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Social issues still seen on talk radio as GOP savior

I love it when the conservative echo chamber validates itself with references to unnamed Democrats who amplify the sounds coming from the mouths of talk-radio hosts.

In the case below, we have KVOR host Jeff Crank, who doubles as Colorado State Director of the conservative Americans for Prosperity, bouncing ideas off  of Tony Sanchez (And I do mean bouncing, because the ideas bounce back in the exact same form that they were launched.). Sanchez is on the board of the Colorado Hispanic Republicans.

Sanchez conjured up Ken Buck and told Crank that “already” Hispanics are having “buyers’ remorse” over their overwhelming vote for Obama.

Crank and Sanchez touched briefly on number of things Dec. 15, without getting into specific legislation of course, but they dwelled on one point that comes up a lot on talk radio: The unproven assertion that Republicans can win over Hispanics on social issues.

CRANK:  Well, and a great example of that is on the social issues, you know?  I think that the Hispanic community naturally would align with conservative values, of family values, —

SANCHEZ:  Oh, they do!

CRANK:  –on marriage, on pro-life issues, and those sorts of things.  But the conservatives allow the Left to define them on that issue-

SANCHEZ:  Yes!  Yes.

CRANK:  — so they didn’t vote with us on those issues.

SANCHEZ:  I just spoke to a Democrat, an Hispanic.  And he said that, “I was glad they didn’t focus so much on those issues.  We would have lost at least four percentage points had that happened.”  And the other thing that I would also add is to keep it simple.  There’s a lot of times that we have a lot of facts,– and on the conservative side, yeah, it makes a whole lot of sense, but keep the message simple.  And make it real clear.

Setting aside the small problem of the devastating backlash among women voters if the GOP decided to focus openly (instead of behind closed doors) on social issues, there’s no reason to accept the echo-chamber idea that Hispanics would vote Republican anyway, if GOP candidates starting talking more about gay marriage and abortion.

The majority of Latinos actually favor gay marriage. Mexico City and some Latin American countries have legalized it.

And, really, how many Hispanics are going to swing to a GOP candidate who aims to ban abortion even for a raped woman? Evangelical Hispanics, yes, who make up about 15% of Latino voters and align with the GOP anyway. Seven of ten Catholic Hispanics align with the Democratic Party.

And it’s not as if Democrats are pro-abortion. Most are pro-choice, which reflects an understanding, shared by Hispanics, even if they self-define as anti-choice, of real-world complexities as well as the struggles of poverty. I mean, one of the major reasons Hispanics turned against Romney, according to Project New America’s David Winkler, was because he was so unsympathetic to the poor.

I could be wrong, but it’s hard to see a significant number of Hispanics peel off from Democrats if the GOP pushed its abortion position even harder. And, again, at what cost to the GOP in terms of other voters, like women, young people, and the four reasonable Republican middle-aged white men out there?

So Sanchez and Crank, a former GOP congressional candidate, who defines himself as “a strong voice for social and fiscal conservative issues in Colorado,” should look elsewhere, other than social issues, to prove Ronald Reagan’s opinion, which still sits atop the website of Sanchez’s Colorado Hispanic Republicans, that “Latinos are Republicans. They just don’t know it yet.”

As long as the talk-radio sounds keep reverberating, unchallenged, Hispanics will never know they’re Republicans. Why would they?

Biden, McConnell in Last-Minute Fiscal Cliff Negotiations

UPDATE: At least a bungee-jump off the so-called “fiscal cliff” now likely, CNN:

The feared fiscal cliff was at hand Monday night, with nothing expected to pass Congress before a combination of tax increases and spending cuts starts to kick in at midnight.

A deal to avert that combination, which economists warn could push the U.S. economy back into recession, was “within sight” on Monday afternoon, President Barack Obama said. And in the Senate, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell told members that they were “very, very close” to a deal, having worked out an agreement on taxes…

In the House, GOP sources said there’s little practical difference in settling the issue Monday night versus Tuesday. But if House Republicans approve the bill on Tuesday — when taxes have technically gone up — they can argue they’ve voted for a tax cut to bring rates back down, even after just a few hours, GOP sources said. That could bring some more Republicans on board, one source said.

—–

As the clocks ticks down to midnight, Politico reports:

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and Vice President Joe Biden engaged in furious overnight negotiations to avert the fiscal cliff and made major progress toward a year-end tax deal, giving sudden hope to high-stakes talks that had been on the brink of collapse, according to sources familiar with the discussion.

McConnell and Biden, who served in the Senate together for 23 years, are closing in on an agreement that would hike tax rates for families who earn more than $450,000, and individuals who make more than $400,000, according to sources familiar with talks…

After loud Democratic protests on Sunday, Republicans agreed to take off the table a controversial provision that would have cut Social Security benefits. But more hurdles soon emerged, including over automatic spending cuts set to take place next year, and the rates for estate taxes that are set to balloon if no deal is reached by the new year.

