President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
January 14, 2020 09:25 AM UTC
9 Comments
I’ve always been a big James Carville, but……..
In this case, he’s gotten out beyond his skis. What possessed him to endorse the candidate polling at 0% pretty much everywhere?
PS That’s not a slam against Mike Bennet. In a better world with a different political system, Bennet would be a very serious candidate. But we don’t live in that world. We live in a cross between realty TV and game show. Bennet isn’t made for that.
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When people don't understand why can't they just say they don't understand and back off. Because they arepeople.
We've had some interesting endorsements from several Dem professionals this campaign: Jeff Berman, Obama's delegate guru went for Beto; Ray Rivera, Obama's CO state director is with Bloomberg; and now Carville is for Bennet. It's all good with me, but I'd like what their smoking!
Being able to said “told you so” is like a long shot bet. Sure, it won’t pay off 99% of the time, but because it is such a long shot it has almost no risk either.
Unlike endorsing Amy Klobuchar as the better moderate no one in a hypothetical Biden administration is going to be angry about going with someone who was never a threat. It also gets the endorser’s name in the paper where a safer one would not. And in the quite possible realm of Trump triumphing or the Biden administration being a disaster for Democrats then he has the insurance of being able to say, “Oh, well if we’d nominated Bennet this would not have happened.”
The liberal version of this would be to have endorsed Julián Castro before he dropped out.
$100 says Biden doesn't win.
What you say?
$25 says that Biden wins the Democratic nomination.
To be on the “Biden wins Democratic nomination” side of the bet I’d want it to be 4 to 1, otherwise it is a sucker’s bet. He’s not an even money favorite yet.
If I were betting on the other candidates to take the nomination I’d risk $20 on Warren, $20 on Sanders, $10 on Klobuchar… I might put $15 on divided convention right now. Anyone else no more than a dollar or two.
Bennet is still there, one of the last 12 from a field of (at some point) 26 (27 if you count Gravel). His status, mainly from Ballotpedia:
— Money: fundraising; thru Q3, raised $5.6m, spent $3.8m, COH $1.9m, and no satellite spending organizations. Campaign webpage says " We need to raise $700,000 by January 16th to have the resources to compete in New Hampshire." — doesn't have an update since the appeal was first posted.
— staff — I don't recognize ANY of his staff or their experience. a couple of former DCCC directors.
— endorsements — ballotpedia lists 3 — Hickenlooper, Romer and Weiser
— debates — did not make the September debate or any afterwards. With tonights', he will have been in 2 of 6.
— campaign time — 68 days of 2019 in the first 4 states.
— RCP aggregate national average is 0.8%; New Hampshire average is 0.7%
— at 1 cent in PredictIt market.
— and last but not least, will be off the campaign for the most part during any impeachment trial. [so will Sanders, Warren, Klobuchar
Didn't Bennet raise a lot more a lot faster for his senate races than for this?
(BTW, is Mike Gravel still alive? Or did you include that as a joke? He's the guy who lost his senate seat to Lisa Murkowski's father 40 YEARS AGO!)
The 2020 presidential campaign of Mike Gravel, former U.S. senator from Alaska, began on March 19, 2019 with the formation of an exploratory committee,[2] followed on April 2, 2019 with his campaign filing with the Federal Elections Commission to officially run for the presidency.[3][4] Gravel's initial intention was not to win the nomination, but rather to inject his platform into the conversation so that his ideas become part of the mainstream[5], though he announced that he was "running to win" on April 29.[6]
5 seconds on the google
Just say i don't understand.
No one will think less of you