President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
August 12, 2019 12:34 PM UTC
30 Comments
As the Denver Post’s Justin Wingerter
And, Hick would only be 80 when he runs for his 3rd term as senator.
The perfect campaign manager for Hick.
Isn't the last Senator to run for a third term Gordon Allott? Colorado seems to be more in the mode for one and done, or possibly stretching to 2 terms.
This is almost painfully bad for the other candidates. It translates into MILLIONS of dollars that don't need to be spent introducing Hick to voters because they already know him. I am nowhere near in agreement with Hick on energy but on most other issues he's a good progressive. He's Cory Gardner's end and that's most important to me too.
Well put, Bullshit! But there are a few purists who would rather risk keeping Cory Gardner than put a Fossillian and Corporatist Dem in this seat. I think his energy policy is appalling, and his fracking fluid stunt, asinine but I want Gardner out at all cost.
If the evangelicals could hold their noses and vote for Trump, our environmentalists can hold theirs a vote for Hick.
Your implication that environmentalists should compromise their values like evangelicals have is extremely insulting.
That says a lot about you.
If there should be a Green Party candidate running in a race against Gardner and Hick, you can keep your values pure and uncompromised.
By the way, while I agree with almost nothing that the evangelicals stand for, I respect their ability to identify what it is they want – control over the judiciary – and their resolve to do whatever they need to do to obtain it.
Some on the left could learn from that. Or keep losing and whining about it.
The difference is that environmentalists are fighting to mitigate a real existential crisis -catastrophic climate change. Evangelicals, on the other hand, seek converts to their sect’s interpretation of scripture, and revenues for their churches.
And by the way, who’s been “losing and whining about it?” Were you paying attention to the 2018 elections? More diverse, progressive, environmentalists in Congress than ever before. This pattern was repeated in state legislatures across the country.
Only in the gerrymandered Senate with Moscow Mitch in control, did Republicans and moderate Democrats remain in power; but six of those Senators, most of them people you would denigrate as” hard left” ,are running for President, and are in the top 6 polled.
Moderates (Hick, Bennet, Klobuchar, etc) are losing in Presidential polling and donations. The money and enthusiasm is going to the more leftist candidates – like it or not.
So you can continue characterizing progressive candidates as “losers and whiners”; however, reality is refusing to cooperate with your version of it.
Your take on the Presidential campaign is fascinating … " The money and enthusiasm is going to the more leftist candidates "
I'm not sure how you overlook or miscategorize the current polling leader (Biden, up by 12.8% over his nearest competitor in today's RCP listing). Are you overlooking or miscategorizing the 2nd Quarter fundraising leader (Buttigieg, at $24.8 million). Buttigieg and Biden out raised Sanders and Warren. Biden & Buttigieg combine in the RCP aggregation to 37.1%, Warren & Sanders have 34.8%.
More accurately, in the Democratic Presidential field, moderates and leftists are about equal in money, polling, and enthusiasm. ( still not whiners and losers , as R&R likes to call them). The progressives – Warren, Sanders, Harris, and Booker – do make up 4/6 of the top 6 contenders.
So I’ll take your correction. I’ll restate as: Progressives still dominate the top Democratic candidates field, but polling and fundraising are about equal between progressives and moderates. Buttigieg did outraise Sanders by about 7M$. Warren has about 35M$ total.
Your aggregation is interesting – but 34.8 % isn’t far from 37%, and Biden, as he continues to gaffe-slam his way through the debate season like a bull in a china shop, will lose ground to other candidates, possibly to Buttigieg for the moderate votes.
And at least we can manage a civil disagreement.
We're always civil, you $%#&@!
“Were you paying attention to the 2018 elections? More diverse, progressive, environmentalists in Congress than ever before.”
You mean like the surge in diverse, passionate progressive environmentalists who carried 112 to success last November?
As for your hard left presidential candidates (i.e., Medicare-For-All, Like It or Not), Old Bernie's campaign is circling the drain albeit with Warren picking up some of his lost followers.
With as strong a candidate Hick would make, just one campaign ad could make Gardner a one-and-done senator:
"Would you buy a used tractor from this man?"
