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John Kidd Set to Win HD-1 Republican Primary

Despite the fact that it is “mathematically impossible” for a Republican to win in Denver’s House District 1, the seat has nonetheless drawn two Republican challengers: John Kidd and James Wildt.

According to recently-filed finance reports, however, it’s as if Wildt isn’t a candidate at all. The accountant has raised a mere $1,240 since the campaign’s outset, and he’s spent nearly every dime of that and more.

Kidd hasn’t brought in much more than Wildt — raising only $1,660 — but the businessman seems to have his heart set on winning the seat, having loaned himself $15,500. That loan should be more than enough to secure him the Republican nomination, but it’s an oddity: why would anyone loan their campaign money — money that can only be repaid from other funds raised — for a race they’re certain to lose? Neither Democrat boasts remarkable fundraising numbers, but the district’s demographics utterly preclude Kidd from winning no matter how much money he funnels into his campaign coffers. It’s unlikely, in fact, that Kidd will even raise enough money to repay his loan.

It’s a strange race. In many ways, Wildt is a more natural Republican candidate for such a heavily Democratic seat — a homeowner’s association president who seems to really care about the area and posts goofily charming pictures of his dogs on his website. Any Republican in the district would be a sacrificial lamb, but Wildt is running less because he wants to win, it seems, and more because he honestly believes “in the true Republican tradition of limited government.” His entire candidacy is summed up in his campy campaign slogan: “Let’s take back House District 1…Vote for Jim and Together We’ll Win.” Jim won’t win, but he’ll have hell of a fun time in the process of losing.

Kidd’s whole candidacy, on the other hand, seems rather odd. The insurance salesman is either wholly convinced he can spend enough of his personal wealth to win the race or views the campaign as some sort of cure-all for a mid-life crisis. His website is peppered with photos of Kidd posing with a few notable Republican politicians, and it appears that Kidd really invested some time and rhetoric into his “issues” page. He’s a surprisingly credible candidate, but that doesn’t change the fact that he cannot win the seat. Perhaps he views even the Republican nomination — which is a lock — as a crowning achievement to his career in business and volunteer service. Either that or he’s delusional enough to spend money and time on a race which would make even Don Quixote think twice.  

Brian Carroll Exits House Race…Again

This has got to be some sort of record or something.

Today Democrat Brian Carroll announced that he was ending his campaign for the state legislature in HD-28, meaning that he has now entered and exited the same State House race twice in 6 months.

Last fall Carroll inexplicably decided to run for the House against incumbent Andy Kerr, who only has one term left. Carroll ended his campaign rather quickly, but it all became a moot point when reapportionment convinced Kerr to run for the State Senate (SD-22) instead.

With Kerr running for a different seat, Carroll announced in January that he would again be running for HD-28. A month later, Democrat Brittany Petterson announced that she would also run in HD-28, and she quickly began collecting a strong list of endorsements.

At the Jefferson County Democratic Assembly on Saturday, Petterson bested Carroll with 80% of the vote, meaning that Carroll could only make it onto the primary ballot by going the petition route. Apparently he won’t bother, and is instead dropping out of the same race for the second time in 6 months.

Said Carroll:

“I began this journey with the intent to affect positive change in my community and to be a part of meeting the needs of our state. My dedication and commitment to serve my community, state and country will never wane. While I continue to believe that my background and experience well qualify me to represent House District 28, taking back the State House is too important to split critical resources in this fight. This is just the beginning for me in helping elect good Democrats in Lakewood and across our great state, including my endorsement of Brittany Pettersen for House District 28.”

We’d say it’s a bit of a stretch to call this a “journey,” since his campaign isn’t even entering month #3. And while it makes for an interesting trivia question to drop out of the same race twice in 6 months, it also all but ensures that Carroll won’t be getting elected to anything anytime soon. For one thing, nobody is going to donate a cent to his campaign if he runs again in the next 10 years.

You can read the full press release after the jump.

How Will City Council Redistricting Affect Sitting Council Members?

