February 09, 2016 05:08 PM UTC

New Hampshire Primary Open Thread

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• by: Colorado Pols

UPDATE #3: With 46% reporting, Kasich looks to have second place sewn up. Christie appears to have hit a wall. Jeb! maintains about a thousand-point lead over Rubio for fourth place; at this rate, it appears that Rubio is just waiting to find out whether Jeb! or Cruz will finish ahead of him in the fourth spot.

As the National Review wrote earlier today, Rubio absolutely cannot afford to finish behind Jeb! in New Hampshire.

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UPDATE #2: With 37% of the polls reporting, Rubio trails Jeb! by nearly a thousand votes in the battle for fourth place. Chris Christie is still climbing slowly, and is now about 2 thousand votes behind Rubio and fifth place.

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UPDATE: As expected, the drama in New Hampshire is the race for second place; Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders have been declared the winners in their respective parties.

The early surprise is the freefall of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, who is struggling to keep it together for a fifth place finish. As of 7:00 pm (Mountain), Ohio Gov. John Kasich has a pretty good hold on second place, followed by Jeb! Bush, Ted Cruz, and Marco Roboto. After last week’s surprising third place finish in Iowa, Rubio might be looking at a scenario whereby his entire campaign rests on the results from South Carolina on Feb. 20.

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Polls in New Hampshire close at 6PM Mountain time. Use this thread to live and die by the results.

Or not, depending on your level of excitability.