The Hill:

[T]he talks hit a ditch on Saturday night when McConnell made a proposal that included switching the formula used to calculate Social Security benefit payments. Using the chained consumer price index, or “chained CPI,” would curb the growth of the program’s cost-of-living adjustments.


Democrats slammed it as a poison pill and warned there would be no last-minute deal to avoid tax hikes if Republicans insisted on entitlement reform, which Democrats had assumed was off the table at this late stage.

The dwindling scope of any potential deal with Republicans is the biggest reason why Democrats have refused to include the so-called “chained CPI” reductions in the future growth of Social Security benefits–a concession President Barack Obama himself had offered at an earlier stage of negotiations in hope of a much larger agreement. Mitch McConnell’s quick retreat on that proposal shows which side has more to lose from the failure to reach an agreement, and (finally!) seems to acknowledge the tremendous public opposition to cutting Social Security.

It’s not even known at this point if the deal that’s ultimately reached–if any–will include rescinding, or at least delaying, major cuts set to go into effect tomorrow to a multitude of domestic and military programs known as the “sequester”–cuts mandated by the 2011 Budget Control Act compromise on raising the debt ceiling. Also unknown is the status of extending unemployment compensation, the so-called “doc fix” for Medicare reimbursement, the estate tax, and many other issues up against deadlines. And of course, whatever they cobble together in the Senate must pass the House, which is, as you know, a more or less dysfunctional body.

We’ll update throughout the day as (and if) necessary.

Top Ten Stories of 2012 #5: Aurora and the Changing Politics of Guns

Between now and New Year’s Eve, Colorado Pols is recapping the top ten stories in Colorado politics from the 2012 election year.

As a Western state with a frontier culture and independent values, Colorado’s natural tendency toward individual freedom has always meant a permissive attitude toward gun ownership.

At the same time, tragic events in our state have put us at the forefront of the national debate over gun policy–somewhat belatedly, after the issue caught up with us in the wake of recent tragedy both here and elsewhere. In 1999, the entire nation was shocked by a mass murder at Columbine High School in Littleton, at that time the worst school shootings in American history. In the aftermath of that tragedy, Coloradans passed Amendment 22, closing the “gun show loophole” by requiring background checks be carried out by private sellers at gun shows.

After that modest defeat, the state’s highly vocal gun lobby, led by an organization called the Rocky Mountain Gun Owners, who considers the National Rifle Association too soft, aggressively fought back–pressuring Colorado Republicans to reject even the most rudimentary tightening of gun laws in the harshest terms possible. The gun lobby won a victory earlier this year when the Colorado Supreme Court overturned a University of Colorado ban on carrying licensed concealed weapons on campus.

And then, early on the morning of July 20th of this year, a disturbed University of Colorado graduate student walked into a movie theater in Aurora, and took the lives of 12 innocent people using an assault rifle and a shotgun while injuring dozens more.

Immediately after the Aurora shootings, even most Colorado Democrats were unwilling to call for a plan to reduce gun violence–either spectacular tragedies of this kind, or the dozens of people killed every day by gun violence. Gov. John Hickenlooper adopted a very NRA-like deferential tone when he said after Aurora that those intent on violence are “going to find something,” meaning some kind of weapon even if they can’t get a gun.

From that time, mass shooting incidents have killed or seriously injured 46 more people, including the most recent massacre of 20 children at an elementary school in Newtown, Connecticut. These high-profile incidents have forced attention once again on the 34 people killed every day by gun violence, and seem to be fundamentally changing the nature of this debate. The resulting shift in the narrative was apparent in the contrast between Governor Hickenlooper’s statements in July, against his very different comments this month after Newtown–and his announced support for new measures to ease access to mental health services, and keep guns out of the hands of the mentally ill.

Echoed by polls showing broad support for common sense measures to reduce gun violence without infringing on the rights of law-abiding citizens, Colorado Democratic lawmakers are following Hickenlooper’s measured call to action with a number of proposals expected to be debated in 2013. As specific gun safety proposals shake out in Colorado’s General Assembly, it’s clear that the self-serving cycle of declaring it “too soon” after a tragedy to talk about reform, which too often resulted in no action ever being taken, has been broken. The gun lobby looks weaker than ever, and at least in Colorado, Democrats appear interested in a sensible balance that both improves public safety and preserves our values.

This can be fairly considered a major and politically unexpected development.

Public Pensions: States Trying to “Change the Ground Rules in the Middle of the Game.”