One of the benefits (or drawbacks, depending on your perspective) of the Denver City Council’s in-house management of redistricting is the limited probability that a sitting council member will draw him or herself out of a seat. It only stands to reason — with direct oversight of the redistricting process, each of the 11 district-elected councilors can ensure that their current home remains in their current district, thereby avoiding any messy elections pitting two incumbents against each other.

The city council will host its first public meeting on redistricting later this week. The first topic of discussion at that meeting, we suspect, will be the status of the three draft maps already drawn up by the Redistricting Committee.

If the state-level reapportionment process is any indicator, it’s highly likely that each of those three draft maps will evolve into any number of wild permutations. With the proposals as they stand now, however, there isn’t even the remote possibility that two current council members may end up in the same district.

Redistricting won’t have any impact on either Robin Kniech or Debbie Ortega – both were elected at-large in 2011 and are eligible to continue serving no matter where they live in Denver.

Council Members Jeanne Fatz, Peggy Lehmann, Charlie Brown, Judy Montero, and Jeanne Robb were each elected to their third terms in 2011. They’ll be ineligible to run again in 2015 because of term limits.

That means that the only sitting council members whose political futures could theoretically be affected by redistricting are Susan Shepherd in District 1, Paul Lopez in District 3, Mary Beth Susman in District 5, Chris Nevitt in District 7, Albus Brooks in District 8, and Chris Herndon in District 11.

Shepherd’s residence will stay in District 1 in each of the current maps, so barring any major changes in future proposals, she can continue serving without issue. The same is true for Paul Lopez in District 3, as the southwest Denver district didn’t experience any major population shift since the last Census. Neither do Susman or Nevitt have any cause to worry based off the current proposals – their respective homes will stay put in their respective districts.

That leaves Albus Brooks and Chris Herndon. Brooks will remain squarely within District 8 in two of the current proposals, but in the Redistricting Committee’s “Map B”, he’ll be moving to District 9. Still, Brooks has no reason to fret given that incumbent District 9 Council Member Jeanne Robb won’t be able to run again in 2015; Brooks will have the new district all to himself.

Things get a little complex when you turn to Chris Herndon because his District 11 has nearly doubled in population in the past ten years. Under the council’s first proposal, Herndon will stay in District 11, but the district itself will split in half and a “new” district will be created and labeled District 10 – the current District 10 will be incorporated into Districts 9 and 5. No current council member resides within that new district, so under “Map A,” the city council will be getting a brand new member. In “Map B,” Herndon will be moved to District 8, but under that proposal, current District 8 Council Member Albus Brooks will be moved into District 9, so there’s no conflict. In that map, the new northeast Denver district will be deemed District 11. In the third proposal, Herndon stays in District 11 and the new, empty district gets the District 9 moniker. The current District 9 will be divvied up into Districts 1, 3, 7, and 8.

At first glance, the plans to redistrict the divisions of the Denver City Council seem incredibly complex. Yet because so many sitting council members won’t be able to run again in 2015, all potential conflicts pitting one incumbent against another are more or less resolved.  

Still, you’ve got to wonder: if the current homes of current council members weren’t even casually considered as part of the redistricting process, what would the maps, especially at this initial stage, look like?  

Casey Tighe to Take on John Odom

Jefferson County Democrats have been struggling to field candidates in the two countywide commissioner races this cycle.

Commissioner Faye Griffin is vying for a second term in 2012, and Commissioner John Odom, who filled the vacancy created after Kevin McCasky’s controversial move to the Jefferson County Economic Council, is seeking a full term. No Democrats had announced to take on either Griffin or Odom until attorney Casey Tighe filed papers late last month for Odom’s District 2 seat.

From the Columbine Courier:

Democrat Casey Tighe has the lofty goal of unseating Jeffco Commissioner John Odom in November, and the Colorado Department of Transportation audit director is ending his 24-year career to focus completely on his campaign.

Tighe, a longtime Golden resident who filed his candidate affidavit on Jan. 27, said he does not foresee a highly charged, partisan race for the District 2 seat, which in recent years has been dominated by Republicans.

