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August 28, 2024 08:07 AM UTC

Wednesday Open Thread

  • 22 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

“Never allow a person to tell you no who doesn’t have the power to say yes.”

–Eleanor Roosevelt

Comments

22 thoughts on “Wednesday Open Thread

      1. No shit thats how propoganda works you lie to spread fear to gain control of the weak. 

        Rogan is weak. He jumps on things to join in like when he made up that he knew a teacher who had been forced to have a litterbox in their classroom. Turns out to be made up crap floating in Rogan’s head that he had confused with having happened in reality. 

         

  1. The Harris Effect – Good News Wednesday. Via Heather Cox-Richardson.

    “the Harris Effect”: the 13 states that have updated their voters files since July 21—when Biden said he would not accept the Democratic nomination for president—have seen “incredible surges in voter registration relative to the same time period in 2020, driven by women, voters of color, and young voters.”

    The registrations of young Black women have almost tripled compared with the same period in 2020. The registrations of young Hispanic women are up by 150%. “Black women overall have almost doubled their registration numbers from 2020,” Bonier wrote. 

    These changes benefit Democrats, Bonier noted. “Democratic registration has increased by over 50%, as compared to only 7% for Republicans. These new registrants are modeled as +20 pts Dem, as compared to +6 during the same week in 2020.”

    The Cook Political Report today moved the electoral votes of Minnesota, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, and the governor's races in North Carolina and Washington, toward the Democrats. Minnesota, New Hampshire, and the Washington governor have gone from leaning Democratic to likely Democratic wins; the North Carolina governor’s race has gone from Toss Up to Lean Democratic; North Carolina has gone from Lean Republican to Toss Up. 

  2. Safe2Tell — well, it didn’t involve the institutional version of Safe2Tell, but Rep. Caraveo is speaking out:

    CPR: Rep. Caraveo speaking out about her struggles with depression

    After struggling privately with depression since her teenage years, Rep. Yadira Caraveo is now speaking out about it publicly, after experiencing worsening symptoms during her first term in Congress.

    “Over the last year or two, I’ve had increased symptoms of depression that I had to get treatment for, including a stay at Walter Reed,” she told CPR News. “And I’m now in a place where I’ve been able to see incredible doctors, incredible medical teams, and get to a place that I can talk about this.”

    Caraveo, who is still being treated, says she plans to use her experience “to focus on policy to ensure that everyone can get through those dark spots in their life.”

    Last year, she introduced a bipartisan bill to set up an agriculture crisis hotline to provide mental health and other support for farmers and ranchers. And in May she introduced a number of bipartisan bills around mental health, from bolstering the pediatric mental health workforce and youth suicide prevention research to helping Latino youth with mental health issues.

    1. Mental health is just as important as physical health.

      I'm thrilled that Caraveo is getting treatment and talking about it openly. I hope that gives more of us inspiration to work on our own mental well being.

      Showing vulnerability requires strength.

  3. Trump campaign staff had altercation with official at Arlington Cemetery : NPR

    So two campaign employees in Dumps entourage physically and verbally abused an official at Arlington National Cemetery on Monday, because the official was trying to prevent them from taking photos and filming in section 60, which only cemetery staff are authorized to do.  Then the orange turd gives a thumbs up in a photo op over one of the graves.

    No decency whatsoever, just using the graves of soldiers for props. When you think the man can go no lower, he goes lower.

    1.  

      This should enrage all veterans. I'm a Marine Corps veteran and this story really gets to me.

      As if using a visit to Arlington National Cemetary for a blatant political attack wasn't enough…

      "Trump participated in an event to mark the third anniversary of a deadly attack on U.S. troops in Afghanistan as U.S. forces withdrew from the country…"

      As if bringing campaign staff to photograph and video the visit in blatant disregard for the rules of Arlington wasn't enough…

      "Federal law prohibits political campaign or election-related activities within Army National Military Cemeteries, to include photographers, content creators or any other persons attending for purposes, or in direct support of a partisan political candidate's campaign," according to the statement. "Arlington National Cemetery reinforced and widely shared this law and its prohibitions with all participants."

      As if having campaign staff get into a verbal and physical altercation with staff of Arlington wasn't enough…

      When the cemetery official tried to prevent Trump campaign staff from entering Section 60, campaign staff verbally abused and pushed the official aside, according to the source.

      As if having blaming the incident on the mental health of the Arlington staff member wasn't enough…

      "The fact is that a private photographer was permitted on the premises and for whatever reason an unnamed individual, clearly suffering from a mental health episode, decided to physically block members of President Trump's team during a very solemn ceremony," Cheung said in the statement.

      This is all from the same fucker who calls veterans "losers" and "suckers" for getting killed or wounded in action.

      Seriously, how the fuck does any veteran support that man? I want this story to last at least until November. If there's one thing veterans should know about Trump, it's this.

      1. Additional elements:

        • your account leaves off all the things the Trump Sad!-ministration to set the stage for the attack at the Kabul Airport. Plenty of blame to pass around
        • the Trump scampaign said it was awful that Biden & Harris weren't there to honor the dead (overlooking the apparent lack of an invitation from the families to be present)
        • Apparently, Fox News had a team at the ANC.  I've not seen any other networks saying they were asked to cover the event.
        • the outrageous conduct apparently happened AFTER the ceremony, as the families and Trump went to individual gravesites and had the campaign's team take photos.  Who smiles and gives a thumbs-up gesture at a graveside? 

