum on Republican Policies and the President in particular. Dubya’s record numbers after 9/11 were starting to take a nosedive, and the failure to find WMD’s were one of the reasons people began to distrust their “War President.” They were convinced that they’d turned it around in the polls, and Kerry would win the Presidency, and make gains in the House and Senate.

The morning after the election, the Repubs were still in power, Dubya was determined to spend his political capital, and Dems were shrieking that they’d been robbed again, this time in Ohio.  They used that loss to re-tool and re-fit for 2006, which won them majorities in both houses of Congress.

Which brings me to this – what if, on Nov 3rd, the Dems managed to slide in under the wire and hold onto a razor-thin margin in the House and Senate? Now, this isn’t a chance for ‘tad, Beej, H-man and GOPWarrior to hoot and screech about the inevitable Repub landslide of 2010 – they can have the rest of Pols to do that.

What I’m asking is this – what does the Teapublican Party do the next morning? Do they complain that the vote was stolen, and declare war on..somebody? Do they resolve to try 2 more years of obstruction and dirty attack ads? Do they give up and position themselves for 2012, putting together some legislative victories to show the voters they can get stuff done?

Indulge me – you may begin.

http://www.pollingreport.com/2…

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9 thoughts on “So, what if the unthinkable happens?”

  1. This is a center right country. Bush was more acceptable than Obama. If by some miracle Dems did hold on the the house, it would energize the Teapublican Party (I like the sound of that) all the more to make sure that Democrats lose in 2012.

    1. “It’s a center right country.” Which explains the continuous leftward drift since the Constitution was ratified (see: the extension of citizenship from landowning white males to everyone over the age of 18).

  2. No matter what, if any Republican loses anywhere, someone is going to cry foul.  These people can’t take responsibility for what they say on tape, they aren’t going to do it for something as abstract as votes.  The election will be called stolen.  I would throw the Dems in there, but frankly they understand the circumstances.  I won’t be shocked either way and I suspect most non-Tea Partiers would agree.  These are their races to lose (God knows they’re trying…).

    What happens in ’12 just depends on what happens in those two years.  If there are splits in chambers no one will get anything done.  At a national level, close majorities haven’t really worked already.  If that happens, Obama will be out.  You have to show results.  You can’t have results without some kind of movement.  And they have to be huge, visible results.  Technical won’t do.  We won’t see anything to continue HCR, no actual job bills, etc.  The party of no will hold the country hostage to come back to power.  That’s the joke isn’t it?

    On a state level a Hick win with a chamber split I think we’ll still be OK because no majority is going to be by much.  I don’t think the House will flip anyway and the other place will have too many supposed RINO’s to kill anything.  If Tanc wins, and I believe this more everyday (not that he’ll win), we’ll see unprecedented cooperation.  His plans are just too stupid and he has no party head to complain to.  Our legislature is not going to pass a budget that kills diabetics and forces babies to be born in dirty apartments.  It’s not going to happen.  Tanc doesn’t compromise which means the chambers would be forced to overrule.

    Sorry, I hate national politics, so I can’t resist heading state if there’s even a sliver of an opening.

  3. I think the question is whether the Republican financial arm and publication agency want to try again. They have put enormous amounts of money and time into this year. If the reports are correct this year has been their plan for many years.

  4. The Republicans will pick up 50 seats in the house and get control.  They will pick up 7 or 8 in the Senate and not gain control there.  We will have disappointed Dems who are happy the Senate did not switch and frustrated Republicans who will write off the failure to win the Senate as something to work on in 2012.

    Unless there is something remarkable that happens, I don’t see any great backlash.

    1. You just wrote, twice, that as long as the GOP wins there won’t be any accusations.  Implying that if they don’t, there will be.

      Thanks for proving me right though.  Greatly appreciated.

    2. …You can do your web Pee-Pee dance about how the Republican’ts are going to win ANYWHERE else. That wasn’t the point posed by my diary, but it still didn’t stop you from posting your crap anyway.

      Again, I got it. Knew you’re going to say that. Not what the diary is about….

  5. Generally, we on the right don’t try to declare the winner of an election illegitimate, though we may bitch about dirty tricks.  But everyone does that when they lose.

    Just as unthinkable, what will the Dems here in Colorado do if Tancredo wins?

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