The campaign between Max Tyler and Rick Enstrom in HD-3 has become something of a marquee race for the House across the state this year, in part because it pits a Democratic incumbent against a moderate Republican with considerable name ID and deep pockets. This competitive dynamic is compounded by the fact that, as a result of reapportionment, only about 25% of voters in the district have been represented by or voted for the Democrat before. If Republicans are able to win against Tyler, his defeat will likely accompany other GOP pick-ups across the state.
Enstrom has raised about $15,000 more than Tyler as of the September 17th reports. He’s also been far more tight-fisted: The Republican has $77,500 to spend during the next five weeks compared to just over half of that for Tyler.
Outside money has been pouring in support of both candidates, and Tyler’s being hammered hard over the airways on his ill-advised “maggots and worms” comments from a few years ago. That said, the district still has a 4% Democratic registration tilt, so whether or not those attacks resonate with unaffiliated voters is key.
With election day fast approaching, we want to know who you think will win in HD-23. Remember, vote for the candidate you reasonably believe will win in November, not the candidate you desperately hope does so.
A poll follows.
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