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January 02, 2009 10:37 PM UTC

Alternative Theory: Dark Horse Superstar?

  • 103 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

While we try like hell to get our collective heads around Governor Bill Ritter’s daring (he hopes) selection of DPS superintendent Michael Bennet to fill the seat of promoted Sen. Ken Salazar, and stand by our assessment that this pick defies all political common sense, we are always willing to consider possibilities.

The chief pushback we’re hearing to criticism of Bennet’s selection is that his admitted brilliance and ability to rise to major new challenges are being underestimated. This comes to us from sources who know and have worked closely with Bennet, and who insist there is something to be seen in him that hasn’t been able to shine given the positions he’s held so far.

There is a certain leap of faith required to fully accept this, and that’s the problem given the alternative of at least equally qualified–and better known–candidates looking ahead to 2010. We want to be clear that our issue is not with Bennet’s personal ability to campaign well, but his ability to do as well as candidates with fewer name-ID hurdles and a base of support already in place. Bennet is a risk, and an entirely unnecessary risk at that; it’s not like Republicans picking an untested candidate as a way to shake up a race after years of losing.

But consider this: when Sarah Palin exploded onto the national stage, she went from photogenic nobody to immensely popular superstar in a matter of days–until they let her talk without a script. Can the similarly photogenic and novel Bennet do the same, succeeding where she tanked by not colossally blundering through his first interviews?

Like we said, there are always possibilities.

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103 thoughts on “Alternative Theory: Dark Horse Superstar?”

    1. to appoint people with no experience running for office but tons of back-room connections.

      I think this could be good – there is diversity in having a couple of Senators who did not come from a professional politician background.

      I guess we’ll know for sure in 2 years…

      1. Both Kennedy and Bennet have heavy involvement in education. It sure would be nice to see this country start to refocus on education and bring our learning status out of the third world tier, wouldn’t it?

            1. Regardless of Palin’s experience level, if she had been knowledgeable about ANY issue she would not have suffered the “inexperience” slings. Caroline has written 2 books about the constitution and worked to improve education in NYC. She DOES need to learn to speak publically. That much is clear, but she has some knowledge of some issues and is inquisitive enough to learn. Palin, just last week, was again quoted as saying her governance is gut based, not knowledge.  

              3. Yes, on specifics they are widely apart.  On the general, neither have experience of effective leadership.

                Like Bush, if Carolyn wasn’t born with the Kennedy name, she would be a nobody in America.  

          2. Caroline Kennedy graduated from Columbia Law and is an accomplished author on constiutional issues. Whether she or not she’s qualified to be a US Senator is open for debate but to compare her to the know-nothing Governor of Alaska is laughable.

            I’m not sure Palin has ever even read a book, much less written one.  

            1. At least Palin’s worked for a living.  She also took on her own party to get to power.  

              Everyone that disagrees with you idealogically is “stupid”, eh?.  Love it.  

              1. I don’t see the word stupid except in your post, LB. “At least Palin’s worked for a living”…..you say. Why is it that you’re willing to give a pass to the blueblood losers who have driven this economy into the ground? (I’ll explain it to you…later, if need be.)

                Regarding your signature…..”If we love our countrymen, country doesn’t matter. Love before Country   SR

                 

                  1. There is a syndrome afoot…where it’s not what you know, but who you know…that has contributed to the currentt……not malaise, bit destruction.

                    What the fuck do you mean by “we’ve already established my love for you”??!!…you freak. Get thee away, Satan.

                    Look at how the aristocracy…ala GWB governs…to understand blueblood governance.

                    1. I’m back to being Satan again?

                      What have I done to invite your wrath upon me this time?

              2. and, I’m sorry, it’s that Sarah Palin really is stupid.  I mean that quite literally.  I don’t project that onto all people who disagree with me.  No, really, it’s just her.

          3. Gosh, I must have missed that newsflash.

            And nowhere in my comment did I say I support her, now did I? I do, however, support her committment to education and find the amount she has raised for educational causes absolutely staggering. I admire and respect someone that takes their name and knows how to use it to the betterment of something as vital as education.

