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Delusions of Victory Run Wild in CD-1 GOP Primary

Danny Stroud, former Chairman of the Republican Party of Denver who in 2010 gave State Representative Jeanne Labuda a run for her money, has a little bit of unexpected company in his bid to take on Congresswoman Diana DeGette.  

The Colorado Statesman’s Ben Conarck has the story:

Former Denver Republican Party Chairman Danny Stroud is a well-known personality in the 1st Congressional District who is clamoring for a chance to take on incumbent Democrat U.S. Rep. Diana DeGette, but a truck driving political neophyte may deny him the opportunity.

Stroud’s primary opponent, 61 year-old Denver resident Richard Murphy, is virtually unknown in Colorado politics, so much so that Colorado Republican Party Chairman Ryan Call had to call Stroud looking for the trucker’s phone number.

Although Stroud – a Denver businessman who just turned 59 – still won the top line at the CD 1 nominating assembly on April 13 with 81 votes, or 56 percent, Murphy’s candidacy was buoyed by a surprise showing of Ron Paul supporters who secured his place on the ballot with 46 votes, amounting to 44 percent.

It’s as surprising to Stroud as it is to many observers, of course, that there’s a Republican primary in CD-1 at all. Winning the Republican nomination to challenge DeGette essentially wins you the opportunity to become another electoral loser whose name is  tossed into the dustbin of history. As Conarck points out, DeGette’s district overwhelmingly favors the incumbent: there are two registered Democrats for every Republican. In fact, the only way a Republican could win the Denver seat is if he or she turned out every Republican voter and won the vote of every single unaffiliated voter.

The inevitability of defeat, then, is what makes Stroud’s take on Murphy’s candidacy so confusing:

Referring to the fact that Murphy is often trucking back and forth across the country, Stroud dismissed the possibility that he could potentially beat DeGette, saying that running for Congress wasn’t a “part time job.”

“Here’s the deal. If somebody’s going to beat DeGette, they have to be motivated to beat DeGette. They can’t just be motivated to beat me,” Stroud said. “The way things are going in politics, it’s conceivable he could win the primary, but he can’t beat DeGette. I’m the only one that can beat DeGette.”

It’s easy to understand why Stroud would object to and question the candidacy of the interloper Murphy. But by framing his primary opponent’s campaign as leading to certain defeat at the hands of DeGette makes Stroud look delusional. Stroud, of course, should never openly admit that he can’t win, but by criticizing Murphy’s poor odds against the incumbent, Stroud turns the camera back on his own chance at winning the seat. He may think that he’s “the only one that can beat DeGette,” but he can’t, and by parroting his electability to win the Republican primary, Stroud makes his eventual loss in the general election that much more excruciating.  

Poll: Who Will Win Jeffco’s Republican Presidential Caucus?

With Newt Gingrich’s upset win over Mitt Romney in last Saturday’s presidential primary in South Carolina, the race to win the Republican nomination is far from over. That means that all eyes are looking forward, first to Florida and then Nevada, Maine, and Colorado.

From Fox 31’s Eli Stokols:

Until Saturday, it looked like Mitt Romney was barely going to break a sweat — never mind be forced to go after any of his primary opponents — on his pleasure cruise to the GOP’s presidential nomination.

But after Newt Gingrich’s ground-shaking, double-digit beat-down in the Palmetto State, the Republican race is suddenly competitve — and set to engage well beyond the handful of early-voting states.

It’s exactly what Colorado Republicans were hoping for when they voted to move up the party’s presidential caucues from March to Feburary.

“When we voted to move up, no one could have predicted the race would be as fluid and dynamic as it’s turned out to be,” Colorado GOP Chairman Ryan Call told FOX31 Denver Monday. “Not only will Colorado’s voice be heard — it could actually be decisive.”

Call understands that Colorado, with its caucuses wedged in, along with a few other states, between the Florida primary and Super Tuesday, is but one of a handful of states that are becoming increasingly important to the four remaining GOP candidates.

As Stokols goes on to observe, Mitt Romney trounced eventual nominee John McCain in 2008: Romney scored a whopping 60% of the vote in Colorado’s caucuses that year.

In Jefferson County, it was even more of a one-man race, with Romney garnering nearly 70% of the vote compared to about 15% each for McCain and Mike Huckabee.

But 2012 isn’t 2008: Romney now faces the curse of the “moderate” label among Republican primary voters and the well-oiled machine that is the Ron Paul ground game. That’s not to mention the continued threats of both Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum if either (or both) keep gaining momentum from other nominating contests.

