(D) Mark Udall* (1-5)
Gardner can raise money and is affable enough, but his atrocious record will make Udall's job easier.
(R) Cory Gardner* (3-1)↑
He's better than the rest of the GOP field because he should raise money, but that doesn't make him good enough to beat Udall.
(R) Owen Hill* (9-1)↓
Appears that he will continue campaign; he's an underdog, but it's not inconceivable that he could beat Gardner in Primary.
(R) Randy Baumgardner* (50-1)↓
"The Mustache" has always been a sideshow. Why stop now?
(R) Ken Buck (OFF)
Dropping out to run for CD-4 instead.
(R) Amy Stephens* (OFF)
Dropped out in late February and endorsed Gardner.
(D) John Hickenlooper* (1-4)↑
Blessed by the campaign gods with both Tancredo and Beauprez in the race. Now's where's Dan Maes?
(R) Tom Tancredo* (5-1)
Has rebuffed attempts by Beauprez to get him to drop out, though things could always change with Tanc.
(R) Bob Beauprez* (5-1)
Only Beauprez could screw up his own announcement. Sadly for GOP, only Beauprez can raise any real money.
(R) Scott Gessler* (10-1)↓
Biggest loser from Beauprez bid; "Both Ways Bob" takes GOP votes from Gessler.
(R) Greg Brophy* (10-1)↑
Biggest winner (other than Hick) from Beauprez bid. More candidates = fewer votes needed to win Primary .
(R) Mike Kopp* (20-1)↓
Kopp was terrible at first GOP debate, and he's having fundraising trouble. Likely to end campaign fairly soon.
(D) Don Quick* (6-5)↑
May ultimately win this race despite his weak campaign; he should be putting serious distance between himself and GOP candidates by now.
(R) Cynthia Coffman* (3-2)↑
Did not have an impressive Q4, but at least she wasn't as bad as Waller.
(R) Mark Waller* (9-4)↓
Spent more than he raised in Q4, and he raised less than $12k. Will he even have the cash to compete?
(R) Walker Stapleton* (5-6)↑
He's been the GOP's best fundraiser in the 2014 cycle, but he'll need it to raise his name ID.
(D) Betsy Markey* (6-5)↑
Posted a weak Q4, but she's not going to compete with Stapleton in fundraising.
(D) Pat Quinn* (OFF)
Withdrew from race in 11/13.
SECRETARY OF STATE
(D) Joe Neguse* (1-1)↑
Running a solid, if unspectacular, campaign while Wayne Williams…not so much.
(R) Wayne Williams* (3-1)↓
Republicans a little concerned after Williams raises all of $11k in Q4 and reports less than $10k in the bank.
(R) Scott Gessler (OFF)
Gessler is running for Governor instead of re-election.
(D) Diana DeGette* (1-10)
DeGette isn't going to lose a General Election.
(D) Jared Polis* (1-10)
Polis will keep this seat as long as he likes, and likely won't try statewide run for many years (if ever).
CD-3 (WESTERN & SOUTHERN COLO.)
(R) Scott Tipton* (2-3)
Chatter among Democrats has been quiet for months as they try to decide if he's beatable.
(D) Buffie McFadyen* (6-4)↓
Well, you can say this for Buffie: she'll make it interesting.
CD-4 (NORTHEAST-ISH COLORADO)
(R) Ken Buck* (4-1)
Hoped to get Primary to himself after Great Gardner Switch, but no such luck.
(R) Scott Renfroe* (5-1)
The odds of a spectacular gaffe in this race just got much, much better.
(R) Barbara Kirkmeyer* (5-1)
Finally got bored of running for County Commissioner (4 times!) and officially jumped into race.
(R) B.J. Nikkel (10-1)
Fun facts: Nikkel was staffer for former CD-4 Rep. Marilyn Musgrave. Ken Buck's wife, Perry, holds Nikkel's former state House seat.
(R) Frank McNulty (10-1)
Former House Speaker rumored to be ready to run.
(R) Tim Dore (12-1)
Lesser-known State Rep. considering run. Better not "consider" for too long.
(R) Steve Laffey* (18-1)
A big GOP field gives serial campaigner a decent chance for first time.
(D) Vic Meyers* (25-1)
Was running against Gardner for months, but not well; Dems looking for a stronger candidate than unknown Meyers.
(R) Cory Gardner (OFF)
…And then there's Cory, trading a safe seat for an unlikely Senate bid. Whatever.
(R) Greg Brophy (OFF)
Decided quickly to stay in Governor's race instead.
CD-5 (COLORADO SPRINGS)
(R) Doug Lamborn* (1-5)
You'd be hard-pressed to come up with a less-effective Member of Congress, but he represents a solidly-Republican district.
(D) Irv Halter* (7-1)↑
Raising decent money considering the challenges. Probably can't win, but has the best chance of any Democrat in the last decade.
(D) Andrew Romanoff* (5-6)↑
Romanoff is raising money and keeping his head down, content to let Coffman make a fool of himself, by himself.
(R) Mike Coffman* (6-4)↓
Under threat of torture we couldn't explain Coffman's actions in last 6-8 months. The way this is going, we'd almost be surprised if he was re-elected.
CD-7 (JEFFERSON COUNTY)
(D) Ed Perlmutter* (1-5)↑
Perlmutter has absolutely crushed everyone who has challenged him. No reason to think 2014 will be any different.
(R) Don Ytterberg* (9-1)↓
Appears to be GOP's sacrificial lamb here. Unlikely that NRCC will put any resources into this race.
The "Big Line" and its contents are the exclusive creation of Colorado Pols and will be updated as conditions change prior to the 2014 election. It is an accurate, if unscientific, look at the races from insider perspectives from both parties. It does NOT reflect who we might like to see win, but reflects who has the best chance to win based on inside information and our analysis of that information. Think of it like a betting line,…
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