            And seeing parsing agree with you just makes me realize how wrong your comment is. 🙂

                1. I do, however, support her committment to education and find the amount she has raised for educational causes absolutely staggering. I admire and respect someone that takes their name and knows how to use it to the betterment of something as vital as education.

                  What, besides fundraising, has she done for education?  Specifically.

                  Dems saying Kennedy is qualified for anything other than being a Kennedy, especially in context of the treatment given to a very accomplished woman that’s actually won elections (and voted in more than half she was eligible to vote in), is laughable.

                  Ha! I laugh!

                  See?  

                    1. After listening to dems harp and harp about Palin being unqualified (she’s not) I find it totally ironic that Kennedy is going to be handed this seat after never working a day in her life.

                      Totally not personal at you at all. Truly sorry if you took it do.  

                    3. About 95% of what I write here is done with a warm smile on my face.  I love learning and talking politics, and I honestly really dig almost everyone here, certainly you.

                  2. As chief executive of the new Office for Strategic Partnerships, Ms. Kennedy will take over several disparate programs within the Department of Education in addition to fund-raising. They include the office of the special adviser for the arts and volunteer efforts like tutoring and mentoring.

                    Specifically, she brought arts and music programs, that are a dying breed in most public schools, back to the forefront. I know there is quite a bit of controversy surrounding these programs and whether or not they are important to a child’s overall eduational experience. In my opinion, they are vital and essential. Unfortunately, they are also the first programs to be cut.

                    I would agree with you that she has a weak record to support her being appointed Senator. There are far more qualified potential candidates.

                    But for you to compare her being seated as a junior Senator from New York to a woman who would have been one heartbeat from leading the free world is a ridiculous exercise in hyperbole.  

                  3. Yes, the only reason Kennedy is being considered is her last name. And dynasties are bad for a democracy and generally deliver mediocre people.

                    I do think she has a major advantage over Palin in that she does appear to have intellectual curiosity – a trait that Palin lacks.

                    We’re also talking Senator vs VP. This country has had useless Senators before and it hasn’t been much of a problem.

                    But yes, to be fair, Kennedy is not on any short list of the most qualified people for that seat.

          4. Celebrity HRC had no experience in any elected office or executive position anywhere and had never lived in the state. At least Caroline actually lives there.  

            They got lucky with hard charging HRC. They seem to think she’s done a good job for them. Maybe they’ll get lucky again and Caroline will turn out OK in spite of a complete absence of anything resembling relevant experience. So far she comes off as a society princess unused to being spoken to without deference.

      2. poster child:  Inarticulate, apolitical princess.  An Upper East Sider with dynastic pedigree who ‘has been around politics all my life.’  The last of which means… ‘ frequented the compound at Hyannis,’ ‘talks to Uncle Ted weekly,’ and ‘gets invited to events as the celebrity survivor.’  Gets to leapfrog serious people who’ve done serious politics and paid serious dues in the democracy, as opposed to ‘been around it.’ Give me a break…

      3. If Bennett is smart and turns out to be a good politician, the Dems will fund his campaign and he’ll have a good shot at being elected in 2010.

        And if the GOP puts up another Schaffer or Coors, he’ll still have a good shot at being elected.

        Kennedy won’t be any more worthless than Teddy was during his first 10 years in the Senate, and she might actually learn the game if she works at it. Only time will tell, and it looks like we’ll get a chance to watch the 51-year-old kid get an education.

      4. I left Illinois government 28 years ago. I figured I could stay in this corrupt environment, or leave and make something of myself.

        When a Dem Governor was elected, thousand of state workers had hope that things would change. Shows greed has no political party.

        Roland Burris was a part of that government those 28 years ago. ANYONE that would accept a corrupt Governor’s nomination is out of their mind and just as corrupt.

        Don’t get me going on the things I had privy to as a chief union steward for afscme during my tenure. . .

    2. Does steal Bennet’s thunder in the national headlines a bit, but with the 111th session officially beginning tomorrow and a first actual gather of Senators for the New Session on the 6th, there is no time to wait.

      2. Don’t turn Romanoff into another Beuscher – “a job, any job.” The guy is smart and talented and if he goes and works in the private sector for a couple of years, he’ll do just fine and still have options to run in the future.