A Republican vacancy committee appointed Odom to fill the seat vacated by former commissioner Kevin McCasky a year ago, when McCasky accepted a job as head of the Jefferson County Economic Development Corp.

“I don’t know that this will be a real partisan race,” Tighe said. “You’re looking for someone who will run an effective government.”

The last Democrat to fill an elected office in Jefferson County was former commissioner Kathy Hartman, who in 2010 was defeated by District 3 Commissioner Don Rosier, a Republican. Hartman was also the first Democrat elected to the seat in 14 years when she won the office in 2006.

But despite the local electorate’s historically conservative leanings, Tighe, 52, said his auditing expertise will make him a competitive candidate.

“I can provide a fresh set of eyes and perspective as a county commissioner,” said Tighe, who was serving on the county audit committee last year when the current Board of Commissioners dissolved it. “I try to make my decisions based on the facts … and not purely on ideology. There’s a lot of talk right now about cutting government … but you need to make the right decisions about where can you cut and where you focus the government’s efforts.”

Further, county residents are interested in a business-friendly atmosphere, he said, an insight that does not appear lost on the current board.

“I know Jefferson County. I know what the people are looking for. … People are interested in business development. They want to see businesses grow,” Tighe said, adding that county services should be streamlined and helpful. “The government should be elegant in that the customer has a positive experience. … It should be an efficient process. You shouldn’t have to go back again to get service.”

That political newcomer Tighe is the only Democratic candidate set to take on Odom in District 2 shows just how intimidating the commissioner’s races are for Democrats. Odom, who lost his first ever political bid against Cheri Jahn for the SD-20 seat in 2010, is arguably much more vulnerable in his re-election bid than Griffin – he lost his last campaign for a much smaller office and never before has been on the ballot countywide. Even with that inherent vulnerability, however, no big-name Democrats were willing to challenge him for the District 2 seat, leaving the race open to the relatively unknown Tighe.

Can Tighe win? He’s got an interesting pedigree, at the very least. The longtime CDOT audit director also served as the chairman of the Jefferson County Audit Committee, qualifications which will enable Tighe to campaign on government transparency and accountability. Those talking points may resonate in light of Jeffco’s own “Bridge to Nowhere” scandal if Tighe can make the case that he’s better qualified than Odom to root out county corruption.

With no contribution limits in county races, however, Tighe’s talking points won’t be relevant unless he can raise enough to televise them. Tighe may have some contacts with the Colorado Trial Lawyer’s Association, but he doesn’t have a record as an elected official. Without it or any other indicator of previous success, Tighe will struggle with convincing donors that he can win the election against Odom. There’s just no way that Tighe’s fundraising list, as a political newcomer, will be long enough to really give incumbent Odom a run for his money.

The commissioner’s race is an important challenge for Democrats – a strong presence at the countywide level will boost turnout for State House and Senate Candidates, especially given that there are no statewide offices up this year with the exception of CU regent at-large.

Tighe may prove a worthy adversary for Odom, but the numbers aren’t on his side. There are more residents in Jefferson County than in the entire state of Wyoming, and unless Democratic challengers can raise the kind of money characteristic of a congressional race, incumbent Republicans will continue to dominate county level politics. Without previous elected service and with a low name-ID, it’s unlikely that Tighe will be able to pull in enough cash to be viable.  

Still no word on who, if anybody, will take on Faye Griffin.  

Deeply Personal Narrative Behind Hancock’s SB-2 Support

We wrote a few weeks ago about the political implications of Denver Mayor Michael Hancock’s unconditional support of State Senator Pat Steadman’s civil unions bill, SB-2.

Above the underlying political calculus, however, is a very poignant personal anecodte.

From HuffPo Denver:

As Colorado legislators debate the outcome of a civil unions bill, for many it may be easy to lose sight of the population it most affects (clearly excepting the legislature’s four openly gay members, one of whom sponsored the bill). For Denver’s Mayor Michael Hancock, the issue hits far closer to home.

Hancock grew up in northeast Denver with nine other brothers and sisters. One of his siblings, Robert, was gay. And at a recent LGBT meet and greet, he shared a very personal story: Robert died of AIDS in 1996.

