U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 23, 2006 09:00 AM UTC
28 Comments
Where was Rick “Howard Dean would be President if he hadn’t fired me” Ridder while Peggy was making a fool of herself on TV? Polls don’t vote but they sure keep gullible candidates writing out large checks
Peggy’s lead will increase when she starts to hit Ed. Ed is losing a lot of support amongst organized labor because Peggy has been taking the time to show them Ed’s real record. This whole affair with the Midwest Research Institute and their management of the NREL will also damage Ed. Peggy is the real deal and a tough and tenacious campaigner.
Peggy’s lead will increase when she starts to hit Ed. Ed is losing a lot of support amongst organized labor because Peggy has been taking the time to show them Ed’s real record. This whole affair with the Midwest Research Institute and their management of the NREL will also damage Ed. Peggy is the real deal and a tough and tenacious campaigner.
Peggy Lamm: 33%
Ed Perlmuttter: 17%
Herb Rubenstein: 1%
And apparently 49% responded, “Who are these people and why are you asking me about them?”
Go to the websites of the three candidates for Congress.
Only one says anything about the War in Iraq. Every Democrat I know is against the War in Iraq. Every Democrat I know will vote for a candidate who has the guts to stand up to Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld and this insanity in Iraq. Every poll shows Democrats oppose the war by over 80%. Herb Rubenstein will be listened to because he has the guts to oppose the War.
What a hoot!! Anyone with a year’s worth of campaign experience recognizes this tactic by the Lamm folks to trot out a poll to take the spotlight off of Lamm’s problems (supporting Bill Owens, lying about it, then getting caught by the Jeffco DA for voter fraud). My guess is that IF the poll is accurate (a big “IF”) and wasn’t designed to push this result, it likely reflects voter recognition of the Lamm name. With all of Peggy’s problems, her campaign deserves at least one day of good news so I say let her have it. But no one should be under any illusion that this poll is accurate as a reflection of her strength in a district she only recently moved into.
There is NO way that Peggy Lamm has higher voter ID in Jefferson county than Ed Perlmutter. This kind of poll is what gives Rick Ridder a mixed reputation for the accuracy of his polling.
You’re on target, bile rising. I can believe the numbers, but I can also believe they are meaningless, testing only name recognition in voters who, the habitues of this board aside, aren’t even close to thinking about that race yet. Peggy should lead Perlmutter in name recognition, in part because of her high profile in the CU-bashing committee and also because her name is Lamm. Even among the cogniscenti on this board, I’ve seen posts confusing her with Dottie Lamm, wife of former Gov. Dick Lamm. In fact, she is the ex-wife of Tom Lamm, Dick’s brother.
Lamm is obviously a viable candidate, but at this point of the game she needs to be raising cash and building grass root support, not flaunting name id polls.
Unless the Lamm campiagn releases more than the bottom-line result of the poll and allows the press to see it, I agree with My Bile Rising. This doesn’t seem like a credible poll to me at all.
My neighbors must not be very good at addressing envelopes. According to Peggy’s poll they all favor her, but for some reason all of her donations are coming from out of the district, and even then she raises half of what Perlmutter does.
Do you think that all of those ‘likely primary voters’ accidently mailed their checks to Ed? Maybe they just didn’t know which of Peggy’s addresses to send them to.
No contradiction there, Take Back. By definition, anybody motivated enough to write a check, especially so early, is not the average voter a random sample will pull. Also as to the claim that Ed is better known in Jeffco than Peggy, I’m not sure that’s true if you include those who think she’s Dottie, and in any case, the District is far more than Jeffco. Adams County may well hold the key to victory here. Don’t get me wrong, Peggy’s name recognition lead, if real, is all but meaningless. But that doesn’t mean Ridder phonied the numbers.
Voyager,
The poll does not report the average voter. It reports the “likely primary voter”. I assume that RBI threw out a part of the data that they felt for whatever reason did not reflect that catagory.
The vast number of people do not vote in primaries, and I would think that donation trends might be correlative to those that do.
Why doesn’t Peggy update her website???
Why doesn’t Peggy update her website???