  2. A dark horse superstar would’ve been someone like Elbra Wedgeworth, who is a minority, a woman, and clearly energetic

    Michael Bennet seems like a great guy, but in considering that Colorado’s two biggest swing areas, as of now, are the Western Slope and Pueblo, the pick doesn’t make a lot of sense in terms of Dark Horse quality

    reviewing –

    1. not from Pueblo

    2. not from the Western Slope

    3. not a minority

    4. not a woman

    Overall, a Denver white guy is taking the Senate seat

    Oh well – he’ll be my Senator now and I wish him well

    peace and love all!

    1. there are more qualifications to being a dark horse than being a minority, a woman or someone from outside of Denver.

      The point here is that Bennet is a relative unknown, outside of political insider circles.

      Who knows? He may turn out to be a brilliant choice for this seat. He seems to have an amazing network of support which will be of great use to him in his fundraising efforts and his ability to connect with voters.

      1. …from the perspective of political strategy… it doesn’t seem like the best choice

        Again – I wish him well, as I always want my Senators to do well

        Regarding swing areas, I disagree

        In 2004, Bush had a much better showing in Pueblo than any other Republican — this is what put him over the top on Kerry

        In 2008, the Western Slope is what gave Udall victory over Schaffer

        The rest of Colorado’s areas, for the most part, are predictable based on Party

        An ability to win either of those areas (Western Slope or Pueblo) is a key to statewide office success

        1. Obama’s campaign identified to counties, Jeffco and Larimer, as the two counties that would either give him a win in Colorado or a loss.

          I think Obama’s team did quite a bit of homework and knew their business pretty damn well so on this one, I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt.

        2. How much money did the Independent Expenditure groups and campaigns put into the West Slope and Pueblo? Now how much money did they put into Arap, Jeff, Adams and Larimer?

          Also Pueblo? That county hasn’t voted for a GOP pres candidate since Nixon in 1972! They voted for Switch-horse Campbell in 1998 but other than that have been a solid Democratic vote. Pueblo is where Democrats go to dig deep and increase their margins. It’s in no way a swing county.

        3. But you’re wrong.  Pueblo’s vote margin did not put Bush over the top in 2004.  You can’t lose a county and say that the losing margin gave you an overall victory…Bush still would have won Colorado if Pueblo had voted the same margin it did in 2000

        4. There are no statistics or data to back up your claim. The Western Slope had NOTHING to do with Udall beating Schaffer. Udall kicked the shit out of Schaffer by double-digits. Given that 85% of the voting populace in this state lives between Ft. Collins and Pueblo on the Front Range, the Western Slope would only ever become relevant in a race that came down to literally a few thousand votes.

          It doesn’t matter if you are a swing area if you don’t have enough voters to swing an election. Ken Salazar won in 2004, for example, because he won big in Denver. Pete Coors was never going to win Denver, but he needed to be more competitive than he was. The sheer number of voters in Denver, Arapahoe and Jefferson Counties make them the most important in Colorado.

          1. While you’re entirely correct that neither the Western Slope, Southern Colorado, nor the Eastern Plains have played a significant role in terms of actual votes during recent elections, Coloradans (and Denverites) still prefer a candidate that at least pretends to care about out-state issues.

            Bennet’s entire career has taken place not just exclusively on the front range, but entirely within Denver city limits. He’ll have much work to do to convince the rest of the state he can credibly understand and fight for their concerns. Not saying Bennet can’t do it, just saying it’s vitally important he succeed at it.

              1. His sojourn in the West was comparable to an extended peace corps tour helping out the “little people.”

                this is not about Bennet, it is all about Ritter…

      3. are the ones with the highest number of voters who do actually vote both sides of the ticket and the largest number of supporters that need to be reminded to vote.

        It doesn’t matter if you win or lose those districts, just that you found the places where you can increase your numbers the most.