Truth-Out Article – Pensions: A Promise is a Promise . . . Unless it’s Inconvenient.

Legal Scholars: “What the states are trying to do is change the ground rules in the middle of the game.”  “The state is just trying to find any argument that allows them to get out of their obligations and that will stick in court.”

(These politicians are class acts.)

In 2010, a majority of Colorado state legislators, Colorado PERA public pension administrators, PERA trustees, and PERA and public sector union lobbyists – all conspired to perpetrate the greatest theft in the history of our state.  Colorado news media largely supported the theft and have accordingly attempted to bury the story.

A recent article (December 23, 2012) by the organization Truth-Out places Colorado’s breach of public pension contracts in perspective.  It is one of the best articles I’ve seen addressing state attempts to breach public pension contracts.

Read this article by Truth-Out . . . and realize the depravity of the crime committed by Colorado legislators in 2010.

Link to Truth-Out article:

http://truth-out.org/news/item…

The Truth-Out article addresses the taking of contracted retiree COLA benefits by the State of Rhode Island in 2011, the resulting litigation, the impact of the Rhode Island pension theft on the state’s public sector retirees, and comments on current public pension litigation by the nation’s foremost public pension legal scholars.

As we have seen, Rhode Island’s 2011 taking of public pension benefits was supported by the Arnold Foundation.  According to Texas AFT, Enron Billionaire John Arnold is funding “attacks” on public pensions across the United States:

” . . .the big-money man behind the attack on state and local pension funds, from California to Texas and beyond, is one John Arnold, a billionaire Houston hedge-fund operator who walked away from his role as an Enron trader with millions of dollars in bonuses before that notorious company went bankrupt.”

Link:

http://texasaftblog.com/hotlin…

“John Arnold once was renowned for his lucrative natural gas trading at Enron.  He never was implicated in wrongdoing at the now-infamous company, but Democratic U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein of California once criticized him for allegedly refusing to answer, during a deposition, whether he had manipulated West Coast energy markets.  A committee representing former Enron employees sued Arnold and other top traders for receiving huge bonuses, including $8 million for Arnold, right before Enron collapsed.  Arnold and the committee settled on confidential terms, according to court records.”

Link:

http://californiawatch.org/dai…

Colorado media have attempted to bury the story of the state’s attempted theft of public pension benefits in 2010.

This fact is clear from the lack of coverage by Colorado media of the Colorado Court of Appeals ruling last October.  In October, the Colorado Court of Appeals held that Colorado PERA retiree pension COLA benefits are indeed contractual obligations of the State of Colorado and other Colorado PERA-affiliated employers.

The court case Justus v. State, involves BILLIONS of dollars of Colorado state and local government contractual public pension obligations.  Yet, the October decision in the case by the Colorado Court of Appeals was the subject of a single news story as far as I can tell.

Unfortunately, this single news account of the October Colorado Court of Appeals decision was a work of fiction by Denver Post reporter Tim Hoover.  Have a look at Tim Hoover’s article published in the Denver Post on October 12, 2012:

Link:

http://www.denverpost.com/poli…

For some reason, Hoover declared the Court of Appeals confirmation of the contractual nature of PERA retiree COLA benefits as a “win” for Colorado PERA.  I addressed this Denver Post article in an earlier blog post:

The Denver Delusional Post.

In the case, Justus v. State, Colorado PERA retirees (plaintiffs) are suing the State of Colorado and the state’s pension administrator Colorado PERA (defendants) for the breach of retiree public pension contracts.

The October 12, 2012 Denver Post article proclaims the recent ruling by the Colorado Court of Appeals a “win” for the defendants in the case Justus v. State.

Fact #1: The pension administrator Colorado PERA (defendant) was quite content with the initial 2011 Denver District Court determination that Colorado PERA COLA benefits were not contractual.  Fact #2: The Colorado Court of Appeals has declared that Colorado PERA COLA benefits ARE indeed a contractual obligation of PERA and PERA-affiliated employers.  

So, how is it possible that Tim Hoover of the Denver Post in his October 12, 2012 article construes this outcome as a “win” for Colorado PERA?  (Wishful thinking or clueless?  Having read many Hoover articles relating to Colorado public affairs, I assure you the answer is not “clueless.”)

The Colorado Court of Appeals ruling has received scant mention in the press nationally.  If it were not for the efforts of our dogged public pension rights bloggers in the United States (bless them), the “powers that be” may very well have succeeded in suppressing news of this important public pension decision!  (Colorado PERA officials have been hoping that many other states will attempt pension COLA theft.   Where a crime is ordinary, the conscience of the criminal is assuaged.)

