Democrats Surge Ahead in Latest Ballot Return Numbers

12 thoughts on “Democrats Surge Ahead in Latest Ballot Return Numbers”

1. That advice is good for Democrats.  Pro Trump Republicans should drop off their ballots Wednesday at the post office for a special pickup. 

    

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2. County-wide vote breakouts look encouraging for Diane Mitsch Bush. Dem turnout seems to be relatively strong.  With a boost from the Unaffiliated, she just might give Tipton a strong challenge.  Still a long, hard climb, obviously.

   Mesa county is obviously huge for the GOP, but Garfield and Pueblo together are keeping it close.  They need about a net-plus 6,000 votes from UAF.

   MESA Total  9,445   20,601 12,954 43,552

   GARFIELD Total  4,186   5,044 4,921  14,329

   PUEBLO Total  17,194  11,581 8,894  38,049

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   1. Those numbers don't identify Dem, GOP and UNAF.

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      1. Yeah, my bad.  It's DEM, REP, UAF, Total in that order

         Also the link Pols gave above is here too: https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/COSOS/2018/11/05/file_attachments/1101665/Ballots%20Returned%20Nov.%205,%202018.pdf

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   2. Fingers crossed. It'll come down to Pueblo for Diane. Western Slope unaffiliateds in most counties tend to break for Republican candidates.

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      1. As wellington said at Waterloo: Give me night or give me Blucher!

         wouldn't it be fabulous if those great Pueblo Democrats marched to the sound of the guns and gave us a great Congresswoman like Diane?

         But it is people like you and Duke who make the difference every day and hold the lines against those far right fusiliers until Blucher's column s arrive.

         I;'d kiss you, but it would probably fry my microchip☺

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3. Surge?

   1% is a surge?

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   1. What, you can 't spell Tsunami?

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      1. I can spell it, but we need to stop using foreign words in our discourse and make 'Murican English great.

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         1. Damn straight.  If English was good enough for Jesus Christ, it's good enough for me!

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   2. 2014 had a Senate race in addition to the usual midterm races. Participation was pretty good — 4th in the country that year, something like 53% of registered voting. 

      Magellan Strategy's breakdown of ballots reported in, comparing the similar date in 2014 to Nov. 4, 2018 (with my calculation of percentages).

      ALL     1,372,049      1,495,881     + 9%

      REP        556,111         510,312     –  9%

      DEM       444,556         512,927    +15%

      UAF        371,382         472,642    +27%

      Granted, the population hasn't stood still in the past 4 years. Secretary of State reports show October registrations in 2014 and 2018 (last available).

      REG     3,659,503      3,977491      +8.6%

      So, were I writing the headline, I’d summarize “UNAFFILIATED SURGE, REPUBLICANS RETREAT IN VOTING”

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      1. Well, the posting system is eating my images (which is better for me, since I left some voters out originally), so here are the badly formatted numbers.  I think the better indication might be the % turnout of registered voters year-over-year, so here that is.

         	% Voting		
         Party	2014	2018	Change
         REP	48.6%	44.6%	-4.0%
         DEM	39.7%	43.0%	3.4%
         UAF	27.7%	30.2%	2.5%
         ALL	38.0%	38.3%	0.3%
         

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