(D) Mark Udall* (1-2)
Udall plugging right along toward November.
(R) Cory Gardner* (2-1)
Gardner has the GOP field cleared, but must figure out how to define himself. Obamacare won't do it alone.
(R) Randy Baumgardner* (OFF)
"The Mustache" fails to make the ballot, can stop pretending to be a real Senate candidate.
(R) Owen Hill* (OFF)
Dropped out of race on 3/17
(R) Ken Buck (OFF)
Dropping out to run for CD-4 instead.
(R) Amy Stephens* (OFF)
Dropped out in late February and endorsed Gardner.
(D) John Hickenlooper* (1-5)↑
Starting to pull away from field and should only benefit from contentious GOP.
(R) Tom Tancredo* (4-1)↑
Still the frontrunner among Republicans, particularly in 4-candidate field.
(R) Bob Beauprez* (5-1)↑
Made it onto the ballot via petition process (just barely).
(R) Scott Gessler* (8-1)↓
Campaign losing momentum fast after disappointing finish at State Convention despite big expectations.
(R) Mike Kopp* (15-1)↑
Made top-line on ballot at Convention, but recent history has not been kind to GOP Assembly winners.
(R) Greg Brophy* (OFF)
Failed to make ballot at GOP State Convention, so his campaign is over.
(D) Don Quick* (1-1)
Next fundraising report (due in May) will be vital for Quick as he makes case with large donors.
(R) Cynthia Coffman* (6-5)↑
Almost had enough support at State Convention to keep Waller off ballot.
(R) Mark Waller* (7-4)↓
Hanging on by the slimmest of margins; barely made the ballot, and limping along financially.
(R) Walker Stapleton* (5-6)↑
He's been the GOP's best fundraiser in the 2014 cycle, which has tempered support for Markey.
(D) Betsy Markey* (3-2)↓
Her campaign is being largely forgotten among other races; needs a spark, and soon.
SECRETARY OF STATE
(D) Joe Neguse* (1-1)↑
Solid campaign has Neguse in the driver's seat for November.
(R) Wayne Williams* (3-1)↓
Really, really, really bad at fundraising. Can't win in November just by having his name on the ballot.
(R) Scott Gessler (OFF)
Gessler is running for Governor instead of re-election.
(D) Diana DeGette* (1-10)
DeGette isn't going to lose a General Election.
(D) Jared Polis* (1-10)
Polis will keep this seat as long as he likes.
CD-3 (WESTERN & SOUTHERN COLO.)
(R) Scott Tipton* (2-3)
Definitely Tipton's job to lose, but Tapia could be surprising.
(D) Abel Tapia* (3-2)
If he can raise even a modest amount of money, anger with GOP-led Congress gives him a chance.
(D) Buffie McFadyen* (OFF)
Well, that was fun. Dropped out in mid-March after just a few weeks as a candidate.
CD-4 (NORTHEAST-ISH COLORADO)
(R) Scott Renfroe* (1-1)↑
Makes one of biggest jumps in Big Line history (from 5-1) after impressive GOP Assembly victory.
(R) Ken Buck* (6-5)↓
Getting Cory Gardner's endorsement didn't get him top-line on the ballot. Losing momentum in a hurry.
(R) Barbara Kirkmeyer* (9-4)↓
Hoping to make the ballot via petition after failing at Assembly. Campaign is struggling.
(R) Steve Laffey* (10-1)↑
Also trying to petition onto ballot, and spending lots of his own money to raise name ID. Needs Kirkmeyer to also make ballot to have a chance.
(D) Vic Meyers* (25-1)
Was running against Gardner for months, but won't have it much easier against GOP Primary winner.
(R) Cory Gardner (OFF)
Running for U.S. Senate instead of re-election.
CD-5 (COLORADO SPRINGS)
(R) Doug Lamborn* (2-3)↓
No other incumbent in the entire country raised less money in Q1 than Lamborn. This may be the year he finally falls by his own incompetence.
(R) Bentley Rayburn* (3-2)↑
Surprised with late entry into race, but still had enough support to make ballot at GOP Assembly. If he can raise money quickly, Lamborn is in trouble.
(D) Irv Halter* (4-1)↑
Halter has legitimate chance here…unless Rayburn wins the GOP Primary.
(D) Andrew Romanoff* (5-6)↑
Romanoff is raising money at an incredible pace, but should be doing more with earned media now.
(R) Mike Coffman* (6-5)↓
The way this is going, we'd almost be surprised if Coffman is re-elected. Fundraising aside, he's been terrible on the stump.
CD-7 (JEFFERSON COUNTY)
(D) Ed Perlmutter* (1-5)↑
Perlmutter has absolutely crushed everyone who has challenged him. No reason to think 2014 will be any different.
(R) Don Ytterberg* (9-1)↓
Will make half-hearted effort en route to double-digit loss in November.
The "Big Line" and its contents are the exclusive creation of Colorado Pols and will be updated as conditions change prior to the 2014 election. It is an accurate, if unscientific, look at the races from insider perspectives from both parties. It does NOT reflect who we might like to see win, but reflects who has the best chance to win based on inside information and our analysis of that information. Think of it like a betting line,…
Usage allowed with credit to ColoradoPols.com.