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August 07, 2012 09:25 PM UTC

PPP in Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 43%

  • 22 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling’s latest:

PPP’s newest Colorado poll finds Barack Obama leading 49-43 in the state, just a shade closer than 49-42 when we last polled there two months ago. Obama continues to have the upper hand in Colorado because he leads with all the fastest growing groups of the electorate.

The key to Obama’s lead in Colorado is Hispanic voters. They like Obama a lot, approving of him by a 66/33 margin. And they strongly dislike Romney, with only 28% rating him favorably to 69% with an unfavorable opinion. As a result Obama currently leads with them by a 2:1 margin, 58/29. Add that to Obama basically running even with whites, down only 48-47 to Romney, and it’s the formula for a strong Obama standing in the state.

There’s also a broad generational gap in Colorado. Seniors support Romney by a 53/42 margin, but young voters go for Obama by a 59/27 spread. When you expand the categories, Romney leads 51-45 with voters over 45 in the state but Obama leads 55-34 with voters 45 and under. That bodes well for Democrats’ long term prospects in Colorado.

PPP shows President Barack Obama leading among Colorado independents 49-38%, and persistently tepid support for Mitt Romney among Colorado Republicans–significantly more Democrats are loyal to Obama in Colorado (92%) than Republicans are to Romney (85%). Given that Romney lost the caucuses here to Rick Santorum and the subsequent assembly process was rife with dissension in the ranks, that makes empirical sense.

Comments

22 thoughts on “PPP in Colorado: Obama 49%, Romney 43%

  1. for Scott Gessler . . .

    The key to Obama’s lead in Colorado is Hispanic voters.  They like Obama a lot, approving of him by a 66/33 margin.  And they strongly dislike Romney, with only 28% rating him favorably to 69% with an unfavorable opinion.  As a result Obama currently leads with them by a 2:1 margin, 58/29.

    . . . making up a 6-point overall deficit with his brown-folks-disenfranchisement shenanigans alone.

    1. Oversamples Dems… Rasmussen… blah blah blah.

      BlueCat, do you recall the good old days when the righties here would go on and on about Congress’s poor approval numbers? Why on earth don’t we hear about that anymore?

      1. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n

        As you can see, there is a fairly wide spread in the polls this year. For instance, the firm Public Policy Polling shows results that are about three percentage points more favorable to Mr. Obama than the consensus of surveys. (How is the consensus determined? More about that in a moment.) Conversely, Gallup’s polls have been leaning Republican this year, by about 2.5 percentage points.

        According to Nate Silver, PPP skews to Dems much more than Rasmussen skews to the right. So I don’t understand why PPP get s a front page post and Rasmussen gets bashed constantly here, no. The facts don’t support that.

        1. I know, don’t feed the trolls.  There are no jerk whisperers.

          Gppher, dear you have gone beyond tool and are approaching imp of Satan in my vocabulary.

          Idiot. Not that you’ll read this, since you are certainly off the clock.

    1. Romney ran aground in November 1804 while sailing to join the fleet off Den Helder. She broke up after attempts to float her off failed.

      I would have done a strikeover on 1804 if I knew how, and substituted 2012.

        1. I knew there was some reason to skim through the posts here even on days when I don’t have the inclination time to leave my inane comments. Thanks for the tip.

  2. Does OFA have any spanish speakers?

    I do not find this encouraging.  I find it the kind of news that lulls the dems into complacency.  But then you all have heard that before.

      1. The last OFA speaker I talked with….and granted that was a while ago, keep telling me I lived in Littleton…..I don’t, I Iive in Denver.  It was hard for him to take no for an answer…..he kept scheduling me for some kind of “get together” miles from where I lived and voted.

        So my question is legitimate and is based on that experience, among others…

  3. “What America is not a collective where we all work in a Kibbutz or we all in some little entity”

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejm

    At a fundraiser today in Chicago – barely a week after visiting the Holy Land – Romney took a shot at the Israeli Kibbutz movement, a product of the early socialist zionist movement and integral to the story of the founding of the State of Israel.

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