In a video posted on Out Front Colorado, Hancock says, “I remember very clearly standing next to him… while he lay in the bed at the hospital, and talking to him. And my brother told me a couple things that I will never forget. One is, he says, Gay people are human … Treat me as a human being. And then he looked at me and he said, ‘Michael I know that you’re going to stay involved in politics. Do everything you can to continue to fight so that poor people don’t have to die of this disease, because they don’t have to’ … And two, he says, is never ever stop fighting. For us.”

The Mayor then explained in a stirring speech that even though his brother’s partner loved him, he was unable to make decisions on his behalf. “I couldn’t have loved my brother more than his partner did,” said Hancock. “And I’ll tell you something: that was my biological brother who I loved with my very being, but I could not have loved him more than that guy in the corner… and I thought it was a damn shame that he couldn’t make decisions on his behalf.”

Hancock concluded with a statement of support for Colorado passing a civil unions bill this session. “We are way overdue,” he said. “Government should not legislate who you love and who you commit your life to. And as my brother taught me, love does not recognize gender, race, or ethnicity. We can do better than that as a people.”

Denver’s first openly gay council member, Robin Kniech, told the Denver Post she appreciated the vulnerability of Hancock’s speech.

Part of what carried Michael Hancock to the Mayor’s office was his unique ability to pair his devotion to public service with an uplifting personal narrative. His recent comments on civil unions continue that tradition.

There’s a very pressing lesson behind all of this: it’s difficult to separate a lawmaker from the office that they hold. But politicians are people too. Behind most legislative decisions are stories not dissimilar to Hancock’s, stories that are sometimes lost in political chatter. Those stories matter, and in cases like Hancock’s, they often lead to public policy with personal purpose.

Some would argue that’s the very best kind.  

Paul Rosenthal Gets the Incumbent Treatment Courtesy of Pat Steadman

Sitting elected officials at the state level are often reluctant – and sometimes downright recalcitrant – to endorse any candidate in a state level race when that candidate is in a primary.

There’s good reason for that, of course, particularly in districts with such heavy registration advantages for either party that the primary election is akin to the general. Sitting legislators will ostensibly have to work with whoever wins their party’s primary, and “working together” becomes a whole lot more awkward when there’s lingering resentment because you endorsed the losing candidate.

That’s why it comes as a surprise that State Senator Pat Steadman will be holding a joint fundraiser with HD-9 candidate Paul Rosenthal. Steadman isn’t just an honorary “host” of a Rosenthal fundraiser – standard fare for an elected endorser. Instead, Steadman will be fundraising for his own campaign right alongside Rosenthal.

From Steadman:

Please join us on Thursday, March 8th from 5:30-7:30P.M. for a rockin’ happy hour in support of two candidates for the 69th General Assembly.

Suggested Contribution: $50

($25 to each candidate committee)

Contribute online at http://www.peopleforpaul.com & http://www.patsteadman.com

Gunther Toody’s Denver Diner

4500 E. Alameda Ave. (at Leetsdale Dr.)

Glendale CO, 80246

That Steadman is encouraging donors to give both to his own re-election campaign and Rosenthal’s campaign fund is evidence that Rosenthal has been widely and wildly accepted as the eventual Democratic nominee in HD-9. Steadman clearly isn’t afraid to step on Rosenthal challenger Bill McMullen‘s toes because there’s no chance that Rosenthal won’t get his party’s nod.

It’s events like these that make the HD-9 race all that much stranger. Paul Rosenthal’s never won any of his campaigns for public office yet he’s being treated as though he’s the sitting representative, joint fundraising events with an area state senator and all. RTD-Director Bill McMullen, on the other hand, can point to his record in public policy and government as well as the fact that he’s demonstrated his ability to win a campaign. By all measures, McMullen is a much more credible candidate – he should be the one enjoying legislator endorsements, or at the very least, he should be able to prevent people like Steadman from endorsing in the race at all.