Now to the excellent Truth-Out article, a few excerpts and my reactions:

“Then, in 2011, the Rhode Island legislature, claiming that the state’s retirement system had become unsustainable, passed a sweeping law – euphemistically dubbed the Rhode Island Retirement Security Act – that made drastic modifications to the pension scheme.”

(My comment: The 2011 Rhode Island act included breach of public sector retiree pension COLA contracts.)

“The revised system will remain in effect until the pension fund reaches an 80 percent funding ratio . . .”

(My comment: In their 2010 pension COLA-theft legislation, Colorado state legislators propose to steal public pension benefits until a 100 percent actuarial funded ratio is achieved.  It occurred to the proponents of SB 10-001 . . . well, if we are going to be thieves anyway, let’s GO BIG!  As we know, Fitch Ratings considers public pensions with an 80 percent actuarial funded ratio to be “well-funded.)

Rhode Island retiree Glover:

“I had my plan in place,” he said.  “I did everything that I was told to do and made my plans based on everything I had been told.  Then the state changed its mind and decided to pull out.  I just don’t think that’s fair.”

“The state made a promise to me,” he said, “and now it’s reneging on that promise. That isn’t how it’s supposed to work. When I grew up, a promise was a promise was a promise.”

“Our whole system of economics in America is based on trust and contracts,” he said. “I just think that to allow the state to get out of its promises like this runs against that entire idea.”

Rhode Island public employees and retirees sued over the breach of their pension contracts in 2011:

“The Rhode Island constitution, like the federal Constitution, prohibits the state from passing any law ‘impairing obligation of contracts.'”

“The argument put forward by the Rhode Island officials who are named in the lawsuit – including Governor Lincoln D. Chafee and State Treasurer Gina Raimundo – is that the promises the state has made to its workers about their pensions do not constitute contracts, and are thus not legally enforceable.”

(My comment: The Colorado Court of Appeals has found that Colorado PERA retiree pension COLA rights are contractual, from the October decision: “We consider McPhail and Bills dispositive [indisputably bringing to a conclusion a legal controversy] of whether plaintiffs here have a contractual right to a particular COLA.”  In the cases McPhail and Bills, the Colorado Supreme Court “found a contractual right based on members’ provision of services and contributions to the retirement fund.”)

Comments from public pension legal scholars:

“‘The entire public pension system is built on the understanding that pensions are legally protected promises,’ said Richard Kaplan, a professor at the University of Illinois College of Law. ‘That idea has been foundational for at least the last half-century.'”

“Since the middle of the century, however, courts have generally acknowledged that states cannot promise pension benefits to their employees as an inducement to get them to work for the state and then renege on those promises. The large majority of states have protected pensions under the theory that the promise of a pension represents a form of contract . . .”

“The legal understanding has been, ‘That is your money, and the state can’t take it away.'”

“The vast majority of states – 41 – apply a contract theory to their employees’ pension rights. All of these states have constitution provisions that – mirroring the contract clause of the federal Constitution – prohibit the passage of any law that impairs the obligation of contracts.”

“‘It cuts against decades of precedent,’ Kaplan said, ‘not to mention basic, commonsense notions of what pensions are and what’s fair.'”

“According to Secunda of Marquette University, a shift back towards a gratuity model would be ‘disastrous.’  ‘What the states are trying to do is change the rules in the middle of the game,’ he said.”

(My comment: Here’s a link to Paul Secunda’s paper on public pension law:

http://scholarship.law.marquet…

“They’re saying, ‘We’ll play by a certain set of rules until the game is not in our favor anymore, and then we’ll change them.’ Try explaining that to a five-year-old and see if they think it should be allowed.”

“Kaplan agreed. ‘What the states told these workers was that ‘if you do x, you’ll get y.’ You can be sure that the states didn’t say, ‘if you do x, and we feel like we can afford it, you’ll get y.'”

“Joseph Slater, a professor of law at the University of Toledo and a labor historian, explained that, historically, states and local governments have used the promise of secure pensions to justify paying public employees less than they might earn in the private sector.”

“‘If they knew that that promise didn’t really mean anything, people might have made different decisions about what job to do,’ he said. ‘This is part of the reason why they decided to dedicate their lives to public service.'”

“According to Richard Kaplan, a professor of law at the University of Illinois, proving that reneging on their pension obligations is necessary to achieve an important public purpose is a high bar to reach, because that argument implies that the state’s ability to raise taxes to keep its promises have been exhausted.”

“‘That argument might make sense if the state is really in extremis, if we’re talking about going without teachers and firefighters,’ Kaplan said. ‘But even in that case, the state would have to convince the court that raising taxes was somehow off the table.'”