Where's the $#%%!! poll? Nobody seems to have a link to it. Not Pols, not the Post, not Townhall. Nothing comes up for Garin-Hart-Yang research group. Hart research has no "Hickenlooper" and no "Colorado Senate" results in its search results. The Denver Post link to Five thirty Eight's "B+ rating" only goes to a page that doesn't even have Garin Hart Yang Research on it..
When one looks up Garin Hart Yang on 538, there is no Hickenlooper, nor Colorado Senate poll listed.
I call BS. This is like AG Barr telling us that Trump was exonerated, without, you know, actually letting anyone see the report.
Until the actual poll is posted, and we can see what the mysterious Garin Hart Yang actually found and whom they actually polled, this is not a conclusive result.
Uhhh, 51 points is kind of definitive. Rage all you like.
La Pamposa no cree esta encuesta. Ella llamó caca de toro.
Are the "51 points" wishful thinking on someone's part, or a REAL poll? Seems as if it shouldn't be so difficult to find – if it's real. For the record, I wasn't polled . . .
I don’t doubt that a poll was conducted. I’d like to see it to see who commissioned it, what questions were asked, how did they determine who was a “likely Democratic primary voter”, what the demographic cross tabs show.
Every news article published here , or elsewhere, citing a poll as a source has had a link to the poll so that readers can investigate just such questions. That this article, and even the original Post article by Justin Wingerter, did not link to an actual poll is ….odd, and questionable journalism. The last example we had of a hidden poll turned out to be done by backers of Secretary Griswold , who were testing the waters for a Senate run.
I’ve written to Mr. Wingerter and to Mr. Garin, through his research firm. If anyone writes back, I’ll let you know.
Sounds good. Agree, what were the questions? Was it a "push" poll?
Most humorous "spin" on the poll — Townhall, claiming "In a new poll of likely Democratic primary voters, only 18 percent said they approve of the current candidates on the ballot."
One indication of the poll consequences, according to Axios:
There are two scientists running for Senate; one, Trish Zornio, teaches at CU and has researched at Stanford. Zornio actually coordinates 314 Action in Colorado. It’s gotta sting that 314 is not backing her, but backing a geologist who hasn’t worked in the field in a decade, and who hasn’t even declared that he’s running.
And as scientists, they should be proficient in math. And with each polling somewhere in the neighborhood of 1%, they have about as much of a chance as being the Democratic nominee for Senate as Hick has of winning the Democratic presidential nomination. Which means virtually none.
MJ, use the google on Geoff Garin, the pollster quoted by the Post.
I suggest soft paper towels to pick up the pieces of your exploding head. Good luck with the mess!
No towels needed, Gertie- Geoff Garin’s bio comes up just dandy, but where’s the fricking poll? Please provide a link.
You’re a better journalist than that. So was V. So are the Alvas. Have you ever published a poll result, especially one so extraordinary, without checking the original source?
Didn’t think so.
no link, so there probably is no poll.
There is only one definitive event and that will be in March.
Until then – building name recognition is expensive. And sometimes pointless.
The Denver ghost published this, not me or V. Back when it was the Post, it had editors, who would have kicked a reporter's ass from here to Sunday for turning in a story without the source to the poll.
That said, I'm no longer employed in journalism, much to my dismay but to the joy of many Western Slope politicos.
Back to the post: you might try contacting the ghost reporter. It's a thought.
Done. Thanks for the suggestion.
Tellingly, no other local media picked up this story (other than Ch. 7 reposting the original directly from the newspaper).
Has the crime scene been dusted for the fingerprints of ex-DP Editor of the Editorial Pages, Curtis Hubbard?
Frankly, there are good candidates already running…and any one of them could romp and stomp Gardner.
Morning Consult has its ranking of Senators through Q2.
Cory gets 37% approve, 37% disapprove, and 26 "Don't know". By approval, he's 95th among Senators. And he's been basically flat since 2017 Q3 No matter how you count, that puts him odd land.
Everyone on the hard left should take a deep breath and stop hyperventilating.
As much as I would like to see Hick run against Gardner, I doubt that he will. He really has never had any desire to serve in any legislative body. Why would he start now?
My guess is he is running to be Kamala Harris' VEEP, or Secretary of Something or Another.