        1. …but I’m going to continue to politely disagree

          As Jeff said — the Front Range doesn’t solely decide races, in my eyes

          Denver will go Democrat by a big margin, and Colorado Springs will go Republican by a big margin, basically canceling each other out, no matter the candidate

          That leaves Pueblo and the Western Slope as Colorado’s two regions that can swing either direction, depending on the candidate

          And Pueblo has produced Republicans, like Gigi Dennis and Joyce Lawrence, with GOP numbers growing there — so the idea that a viable Republican cannot win there is not correct

          Also — I respect the decisions of Obama’s campaign team, but let’s not forget that their ground operations on the Western Slope and in Pueblo were HUGE — even Eagle and Summit each had their own, dedicated, Obama staffer, with Obama offices in Eagle, Summit, GJ, and many other Western Slope areas

          A big reason why every Republican was afraid to run against Ken or John Salazar is because those guys both have Pueblo and the Western Slope locked up

          In 2004, Coors’s numbers were a mirror of Bush’s, all over the state, with the exception of Pueblo — the difference in Pueblo is what put Bush over the top, as there was a significant difference in numbers there between Bush and Coors

          Overall – if John Salazar had been selected, you’d be seeing a lot of Republicans sitting down right now

          Michael Bennet’s selection is a Xmas gift for all of us Republicans, and that’s because our 2010 candidate is now going to be competitive — I only pray that we pick a great 2010 candidate

          Lastly —- has Michael Bennet ever ran for office… any office???

          This is not an insult to him, as he’s clearly accomplished

          But I can say, from my own personal experience in running for HD56 — running for office is a LOT harder than I thought, between managing hundreds of lists, deciding where to spend one’s personal time, fundraising, tracking internal polls, and constantly creating creative ads

          I know the Dem Machine, CODA, Progress Now, Ethics Watch, and Accountability will all be revving their engines behind him….. but God be with any first-timer that runs for office and jumps into a swing USA Senate race right out of the gate

          1. but that doesn’t mean you’re right. There simply aren’t enough swing voters in Pueblo and the Western Slope for those areas to count as heavily for a statewide race as Jeffco, Arapahoe and Larimer do.

            Denver and El Paso counties are virtually the same size, it’s true, but the Denver metro area is SIX TIMES the size of El Paso County, so comparing vote margins between the two isn’t terribly helpful. But if we’re talking apples to apples (Denver City and County to El Paso County), Obama did considerably better in EPC than McCain did in Denver.

            And Bennet’s had some relevant experience as Hick’s chief of staff and DPS super, both of which put him in front of the public, including for bond elections. But you’re right, he’s a neophyte when it comes to appearing on a ballot himself. He should probably call you for some advice on that.

              1. it’s Jefferson County that decides who gets elected statewide, with Arapahoe and Larimer hot on its heels. Todd was being contrary just because every other political analyst pointed to Jeffco this year.

                Pueblo’s an essential part of the Democratic profile of the state, and even more so the 3rd District, but it’s less than one-third the size of Jeffco. It’s just not as crucial, and some east coaster saying so from 20,000 feet doesn’t make it so.

  4. I don’t think you can compare the two at all. Bennet’s weak point is not incompetence (by all indications the man is brilliant), but rather the problem of lacking a base brought up by Pols.

    So who would he appeal to? Well, he could help bring strong turn out in Denver, which the Dems running statewide need to win. He could appeal to business Republicans, a wing of that party they are increasingly struggling to hold on to (in light of the Sarah Palin wing). In the ‘burbs he could win a appeal through support for better education. He also has somewhat of an image as a fiscal reformer, which comes at a time when fiscal and financial competency are in short supply. Finally, too many of the posters on this site come from the inside, or a used to looking like politics from that perspective. For the average voter, NOT having a “political hack” appointed is a major plus.

    Bennet seems to have so many opportunities to make this seat his own and hang on to it after 2010. Or he could do a marginal job and like so many appointees, lose his first election.  

    1. Was not of incompetence. That was the second or third impression.

      Our analogy works where we left it, in terms of novel being an asset in the right cases: we wouldn’t try to go any further.

      1. but I think the point many of us are trying to make, that Bennet is qualified, should give us some comfort in light of Palin’s failure. Hopefully he can learn to play ball with the big boys real quick. Salazar’s staff should help get him going, and Bennet is going to have to spend weekends for the next few months in different cities and towns across the state.

      2. become a national joke without the dumb ignorance factor. When Bennet opens his mouth pretty sure it won’t be to say the kind of things SNL didn’t even have to change to work into hysterical comedy routines. This leaves Dems with a lot of work to do to build Bennet into a winning candidate for 2010.  Unless it’s meant as a place-holder but Bennet doesn’t seem the place-holder type. Wonder what DNC, DSCC and the Senate leadership think of this pick?  