(My comment: Rather than retaining its revenue stream in order to meet its contractual obligations, the Colorado General Assembly has deliberately slashed its available revenues in the last decade.  Further, the General Assembly has pumped one-half billion dollars into public pension funds that ARE NOT its responsibility . . . those of Colorado local governments [Old Hire Police and Fire pension plans].  Finally, the General Assembly continues to make $100 million discretionary grants of property tax relief in spite of the fact that it is in breach of contract.  It is perfectly clear to me that the Colorado General Assembly has not one iota of respect for its contractual public pension obligations.)

“According to several legal experts, the argument that pensions enjoy no contractual protections can best be seen as a tactical decision on the part of the states to try to get around what they originally intended when they promised certain pension benefits to their employees.”

“The state is just trying to find any argument that allows them to get out of their obligations and that will stick in court.”

“Stein agreed, and added that the context for the Rhode Island lawsuits and several others around the country was that past lawmakers persistently failed to make their necessary contributions to the pension system.”

(My comment: As we have seen, the Colorado General Assembly has skipped billions of dollars of “annual required contributions” to the Colorado PERA pension trust funds in just the last decade.)

Link to Truth-Out website:

http://truth-out.org/

Truth-Out wiki link:

“As an organization, Truth-Out works to broaden and diversify the political discussion by introducing independent voices and focusing on undercovered issues and unconventional thinking.”

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T…

The National Public Pension Coalition is drawing attention to this Truth-Out article.  “Since 2007, the Coalition – representing millions of teachers, nurses, police, firefighters and other public sector employees – has worked to protect the financial security of working families who rely on public pensions.  NPPC works with a national network of state and local coalition efforts to achieve this goal.”

Link:

http://www.truthaboutpensions….

This Is What Failed Leadership Looks Like



Empty U.S. House chambers.

Politico:

With the country teetering on this fiscal cliff of deep spending cuts and sharp tax hikes, the philosophical differences, the shortened timetable and the political dynamics appear to be insurmountable hurdles for a bipartisan deal by New Year’s Day.

Hopes of a grand-bargain – to shave trillions of dollars off the deficit by cutting entitlement programs and raising revenue – are shattered. House Republicans already failed to pass their “Plan B” proposal. And now aides and senators say the White House’s smaller, fall-back plan floated last week is a non-starter among Republicans in Senate – much less the House.

On top of that, the Treasury Department announced Wednesday that the nation would hit the debt limit on Dec. 31, and would then have to take “extraordinary measures” to avoid exhausting the government’s borrowing limit in the New Year.

Adds the Washington Post:

If anything, hope for success appeared to have dimmed over the Christmas holiday. The Republican-controlled House last week abdicated responsibility for resolving the crisis, leaving all eyes on the Senate. But senior aides in both parties said Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) have not met or even spoken since leaving town for the weekend…

With no sign of urgency, aides in both parties predicted that failure was not just a possibility – it was rapidly becoming the most likely outcome. No significant movement was expected Thursday: Obama was scheduled to be in the air traveling back from his Hawaiian holiday for a good portion of the day, and the Senate wasn’t set to convene for votes until the evening.

Even if some miraculous breakthrough in the Senate could be achieved, another round of winter weather in the Washington, D.C. area this weekend could well disrupt air travel, making it difficult for House members to reconvene in time for a vote before the new year–and that assumes the Republican-controlled House of Representatives is a body capable of passing anything the President would be able to sign. After the failure before Christmas by Speaker John Boehner to pass his “Plan B” alternative measure, a red-on-red disaster abetted by at least two Colorado Republican members of Congress, dysfunction seems to be the rule.

The public is becoming increasingly, undeniably aware of who is to blame for the impasse, as a poll released yesterday shows once again–Huffington Post reports:

President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats got a moderate boost in approval ratings for their handling of the crisis. Obama’s rating on the negotiations rose to a majority 54 percent, while approval for Democratic leaders in Congress jumped to 45 percent. Republicans did not see similar gains, with their number holding nearly steady at 26 percent. [Pols emphasis]

Any shift in approval didn’t appear to affect the desire for bipartisan deal-making. Just 22 percent of people said either side should stick to its principles, while 68 percent called for a compromise.

And this is the key: President Barack Obama has already compromised. A casual look at the offers the President has made, both increasing the threshold of income at which higher tax rates would apply, as well as offering entitlement rate-of-growth cuts that have genuinely upset liberal Democrats, and there’s no question which side has offered more to get a deal. We don’t really think the administration can offer much more without putting itself in a situation similar to that faced by Boehner–a fact made even clearer by the intense public opposition to cutting institutions like Social Security and Medicare. One small upshot is that as the scale of what can be achieved with an intransigent GOP-controlled House diminishes, so do the cuts.