With about two weeks until Jeffco Republicans head to public school gymnasiums and church basements to help select their party’s nominee, we want to know: who do you think will win the Republican caucuses in Jefferson County?

Remember, we want to know what you think will actually happen, not your preference. In other words, if you had to bet the deed to your house on Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, or Rick Santorum, who would you choose? And while we doubt the results in Jefferson County will be radically different than the state as a whole, we only want to know who you think will win Jeffco.

A poll follows.

Denver GOP Chair to Step Down

Jeremy Pelzer of PolitickerCO reports:

Mary Smith will not be seeking another term as Denver Republican Party chair in local party elections next February, state GOP officials said Monday, and Denver GOP vice chair and state Republican Party legal counsel Ryan Call may be her successor…

…Both Call and [State GOP Chair Dick] Wadhams said they didn’t know of any other candidates to succeed Smith. Smith’s two-year term expires in February.

As you may remember, Smith was rumored to be in the mix to challenge Dick Wadhams for his office when the party holds its reorganization meeting in Febrauary. She received endorsements not only from stalwart right wing blog Face the State (in an article in which they interviewed Republican lobbyist Sean Duffy, who told them he also favored Smith to replace Wadhams,) but from our own, hardly right-leaning, Colorado Pols.

Is this move by Smith a prelude to a battle with Wadhams for control of the future of the Republican Party? Does Scott McInnis‘ pal and former chief of staff Mike Hesse have any aspirations for the post? Will Wadhams try to hold on to his seat like grim death, forcing him to employ some of the same smear tactics he’s “mastered” in his career? If it does get dirty, it could be fun to watch–especially if you’re not a Republican.

This also means that both of Denver’s main political parties will have new chairs once their reorganization meetings take place next year. Anyone interested in a thankless job where you get yelled at a lot? Ok, besides Cindy Lowery.

Democrats Celebrate Historic Legislative Session

The end of every legislative session in Colorado is accompanied by a familiar narrative no matter which political party is in charge at the State Capitol: Did lawmakers do enough in their 120-day session? This year is no different. As The Colorado Sun reported in its “Unaffiliated” newsletter on Friday: As the 2023 legislative session […]

They Will Eat Dave Williams Too: A List of the Last 6 Poor Souls To Lead the State GOP

(Meat’s back on the menu, boys — Promoted by Colorado Pols) When he decided not to seek another term as leader of the Colorado Republican Party, Dick Wadhams wrote in a 2011 good-riddance letter to fellow Republicans that he was tired of GOP activists who see “conspiracies around every corner.” (Emphasis: That was 2011.) Poor […]

The Circle of Strife: What Does “Winning” Really Mean?

[Pols Note: This is Part 3 of a three-part series. Click for Part 1 and Part 2] Take a look at this headline from POLITICO and see if it seems familiar: The story that goes with the headline is about Arizona, but it could apply equally to Colorado. In Arizona, Republicans are rushing to censure […]

Throwback Thursday: Colorado GOP’s Last Gasp Of Conscience

As political reporter Eli Stokols, then working for Denver’s KDVR-TV covered the story that shocked the Colorado political world on August 21, 2013: Democratic lawmakers couldn’t believe their ears as they listened to Sen. Vicki Marble, R-Fort Collins, deliver a long soliloquy explaining that more blacks and Hispanics live in poverty, in part, because of […]

Colorado Week in Review for September 26, 2021

Our deliberately oversimplified glance at what’s happening in Colorado. awesome + uniting Roaring Back: Consumer Spending Up, Economy Recovery Continues For Colorado Need to get tested for COVID-19? Colorado will now be sending free test kits right to your home House passes Crow’s measure seeking to name new VA clinic after Aurora legend John Mosley […]

Get More Smarter on Thursday (Sept. 23)

Happy “Kyrgyz Language Day.” Please celebrate responsibly…and without vowels. Let’s Get More Smarter. If you think we missed something important, please include the link in the comments below (here’s a good example). If you are more of an audio learner, check out The Get More Smarter Podcast. And don’t forget to find us on Facebook and Twitter.  […]

TrumpWatch Update: Some CO Republicans Still Refusing to Say Where They Stand on Trump

Even if you’re running for coroner–or especially if you’re running for coroner–Trump is the most import topic of the election. Yet, some Colorado Republicans running for office this election won’t say if they support Trump, apparently believing that if they do so, they will scare away voters in competitive districts. Since our first report exposing […]

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