President (To Win Colorado) See Full Big Line

(D) Kamala Harris

(R) Donald Trump

80%↑

20%

CO-01 (Denver) See Full Big Line

(D) Diana DeGette*

(R) V. Archuleta

98%

2%

CO-02 (Boulder-ish) See Full Big Line

(D) Joe Neguse*

(R) Marshall Dawson

95%

5%

CO-03 (West & Southern CO) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Hurd

(D) Adam Frisch

50%

50%

CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado) See Full Big Line

(R) Lauren Boebert

(D) Trisha Calvarese

90%

10%

CO-05 (Colorado Springs) See Full Big Line

(R) Jeff Crank

(D) River Gassen

80%

20%

CO-06 (Aurora) See Full Big Line

(D) Jason Crow*

(R) John Fabbricatore

90%

10%

CO-07 (Jefferson County) See Full Big Line

(D) B. Pettersen

(R) Sergei Matveyuk

90%

10%

CO-08 (Northern Colo.) See Full Big Line

(D) Yadira Caraveo

(R) Gabe Evans

52%↑

48%↓

State Senate Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

80%

20%

State House Majority See Full Big Line

DEMOCRATS

REPUBLICANS

95%

5%

Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
June 17, 2022 01:20 PM UTC

GSG/PNC Poll: Ain't No "Red Wave" High Enough

  • 8 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols
Gov. Jared Polis (D) eating his opponents’ lunches.

As previewed earlier this week, the Democratic comms and polling outfit Global Strategy Group along with liberal activist group ProgressNow Colorado released their latest Mountaineer quarterly poll–and as long as you’re a Democrat living in Colorado not named Joe Biden, it’s encouraging news:

Democrats still lead Republicans on all partisan metrics, which have stayed remarkably consistent since we last polled in February. Governor Jared Polis and Senator Michael Bennet, who are both well above water in favorability ratings, lead in their respective races for re-election. The Democrats’ lead on the generic legislative ballot has also held steady, even as President Biden’s standing in Colorado has declined further.

While both Colorado Democrats and Colorado Republicans are much better liked than their DC counterparts, Democrats start from a significantly better position, and Polis gives Democrats a popular standard-bearer. While unaffiliated voters don’t have much love for DC Democrats, they loathe DC Republicans, MAGA Republicans, and Trump. Lauren Boebert is only saved from having similar ratings by the fact that two-thirds of unaffiliateds are unfamiliar with her. The situation is much the same in the blue-collar swing suburb of Adams County (which we oversampled).

The continuing drop in approval for President Joe Biden, which the Mountaineer polls have tracked to some dismay among local Democrats, stands in contrast to the resilient popularity of Gov. Jared Polis and Colorado Democrats, whose numbers have held steady throughout Biden’s precipitous decline:

In terms of favorability, Democrats enjoy a healthy presumption of good faith compared to Republicans near and far:

On Monday, GSG Vice President Andrew Baumann leaked the big headline from this poll, double-digit leads held by Polis and Sen. Michael Bennet over their prospective Republican challengers. Those numbers are particularly tough news for Republicans supporting Joe O’Dea and Heidi Ganahl, since grassroots challengers Ron Hanks and Greg Lopez either perform as well or slightly better against the incumbents–shattering the arguments about “electability” O’Dea and Ganahl are making to the GOP base to shake off their hard-right opponents.

With all of this in mind, this poll is not all good news for local Democrats: although they enjoy healthy overall leads and some Democratic base voters are highly motivated to turn out, key traditional Democratic demographics like young and Latino voters are less enthusiastic. That identifies a clear priority for Dems going forward, especially in the state’s new heavily Latino CD-8 where (fortunately for Democrats) Republicans are making little attempt to court this crucial bloc of voters.

Here’s the full memo. If there is a “red wave” coming in November, Colorado looks above the water line.

Comments

8 thoughts on “GSG/PNC Poll: Ain’t No “Red Wave” High Enough

  1. In the spirit of supporting Colorado farmers who grow plant 🌱 proteins I hope to Goddess that is an Impossible Burger he’s eating. It’s Friday – I’m certain Archbishop Aquila would approve 😜

    1. Is your brain still broken from getting triggered yesterday?

       

      Also, still waiting for you to substantiate your claim about the so-called "baggage" Phil Weiser has that is worse than John Kellner's conflict of interest with sources.

      Or, do you have nothing?  As usual.

  2. This election cycle is reminding me more and more of 1994 when Clinton's approval ratings were in the toilet, Newt Gingrich and Bob Dole were planning their takeover of the Congress, but Roy Romer bucked the tide and kicked Bruce Benson's ass.

    1. I was hoping to get some inside information for you guys, but no go. My concert-going buddy from work is Jewish, so I asked him for the lowdown on those space lasers. Unfortunately, he's not permitted to discuss the matter with goyim.

Leave a Comment

Recent Comments


Posts about

Donald Trump
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Lauren Boebert
SEE MORE

Posts about

Rep. Yadira Caraveo
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado House
SEE MORE

Posts about

Colorado Senate
SEE MORE

106 readers online now

Newsletter

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!