Politically, it’s critical to understand that this is not 2009. There is no upwelling of conservative opposition brewing as was the case with the then-incipient “Tea Party.” The country has been through years of exactly this kind of obstruction and brinkmanship since Republicans retook control of the House in 2010. The voters want solutions. They are tired of rhetoric. What the polls show is a growing fatigue with Republican intransigence, and a growing understanding that it is Republican intransigence at the heart of much of their frustration with government.

It is not “bias” to acknowledge when one side is plainly losing.

Top Ten Stories of 2012 #10: The Saga of Laura Bradford

Between now and New Year’s Eve, Colorado Pols is recapping the top ten stories in Colorado politics from the 2012 election year.

Late on a Wednesday evening in January, Denver police attempted to stop a vehicle not far from the state capitol with legislative license plates they had observed driving erratically. The vehicle didn’t stop immediately, but proceeded several blocks before coming to an awkward stop near a bar frequented by state legislators, lobbyists, journalists and staff called Prohibition.

From that moment, the career of Republican Rep. Laura Bradford of Collbran began to unravel. Early reports from the Denver Police Department–later retracted under less-than-forthcoming circumstances–indicated that Bradford may have evaded arrest for driving under the influence by invoking legislative immunity granted to lawmakers during the legislative session.

Rep. Bradford was immediately stripped of her committee chair, and effectively made persona non grata in her caucus by Speaker Frank McNulty until she was “cleared” by the Denver Police Department and a subsequent ethics committee inquiry of wrongdoing (at least wrongdoing pertaining to abuse of her position). Bradford, despite her initial contrition over the incident, felt that she was being unfairly treated by McNulty throughout the process, and even briefly threatened to defect to Democrats–a lethal prospect for the GOP’s one-seat House majority.

In the end, though many questions about the conduct of both Rep. Bradford and responding Denver police officers remain unanswered, she was cleared; but not before her erratic response to the situation had rendered her politically nonviable in the eyes of Republicans both in Denver and her district. In March, Bradford announced she would not seek re-election.

The story of Laura Bradford has an amusing epilogue: Bradford’s Republican successor in HD-54, Rep.-elect Jared Wright of Fruita, has already perhaps set a new standard for disgrace on the campaign trail that nonetheless did not prevent victory. Wright, exposed as a lazy and dishonest police officer who lived embarrassingly beyond his taxpayer-funded means and was begged by fellow Republicans to pull out of the race, may be about to make former Rep. Bradford’s brush with scandal and intra-party intrigue a pleasant memory by comparison.

On the upside, it might not be as big a deal now, in a Republican minority.

Compromise Until It Hurts, And Still No Deal?

The Washington Post updates on the latest fiscal cliff gamesmanship:

Negotiations between Boehner and President Obama have made significant progress in recent days, with Boehner agreeing to the idea of raising tax rates on the wealthiest Americans, and Obama saying he could accept tax increases for households earning $400,000 or more per year. That threshold is a concession from the president’s campaign pledge to raise rates on those earning at least $250,000, but it remains unacceptable to many Republicans…

Boehner said the plan that Obama offered him on Monday evening “cannot be considered balanced,” because it includes significantly more in new tax revenue than in proposed spending cuts. He told reporters he would consider a deal “balanced” if it include spending reductions that are equal to revenue increases.

White House spokesman Jay Carney rejected the Plan B approach. “It can’t pass the Senate and therefore will not protect middle class families, and does little to address our fiscal challenges with zero spending cuts,” Carney said in a statement. “The President is hopeful that both sides can work out remaining differences and reach a solution so we don’t miss the opportunity in front of us today.”

The latest compromise offer from the Obama administration of adopting a more restrictive rate of growth in federal benefits relative to the cost of living is upsetting to many Democrats, as is the proposal to raise the threshold of income above which the Bush tax cuts would expire to $400,000. However, the Obama administration appears to have rejected the idea of raising the eligibility age for Medicare, a line drawn by many liberal Democrats in these negotiations.

But as Politico reports, the substantial concessions Obama made, to the point of provoking quite a bit of grumbling from the left in his own party this morning, are still not enough:

Boehner is seeking big cuts to entitlement programs, but said they don’t have to take hold until 2013. Specifically, the Ohio Republican said an increase in the Medicare eligibility age could be implemented then, Boehner told reporters.

“There are a lot of issues on the table. That issue has been on the table, off the table, back on the table. It’s an issue for discussion. But I don’t believe it’s an issue that has to be dealt with by the end of the year. It is an issue, I think if Congress were to do entitlement reform next year and tax reform as we envision, if there is an agreement, that issue would certainly be open to debate in that context.”

…Obama and Boehner are still a considerable distance apart on taxes. Obama wants to increase tax rates on income over $400,000. Boehner wants the threshold to be set at $1 million; the House GOP proposal would keep the lower Bush-era rates in place for income brackets below that. In essence, Boehner is seeking $1 trillion in revenue and $1 trillion in cuts – but he doesn’t think the president is willing to get there.