The poll is a good reminder that real voters don’t care about and aren’t paying attention to fundraising totals and the address on her car registration. People like Peggy – she is personable, trustworthy and honest and that comes through in town hall meetings, small group gathering, etc. I think it is going to shape up to be a tough race.
The vast number of people don’t go to caucuses, Take Back, but a fair number of registered r or d will vote in a primary. But it all depends on how Ridder screened. If he asked if they are a Dimmycrat and then if they intended to vote, he’d get a high number of yes responses from people who were ashamed to admit they wouldn’t vote. The better way is to call from lists who DID vote in the last primary. But even that pool is vastly greater than the check-writing group. Again, there is no contradiction between Ridder’s numbers and Perlmutter’s better cash flow. Obviously, among those who know both candidates well and who care to write checks, he’s ahead. The problem for Lamm is that suggests that when all voters start paying attention (to the primary) that her name recognition edge may give way and Perlmutter’s more active and voluble support may expand quickly. That’s why early on polls, even when accurate, don’t mean dip squat. Like you, I’d look at Perlmutter’s bank account, especially the local donors, as a better augury of his long-term success.
The poll is a good reminder that real voters don’t care about and aren’t paying attention to fundraising totals and the address on her car registration. People like Peggy – she is personable, trustworthy and honest and that comes through in town hall meetings, small group gathering, etc. I think it is going to shape up to be a tough race.
There must be some major distress in Lamm’s campaign office. Bad press, no money, fraud charges . . . Hard to blame them for the drastic measures though I don’t think it will go a long way for her. If anything she’s just letting the opposition know that she’s searching for anything to get some positive momentum going for her campaign. Damage control! Damage control!
Turns out Ridder polled the wrong district. You see he got confused during all the press about where she actually resided. So he ended up polling likely primary voters in the precincts surrounding her superior home. Looks like she’s popular in Superior.
Turns out Ridder polled the wrong district. You see he got confused during all the press about where she actually resided. So he ended up polling likely primary voters in the precincts surrounding her superior home. Looks like she’s popular in Superior.
IF these numbers are good, they really make me wonder if Ed Perlmuttter is going to suffer the same fate as Bob Schaffer in 2004: Get all the right endorsements, put together a great campaign team, get plenty of good help from old colleagues and work his ass off like there is no tomorrow.
Then get your ass kicked in the Primary because of name recognition.
Fake poll, fake hair, fake name, fake smile, fake address….need I say more?
RE: Herb Rubenstein will be listened to because he has the guts to oppose the War.
Posted by: BeTheChanger at February 23, 2006 03:00 PM
Well, what a shock! We were told the BTC wasn’t endorsing during the primary. As usual, they say one thing and do another. So much for the “integrity” of their grassroots project. BTC once again proves that integrity lasts only as long as they view themselves to be the underdog! Once that view changes the lying begins.
If you’re going to play that game, Peroxide, let’s look at Ed:
Short on voting record, short on support, short on charm, short.
Peggy Lamm has cut right into Ed’s support with labor and environmentalists.
Rick”Howard Dean Would Be President if He Hadn’t fired me” Ridder has done a great job cutting into Ed’s core support.
Meow, Lilliputan and Go Peggy Go. You’re right about the personal attack. Sorry…
Let’s talk SUBSTANCE. Ed has probably voted over 10000 times and looking at his website, he has over 17 unions supporting. I believe the Conservation voters gave him good marks in the Senate.
Ask Peggy why she quit the House after two years. Doesn’t look like she’s committed to those voters who supported her in 1996.
It will be a tropical heat wave in CD7.
Ed and Peggy have lots of ammo and lots of money to fire it with. They both have terrible records to defend. They both have ethics that at best could be called questionnable. Peggy does take the cake when she cannot figure out wear she lives. But, Ed for his part has Indian Gaming ties.
Rick O’Donnell an outstanding and talented Republican is headed for Congress.
It’s a bit early for ROD to be pricing townhouses in Silver Spring, Md., HeatWave. But I gotta say the fierceness of the Lamm/Perlmutter partisans on this board is a positive sign for ROD. I think they’ve been taking lessons from the Beauprez/Holtzman slash and burn boys in our party.