Chalk it all up to timing, folks. Rosenthal had been publicly gunning for the HD-9 seat since May 2011 and hinting about it even earlier. If McMullen had entered the race the very second Joe Miklosi announced his CD-6 run, he might’ve had a fighting chance. As it stands now, however, McMullen seems like a misguided outsider campaigning against someone with all the benefits of incumbency and none of the drawbacks of a career in politics.  

Joe Coors Announcing CD-7 Run Today

Noon Update: Coors’ full remarks and more analysis are available over at Colorado Pols.

Former CoorsTek CEO Joe Coors, brother of former US Senate candidate Pete Coors, is today making official what he started “exploring” two months ago: Coors is staging a run in CD-7 against Ed Perlmutter.

From 9News:

LAKEWOOD, Colo. (AP) – Joe Coors Jr. is announcing a congressional run against Democratic incumbent Rep. Ed Perlmutter in Colorado’s 7th District.

Coors, the great-grandson of brewery founder Adolph Coors, will make the announcement Tuesday morning in Lakewood.

Perlmutter was elected in 2006.

He easily defeated Republican challenger Ryan Frazier in 2010 in what is considered one of the state’s three competitive districts.

Despite how “competitive” CD-7 is considered to be, we just don’t see Coors as a major threat to Ed Perlmutter. Sure, the district got a little bit more competitive as part of redistricting, but Perlmutter trounced 2010 GOP nominee Ryan Frazier by over 10 points in what was otherwise a blowout year for Republicans.

Coors is a much more formidable candidate than Frazier, obviously (not to mention 2008 challenger John Lerew), but we don’t think the beer baron will be able to dispatch with the immensely popular Perlmutter.

Coors’ support of 2010’s Personhood Amendment, which failed with 73% of Jeffco voters coming out against the measure, might effectively end the Coors campaign before it can even start.

We don’t think Coors really thinks he can change Washington much as a 70 year old freshman congressman. Instead, we suspect Coors is running for Congress as a capstone to a long and distinguished career in business. In that sense, Coors probably would like to get elected, but we don’t know how much he’s going to like campaigning.

Tancredo and Sirota Set to Debate Tonight at CCU

Colorado Christian University, no stranger to political debate, is tonight hosting a debate between former Congressman and Gubenatorial candidate Tom Tancredo and 760 AM drive-time radio host David Sirota.

From CCU:

Occupy Movement vs. the Tea Party

Location : CCU Beckman Center

Start Date : 1/30/2012  7:00 PM

End Date : 1/30/2012  9:00 PM

Election year 2012 pits not only the traditional party antagonists of Republicans vs. Democrats, but also two new and potent groups of political outsiders, the Tea Party and the Occupy Wall Street movement. Which of the latter groups represents America at its best? Invited to debate are Tom Tancredo, the conservative former congressman and gubernatorial candidate, versus David Sirota, the progressive author, columnist, and radio host. Join us on Monday, January 30, at 7:00 p.m. in the CCU Beckman Center.

Admission is free but reservations are required. RSVP your name and number of attendees to Centennial@ccu.edu or call 303-963-3424. The Beckman Center is located near the Garrison Street entrance to the Colorado Christian University main campus in Lakewood.

We’re not exactly sure that David Sirota is the best mouthpiece for the Occupy Movement (or that Tancredo accurately represents the Tea Party) but it should be a spirited debate tonight nonetheless.  

UFCW Local 9 Endorses Rosenthal in HD-9

Democrat Paul Rosenthal has been campaigning for State Representative Joe Miklosi‘s HD-9 seat since before Miklosi officially declared his bid for Congress. As a result, Rosenthal’s been aggressively rounding up endorsements from across the state – he counts Andrew Romanoff on his supporter list alongside a sizable chunk of the Democratic caucus at the capitol.

Perhaps it’s because Rosenthal’s courted (and received) so many endorsements that today’s news doesn’t come as a surprise:

UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS LOCAL 7 ENDORSES

PAUL ROSENTHAL FOR COLORADO HOUSE DISTRICT 9

Rosenthal also raises $14,100 to Date

DENVER, January 12, 2012 – Paul Rosenthal, Democratic candidate for Colorado House District 9, has received the endorsement of the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 7.  UFCW Local 7 represents 24,000 members in Colorado and Wyoming in supermarkets, packing houses, food processing plants, barbers and cosmetologists, and healthcare facilities.