The only thing we can add to this discussion is a new CBS poll out today showing only 17% of the public approves of how Republicans are handling the latest round of high-stakes fiscal negotiations. That poll says fully 69% support allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire on income over $250,000–a threshold less generous to the rich than Obama’s latest offer–while a smaller majority opposes cuts to programs like Social Security and Medicare to get to a deal.

Politically, the winning side to be on is, for lack of a better word, obvious. Obama has gone as far with this latest offer as can possibly be expected, to the point of legitimately aggrieving the left of his party by restricting the future growth of benefits. If Boehner and his unpopular House can’t accept this offer, all we can say is they are richly earning their miserable poll numbers.

Everything You Never Wanted to Know about the Colorado River Basin

The Bureau of Reclamation released a new report on water usage in the Colorado River Basin. Short version, water is currently over-allocated and providing water to 40 million people. Projections are that by 2060 it will need to supply water to almost 71 million people-the basin will be 3.2 million acre feet of water short of meeting that demand.

It took two years to complete this study, and involved projections from seven states. Critics are suggesting that the anticipated population growth in the study amounted to little more than padding on the part of states so that their pet water projects would be funded. Likewise, climate deniers pooh-pooh the fact that the words climate change are in the report.

The final report runs to 1,000 pages, so I have not read the whole report. However, there was a fact sheet produced by the authors, which , along with the Executive Summary, is the basis of my comments.

The importance of this river system to the west cannot be overstated. From the Executive Summary:

“The Colorado River and its tributaries provide water to nearly 40 million people for municipal use, supply water used to irrigate nearly 5.5 million acres of land, and is also the lifeblood for at least 22 federally recognized tribes (tribes),7 National Wildlife Refuges, 4 National Recreation Areas, and 11 National Parks. Hydropower facilities along the Colorado River provide more than 4,200 megawatts of generating capacity, helping to meet the power needs of the West and offset the use of fossil fuels. The Colorado River is also vital to the United Mexican States (Mexico) to meet both agricultural and municipal water needs.”

Hickenlooper: Let’s Talk (Modest) Gun Control Reforms Next Year

UPDATE #4: From President Barack Obama’s emotional statement today:

The majority of those who died today were children — beautiful little kids between the ages of 5 and 10 years old.  They had their entire lives ahead of them — birthdays, graduations, weddings, kids of their own.  Among the fallen were also teachers — men and women who devoted their lives to helping our children fulfill their dreams.

So our hearts are broken today — for the parents and grandparents, sisters and brothers of these little children, and for the families of the adults who were lost.  Our hearts are broken for the parents of the survivors as well, for as blessed as they are to have their children home tonight, they know that their children’s innocence has been torn away from them too early, and there are no words that will ease their pain.

As a country, we have been through this too many times.  Whether it’s an elementary school in Newtown, or a shopping mall in Oregon, or a temple in Wisconsin, or a movie theater in Aurora, or a street corner in Chicago — these neighborhoods are our neighborhoods, and these children are our children.  And we’re going to have to come together and take meaningful action to prevent more tragedies like this, regardless of the politics.

—–

UPDATE #3: The first Colorado Republican to opine on the “is it too soon to talk about gun control?” question, quite predictably, is Senate Minority Leader Bill Cadman.



—–

UPDATE #2: A statement now available on the Connecticut shootings from Gov. Hickenlooper:

“The shooting in Connecticut is absolutely horrific and heartbreaking. We know too well what impact this kind of violence has on a community and our nation. Our thoughts and prayers are immediately with the families of those killed. We can offer comfort, but we all know the pain will stay forever.”

And from Sen. Mark Udall of Colorado:

“This tragic and senseless shooting is deeply troubling and saddening. My thoughts and prayers go out to all of the victims and their families affected by this terrible tragedy. We in Colorado experienced a similar tragedy earlier this year. Just as we came together then to grieve and support one another, Colorado and our nation will again pull together to support our friends in Connecticut.”

Also Sen. Michael Bennet, a Wesleyan graduate:

“The terrible news out of Connecticut is staggering. Like all Colorado families, my family is grieving and our hearts are with the victims, their families, and all of the students and employees at the school. This is a parent’s worst nightmare. As Coloradans, we know how this type of tragedy can shake a community to its core. We are here for Connecticut as they work together to heal in the days ahead.”

—–

UPDATE: Tragically apropos, CNN is reporting on yet another horrific mass shooting today, this time at a Connecticut elementary school.

—–

As reported by the AP via Politico yesterday:

In an interview with The Associated Press on Wednesday, Hickenlooper said that the legislative session in January would be an appropriate time to take up a debate on gun control in his state.

