( – promoted by ClubTwitty)
I have a story up this morning at Coloradoan.com on Ken “Wasco” Waszkiewicz, who successfully petitioned his way on to the 4th Congressional District ballot. The secretary of state confirmed his petition sufficiency Thursday.
That means there will be five candidates on the ballot this fall — Democrat, Republican, American Constitution Party, Libertarian and Independent.
See the story here: http://bit.ly/aK3uMv
Those of you who follow the 4th will remember that Eric Eidsness pulled 11 percent of the vote as a Reform Party candidate in 2006. My guess is that the presence of five candidates, rather than three, will make it more difficult this year for a single candidate to emerge as an alternative to the Democrats and Republicans.
UPDATE: The Secretary of State now says that there will be no Libertarian candidate on the ballot. He had been on the SoS list after filing an affidavit of candidacy, but he never got a party designation or turned in petitions. Kate Melvin, a spokeswoman for the Libertarian Party, left me a voice mail late last night saying the party was not fielding a candidate in the 4th.
So we’re down to 4 for the 4th. Has a nice ring, no?
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I’d say this bodes quite well for Betsy.
But if they’re all doing GOTV, it could increase the turnout among wingnuts and hurt Markey.
It’s not which ideology gets the largest percentage, it’s which candidate gets the most votes.
The ACP candidate is not going to pull many votes from Markey, but will from Gardner.
Right-leaning people are going to get multiple GOTV calls.
Many people think that voting for a third party is a wasted vote. Those people are likely to vote Republican, no matter who got them to the polls.
You ID your supporters and then you get out your supporters. You don’t GOTV someone else’s supporters. That makes you lose.
You can get someone to the polls, but you have no guarantee how they’ll vote when they get there.
I’ve seen it backfire before.
If you want to think it’s good for Markey, fine. I’m not going to argue with you. What I’m saying is that it might be good, it might be bad, or it might not matter at all.
One of the reasons minor parties remain minor is that they don’t understand what “GOTV” stands for, let alone how to do it. And if they did they would be GOTV’ing from the same voters Cory Gardner wants.
In a district that came down to 2.5% between the Republican and Democrat in 2006, having a social right winger on the ballot who may pull 2 or 3 percent from the Dominionist types is not good news for Cory Gardner.
The more rightie candidates the better for Markey.
Yes they’ll get calls but at least some will peel off for alternate candidates. The link provided doesn’t really say anything about Waszkiewicz’s political positioning and nothing I’ve been able to find says anything more. Does anybody know what flavor independent this guy is? Just curious because that would tell us whether he too will be more likely to take rightie votes or could take some from Markey as, say, a moderate.
Rightist protest votes now have a couple of places to go.
they can call Gardner’s traditional support and remind them of the meetings he has missed that would have benefited the district he represents NOW in order to hobnob with corporate interests and fatcats in DC rather than looking out for their interests. They can peel a lot of votes away from Cory.
But if those who pay attention like having real representation. (opposite of Musgrave)
She will win a second term.