         

  4. So, to all my fellow Star Trek (especially DS9) fans, I don't know if you remember what starts in 2 days.  I know it's fiction, but it is an issue from a two parter that is almost 30 years old and is still pertinent, and almost accurate.  

     

     

    The only thing the got totally wrong is that we Americans still don't measure our heat temperature solely in Celsius.

  5. I don't know how I got on a One America News Network email list, but they just sent me an offer for discount Ivermectin and the chance to buy hydroxychloroquine. Asked myself, do I feel lucky?

  6. I have a question for Polsters at large.

    As I watch TV, every few minutes I hear Adam Frisch say that corporate greed and government spending are responsible for inflation. Can someone please tell me how government spending causes inflation?

    1. My opinion, a broad statement like "gubmint spending causes inflation" is too blunt and not nuanced. The Forbes story I'm sharing here might give you some of that nuance. But I'd say very recent and large government programs probably had some effect on inflation, partially by infusing money into the economy that in some cases helped enable high prices (aka "greedflation"). I'd also say the consequences of not doing some level of government spending during the first couple years of the pandemic might have been bad in different ways, like not keeping businesses or schools afloat, or watching newly jobless people get evicted and become homeless.

      https://www.forbes.com/sites/qai/2022/08/25/does-government-spending-cause-inflation/

      1. Thanks for the link, 2J2D.

        I read the entire article. The consensus of opinion is that government. spending has little or no effect on inflation.

    2. I'm NOT an economist — but learned to do some informed looking around when I needed economic info when I was a debater and then when I coached.  In this case, there was a small burst of news a month or so ago on causes of inflation — much of it seemed to eventually track back to a study from MIT / Sloan School.  A press release from MIT says

      “Our research shows mathematically that the overwhelming driver of that burst of inflation in 2022 was federal spending, not the supply chain,” said Mark Kritzman, a senior lecturer at MIT Sloan. 

      In writing “The Determinants of Inflation,” Kritzman and colleagues from State Street developed a new methodology that revealed how certain drivers of inflation changed in importance over time from 1960 to 2022. 

      In doing so, they found that federal spending was two to three times more important than any other factor causing inflation during 2022. 

      And after that money quote, the release goes on to describe the economics methodology behind the conclusions. 

      1. I read the MIT news release, thanks, John.

        My takeaway from the MIT piece is the 2002 spike of inflation was an anomaly.  The massive spending the government undertook in response to the COVID pandemic was primarily responsible, they say, for the wave of price increases. That is pretty counter-intuitive as I see things. The MIT news release didn't really explain how that worked.

        Even if they are right, it would be unwise, I think, to base future policy decisions about spending on a one-off set of calclations.

         

      2. Also definitely not an economist, but wanted to throw in that there was what's been described as worldwide inflation following the start of the pandemic. Wikipedia shouldn't be considered a definitive source, but here's a brief snippet from their 2021-2023 Inflation Surge page:

        It has been attributed to various causes, including pandemic-related economic dislocation, supply chain disruptions, the fiscal and monetary stimulus provided in 2020 and 2021 by governments and central banks around the world in response to the pandemic, and price gouging. Preexisting factors that may have contributed to the surge included housing shortages, climate impacts, and government budget deficits have also been cited as factors.

        I'm reasonably certain that US pandemic spending alone could have moved the inflation needle to some extent, and no doubt global economic conditions result from lots of factors that might be interrelated.

        1. I really appreciate your input, both of you non-economists. In thinking about it , I am not sure I ever met someone who would admit to BEING an economist, but I digress.

          I guess I was just curious about it because the Democratic party candidate in my district is using the claim of causality. Now that the pandemic has passed and the spending has slowed, he might want to reconsider throwing red meat to the GQPers with such talk. I will give him credit for adding a comment about reproductive choice, lately.

          1. Just to riff a bit off of a general observation Bowman often makes about the eastern plains – a whole lotta cash flowed into CD3 from federal pandemic spending, and it probably averted a great deal of economic suffering. I don't know the numbers and I won't claim to know if the money was spent efficiently, but the quantity was there. I can understand politically why Frisch might want to message about spending and inflation, and I'm not even saying there's no link, but there were humane benefits to the pandemic relief spending that I think were undeniable.

        2. Anecdotally, wages for low – skilled jobs went up during and after the pandemic. Restaurants, warehouses, hotels, construction,etc, just couldn’t staff their businesses, because people were afraid of getting COVID.

          This meant that these businesses eventually had to succumb to the market forces and pay a living wage. Wages have stayed fairly high in those occupations – $15-25 / hour now. Millions of dollars in COVID payments helped people survive , and people also paid down debt and saved more. So does this contribute to inflation, or to the booming Biden economy, or both?

          I think both…housing providers were quick to ratchet prices up, and while some supply chain problems were real, others were an excuse to price commodities higher. Gas prices, for example, dipped and then soared, mostly because of internal, not external, forces.

          This is purely anecdotal, gleaned from my observations and work helping formerly incarcerated folks get jobs during and after the peak of the pandemic, when most were not vaccinated.

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