U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
June 22, 2012 11:01 PM UTC
12 Comments
That’s the conclusion from the blog for Latino Decisions, discussing their
They don’t list the sample anywhere in their results. No breakdown by party, ideology or even gender.
Without that it’s impossible to judge the validity.
I’d like to trust the results, but it’s hard without those data.
“About the Poll
Full results by state are here and archived with others at our Recent Polls page. Latino Decisions interviewed 2,000 Latino registered voters between June 12-21, 2012 using live telephone callers, sampled across five states, with 400 each in AZ, CO, FL, NV, VA. A mix of landline and cell phone-only households were called, and up to 5 attempts were made per number. Latino respondents had the opportunity to complete the survey in either English or Spanish, using fully bilingual callers, and overall 38% of Latinos chose to complete the survey in Spanish. Data are weighted to the state proportion of the Latino population across the five states for a combined battleground sample as well as weighted accurately within each state. Overall, the entire sample has a margin of error of +/- 2.2% and each state sample has a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. Additional survey results, including Congressional vote and policy attitudes will be reported later this month.”
http://www.latinodecisions.com…
It seemed to explain sample size etc
Peace
5 months from the election Obama has a significant lead among Hispanics. Is that a surprise?
Romney has to work to blunt that advantage by peeling off some of the social conservatives in the Hispanic community. That’s not a secret.
Obama will crush Mr. Self-Deport All Aliens among Latino voters. But the question among Latino voters isn’t margin but turnout. This finding of sharply increased enthusiasm for Obama speaks well of turnout and is a good augury for Obama in this and other swing states where Latinos are a factor.
I believe I’m starting to feel some of that myself, and not looking forward to it’s progression.
I have had periodic issues but can keep on typing, I guess. I think I once calculated I had made more than 50 million keystrokes, which is kind of the definition of repetitive motion syndrome. On the other hand, maybe I should just blame Karl Rove. He’s behind everything else that’s bad in this country.
🙂
Most Americans think of all Latinos/Hispanics as a monolithic bloc. Nothing could be more incorrect.
In Florida and (oddly)) New Jersey, Cuban expats vote strongly Republican. It has to do with most non-Cuban Republicans taking a strong stance against Castro. (Even though American grain farmers sell LOTS of product to Cuba. Fucking Commies, unless I make money from them.)
After three generations of “Next year, in Havana,” mentality, young Cubans are not voting like dad. More Dems, more independent thinkers.
All Cubans are here legally, due to the “One foot touches US soil and you are in” policies. Deportation policies and the recent Obama ruling are outside their areas of concern.
I would think that most non-Cuban Latinos either would vote for Obama regardless of almost anything, or certainly would not vote for Mittens on general principles.
I’m glad Obama did what he did, but I’m not sure he needed to do it from a vote garnering perspective.