President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
70%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 20, 2011 10:12 PM UTC
28 Comments
Pace has this in the bag.. Tipton’s continuous fumbles about Pinon Canon, Medicare cuts and his vast support of big oil will put Pace in Congress in 2012.
With 2012 being an election year it will be no surprise that a higher voter turnout will occur and the Dems are posed to take this seat over.. 2014 will be another story and Pace has his work cut out for him but for 2012 its Pace’s to lose.
It might be premature for anyone to conclude that Pace has the nomination locked up or is even the guy to beat. It is, after all, Pueblo.
There is already a list of possible candidates including Abel Tapia and Jeff Chostner.
The more vulnerable Tipton is considered, the stronger the Democrat field will become.
If Democrats are serious about taking the seat, they’ll nominate somebody who doesn’t get carded at bars. 🙂
That support of oil will kill him on the West slope for sure.
“I’m here from the other side of the mountains and I HATE your livelihood!”
That’s go over reeealll well.
it must be false.
Thanks for sharing the wisdom that doesn’t even work for you where you live, let alone over here where you’ve never been.
You’re an inspiration to us all.
Here’s what I’ve heard:
1. Shaffer is furious that the cat’s out of the bag
2. Democrats indeed are eyeing Tipton, but they don’t think Pace has the gravitas and are still shopping (Schwartz?)
3. Cory Gardner can’t wait to kick Brandon’s ass.
I agree Hoyer didn’t say anything that wasn’t common knowledge, except for the fraud surgeon he wants to run in CD-6 (ha!). But really, Guvs, do you think he doesn’t give the editorial boards a shine job everywhere he goes? Let’s be realistic.
and it won’t really matter. It helps if you find the right sources to confirm whatever you want to hear.
Though probably with some different spin applied.
Sal Pace needs to wait a few years until his chest hair starts to come in. If I were the Dems I’d be looking hard at Gail Schwartz if I wanted to actually win this seat, and that’s no spin.
about Gail Schwartz?
She’s been a solid state senator, but her Aspen origins would be a tough sell in many parts of the district. It’s not called Tinsel Town and Glitter Gulch for nothing. Unfair? You bet, but life can be that way.
On the other hand, her district is huge with many hardcore conservatives thick upon the ground, some 12 or 13 counties if memory serves, and she wins her races one little town at a time. She’s a fierce campaigner.
I don’t know if she has congressional ambitions, however.
I like her, but I evaluate her chances about the same way you do.
where the 3rd Congressional District begins . . . and ends. ;~)
But it’s important to recognize that anyone’s chances of getting elected depend on how the voters vote.
It’s not whether you agree with them, it’s what is.
If Schwartz or Pace or anyone else can get enough votes in Pueblo (depending, of course on how CD3 is gerrymandered), then they have a chance. If not, well, CD3 is what it is.
If Brandon is really mad because the cat is out of the bag, then he was the only one on the Front Range who thought there was a bag with a cat in it. He’s been fantasizing for 2 years about a run for Congress but couldn’t get around Polis or Perlmutter. He was in the wrong timing cycle to run for the 4th until Betsy lost – he should have run hard against Musgrave.
I have heard from several people in southern Colorado that Schwartz has said she will not run for the 3rd – seems a little early to being bowing out.
From what I’ve heard the surgeon has family roots in the 3rd going back almost a century and feels strongly about running there because of his family history. Wouldn’t mind seeing a doctor knowledgeable about healthcare policy replace the guy trying to strip seniors of Medicare!
…was how unhinged they got during the redistricting fight. Their objections went immediately beyond reactions to the maps and instead went personal on the Senate President — which always amused me since one would assume that their professed goal of passing a bill would be hampered by questioning the integrity of the people whose votes you need.
McNulty’s punching for his friend Cory. Any bluster about how confident the GOP is in their incumbents has to be considered against the anxiety of the national congressional polling and the foolish vote on the Ryan budget.
What struck me was McNulty’s determination to accuse Shaffer of drawing a district to favor himself, even though Dem maps drew CD-4 with 10 point GOP registration edge. It became obvious that this talking point was going to be repeated into the ground whether or not it was even remotely true.
He was running interference for Cory Gardner the whole time…
Sal Pace is 35.
Donald Rumsfeld was elected to Congress at 30.
Sal is too old.
Republicans will have to come up with something better than The Deficit to convince the independent voters to vote against their own self-interest.
I just don’t see a frightening future scenario like 9/11 or brown skins coming across the border that will scare enough folks into voting for them this time. They certainly can’t lay claim to any rational and aggressive job creation records. Republicans are perhaps even deeper in the hole when it comes to the economy. Nada for all the bragging and boasting. “Democrats soft on terrorism” isn’t going to sell next year either. Obama took away that claim from them completely.
This could be payback by the national party for sticking with Bennet and breaking the 2010 wave. If Colorado Dems. could get Bennet elected in 2010 then they have a shot some national support to unseat these ideologues in 2012.
I know you were just about to update (ha ha).
That bastard Shaffer would only spot you guys a 10% advantage — The nerve!
But Call’s words are prophetic when GOP strategists post-mortem their 2012 defeats:
I will happily & strongly support Shaffer for congress. He would be a thoughtful and open-minded representative. He would also act as a grown-up, unlike the morons who will throw away 200+ years effort that make our debt the safest investment in the world – just to score a couple of political points.
Like many independent voters…Tipton is a disaster and will undoubtedly go back to his pottery shop in disgrace, as he should.
Would more can you tell me about Shaffer?
Brandon has been president of the Senate for this session and last. I think he’s a large part of why we had a lot of success in the previous session addressing big issues. And he managed to pull in the Republicans for a number of those contentious issues.
That’s why I really like him – he managed to get legislation passed to address very hard problems rather than kicking the can down the road. With that said, success truly had many parents as it took all of them working together from Governor Ritter to many in the legislature. But Brandon was a key member of that success.