“We’re committed to rebuilding the middle class in Colorado, and Paul has shown the leadership and commitment to get that done.  He’ll be a champion for UFCW members and working families throughout the state of Colorado,” said Debbie Olander, Political Liaison for UFCW Local 7.

In addition to UFCW, Rosenthal has received the endorsements of the Former Speaker of the House Andrew Romanoff and over 150 precinct committee people and neighborhood activists within his district.  Elected officials endorsing Rosenthal include Rep. Joe Miklosi, Sen. Joyce Foster, Sen. Pat Steadman, Rep. Mark Ferrandino, Rep. Dan Pabon, Rep. Lois Court, and Denver Auditor Dennis Gallagher.  A more extensive list can be found on Rosenthal’s website.

“UFCW Local 7 is a leading voice in fighting for struggling middle income and working people in our community, and I am honored to receive their endorsement and support in my race,” stated Rosenthal.

Rosenthal, who has prioritized education and putting Coloradoan’s to work by investing in our infrastructure, small businesses, and schools added, “As I knock on doors and talk to our neighbors in Southeast Denver, they tell me they want someone who can work with others to get things done, and I’m that person.  As a teacher, I am committed to making sure we have an economy that works and provides a bright future for all Coloradoans.”

Rosenthal will file with the Secretary of State that he raised a total of $14,100 in 2011.  He has about $10,000 cash on hand.  “I’m very proud of the tremendous support from people in SE Denver, who have funded much of my campaign,” Rosenthal said.

Rosenthal, who lost a primary challenge to Miklosi in 2008, faces a challenger of his own: RTD Director Bill McMullen has also filed for the seat. Despite (or perhaps because of) his earlier electoral losses, however, Rosenthal’s running his campaign exactly the way he should be: he’s garnered nearly every influential endorsement in the southeast Denver district and his fundraising numbers, while not astounding, are nothing to shrug at. Most movers-and-shakers in the area, then, will continue to coalesce behind Rosenthal until the June primary makes him the official nominee.

McMullen won’t be able to generate any momentum in the meantime – Rosenthal’s seized it all already. That’s the way to run a primary campaign.  

GOP’s “Nonpartisan” JeffCo School Board Candidate Slate Set To Roll

Back in May, we discussed what appeared to be an incipient campaign by partisan Republicans–led by controversial Jefferson County school board member Laura Boggs–to push Republican candidates in the nominally “nonpartisan” school board elections this November.

In June, Boggs held a meeting at the Arvada Public Library to discuss JeffCo school board elections in November, with a relatively new “Tea Party”-sounding group, Revive Our American Republic (ROAR), hosting the event. As we noted then, ROAR’s registered agent is ubiquitous GOP attorney John Zakhem–meaning that despite the “Tea Party”-sounding name, in every way an organ of Republican Party usual suspects.

Well, taking a look at the new “2011 election preview” page on the Jefferson County GOP’s website, any pretense of “nonpartisanship” that may have existed has now been dropped.

District 3 – Preston Branaugh (R)

District 4 – Jim Powers (R)

We’re not sure what motivated Republicans to go masks-off in this “nonpartisan” race, but it’s broadly assumed that a conservative majority on the JeffCo school board, which would be the result if both of the above candidates prevail, will result in an attempt to create a religious school voucher program similar to that instituted in Douglas County following an eerily similar coordinated partisan takeover.

The difference, of course, is that Jefferson County is the largest school district in Colorado. So if you’re not yet paying attention to what’s going on here, we expect you will be very soon. It’s likely these GOP “nonpartisan” candidates will see heavy air support from mainline Republican donors, pro-voucher education groups, religious advocacy, and ideological conservatives of all stripes.

Conversely, if you go to the website of the JeffCo Democrats, you’ll see nothing to indicate a school board election is even taking place as of this writing. So, uh, maybe that’s where we’d start…

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