“I wanted to have at least a couple of months off after the shooting in Aurora to let people process and grieve and get a little space, but it is, I think, now is the time is right,” Hickenlooper said.

The comments also come after a mass shooting at an Oregon mall and a murder-suicide involving a professional football player this month touched off a national debate over gun laws…

“When you look at what happened in Aurora, a great deal of that damage was from the large magazine on the AR-15 (rifle). I think we need to have that discussion and say, ‘Where is this appropriate?'”

In the immediate aftermath of the shootings at an Aurora movie theater last summer, Gov. John Hickenlooper expressed skepticism about whether regulations on firearms might have stopped the killer from obtaining his arsenal of weapons, saying on CNN just as one example:

“This person, if there were no assault weapons available, if there were no this or no that, this guy’s going to find something. Right? He’s going to know how to create a bomb,” [Hickenlooper] said.

In Colorado, the slightest move to regulate guns is sure to be met with a furious reaction from our local and very vocal pro-gun lobby. Hickenlooper’s comments last summer were seized upon by pro-gun conservatives as evidence that not even an horrific act of violence could shake the public’s support for easy access to guns, and helped feed a narrative in the press that nothing was going to change after Aurora. Polling on the issue tends to rely on how the question is phrased, with some polls showing persistent support (for years now) for reforms such as universal background checks, but conservative pollsters like Rasmussen showing the opposite.

It’s into this delicate environment that Gov. Hickenlooper has just bravely stepped, and Democrats should give him some credit for doing so. Hickenlooper’s moderate image, often upsetting to the liberal Democratic base, could lend key legitimacy to a push for modest reforms like universal background checks for firearm sales, or limits on outsize ammunition magazines as he mentioned above. Hickenlooper’s apparent willingness to invest his hoarded political capital on this issue could honestly do a lot to relegate the “U.N. gun grab” and other unserious opposition from the gun lobby–and Republican legislators who regurgitate them–to the fringe.

Gardner acknowledges (and demonstrates) GOP PR problem on fiscal cliff

Sometimes KNUS’ Steve Kelley seems embarrassed by his own morning rants and rages against Obama and the nasty Democrats. The other day he asked, “Do you really want to hear a rant from middle-aged white guy?”

Kelley’s current behavior looks different from what you heard during of his 19-year career at KOA, where he at least acted like he didn’t have the answers.

But Kelley’s more level-headed roots return when he conducts interviews, which usually feature straight-forward questions you’d want, but don’t expect, from someone seated behind a microphone.

This morning, for example, during his Kelley and Company show, he asked Rep. Cory Gardner this really good question:

Kelley: Why do you guys [Republicans] seem to be losing the PR battle [on the fiscal cliff]? I mean, it’s so easy to blame a Republican, but it seems to stick to you?

Gardner: Well, you know, it’s tough. We’ve got to do a better job of messaging and explaining to people who are in the middle class, people who are lower income earners, that people who will be affected by this tax increase are people like you, people who are working hard to make ends meet, people who are struggling to pay the mortgage, because their business are going to be hard hit. That’s going to result in lower take home pay because the businesses they work with are suffering and struggling to bear the burden of the tax increases. That’s the bottom line and so the President controls the bully pulpit, regardless of who it is in the White House, whether it is a Democrat or a Republican. They have a tremendous opportunity to shape the outlines of the message.

Listen to audio of Rep. Gardner talking fiscal cliff on Denver radio station KNUS 710 AM on 12-11-12

Kelley was on the right track, but to get to the heart of the GOP’s fiscal-cliff PR/substance problem, Kelley should have contrasted Gardner’s head-spinning response with Obama’s crisp lines on the topic, which he delivered at a rally Monday:

Obama: “We can solve this problem. All Congress needs to do is pass a law that would prevent a tax hike on the first $250,000 of everybody’s income,” he said. “When you put it all together, what you need is a package that keeps taxes where they are for middle class families, we make some tough spending cuts on things that we don’t need, and then we ask the wealthiest Americans to pay a slightly higher tax rate.”

In another question, which Kelley didn’t acknowledge actually related to his previous question about the GOP’s PR problem, Kelley asked Gardner whether he’d compromise on a tax increase:

Gardner: “We cannot agree to a tax increase. That is not the solution. That is not going to solve our $16 trillion debt. That’s what I am urging our leaders, Speaker Boehner and others, to make sure they are adhering to…I think he knows that the [Republican] conference does not support a tax increase, that there is no will to increase taxes amongst the Republican Party and the House majority.”

That’s obviously part of the Republican PR problem on the fiscal cliff, but Kelley didn’t get into the fundamentals.

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