  5. I agree w/ the Caroline Kennedy comment – Bennet is someone who’s extremely well-connected nationally.  It’s a pick from the elite suprastructure, and Ritter is solidifying his support w/ them through this choice, thereby keeping himself in the fundraising race and in the national spotlight.

    In terms of running for office, Bennet is not a glad-hander, and doesn’t shine charisma, but he’s a very personable guy up close and impressive in thought process.  He’ll pull money nationally to buy his way into Colroado hearts and minds via the media.

    Probably a smart pick.  Perlmutter’s seat would have been difficult to fill.  Hick just is one, and we didn’t need a special election on his behalf.  Romanoff, though loved, would have had a tougher time raising the Big Bucks, and gave Ritter no extra boost for 2010 – and Ritter NEEDS a boost or two!

    1. Picking Bennet causes the least disruption and carries no more uncertainty than picking Romanoff would have, plus it brings the national ruling class angle in a way the others wouldn’t.  

  7. That with Ritter & Bennet leading the ticket in ’10 we have 2 candidates that are very business friendly. At the same time a lost of the GOP leadership wants to run so far to the right that Bob Schaffer will be viewed as a moderate.

    This could get most of the business community to jump over to the Democratic party. It will definitely cause a lot more to switch over.

    If they pull that off, then Colorado becomes solidly Democratic. And it leaves the wing-nuts in charge of the GOP which will insure their continued decline in numbers.

    1. But this is why Democrats get in trouble pandering to “business interests.” At the end of the day, those interests are always more likely to just support Republicans anyway. Meanwhile, Ritter ignores his base of support and finds them lukewarm.

      1. I count as a business interest and I’m Dem through & through. With the financial disaster we are in due to no regulation, there is a very good opportunity to flip the majority of the business community over to the Dem side.

      2. are more likely to support whoever is in power …

        It’s a stretch to think the Democrats who aren’t friendly to business interests are Ritter’s base of support — he explicitly did not campaign on a single divisive social issue.

      3. There have been many instances where appointed candidates have been primaried out. Just sayin’.  Stuff happens. How long ago was it that the 2008 presidential candidates were supposed to be HRC and Giuliani?

  8. aspect of the pick is that hopefully, since he’s  young, Sen.-elect Bennett can retain the seat for a number of terms, thereby gaining seniority and power in the Senate.  Colorado hasn’t had hardly any long-serving senators.  It would be nice to have one.

    1. was a full decade younger when first elected to the Senate. It’s more that no one wants to spend more than two terms in the Senate than that Colorado’s senators get too old before they can gain seniority.

      But sure, if he wants to hang around for three or more terms, I say let him.

  9. and every voter anxious about our financial security, I think having someone who can credibly talk for the next couple of years about fiscal responsibility and disciplined budgeting is going to resonate with the voters.

    Bennet’s got public & private experience in sound fiscal policy, and Democrats that can make swing voters comfortable with them on the issue of fiscal responsibility do very well in Colorado.

    And one thing that I think is going to be a strong factor in his favor is the connection Bennet has developed with Latino families, thanks to his DPS service.  

    1. It’s just that Ritter had so many better choices. Bennet’s #1 problem will be a complete lack of name recognition, and that was an avoidable problem.

      1. (who was my first choice after Pena turned out not to want the job) had minimal statewide name recognition — I don’t think anyone would argue he couldn’t have accumulated it in the next year as a senator, why should Bennet have any more trouble? Besides, Bennet in the Senate — it rhymes, easy for voters to remember.

  12. …didn’t Ritter botch this announcement? Letting it leak, etc., and then not holding a press conference today after it leaked.  Today everyone is talking about whether Bennet is qualified….except the guy who appointed him.  Same will be true for tomorrow’s papers.  

    1. What’s with Ritter running scared with probably the two biggest announcements of his Gubernatorial career?

      Both the ‘Bend-over-for-Labor-or-Hoffa Jr.-might-yell-at-me-again’ EO and this announcement were done after business (and news) hours on a Friday or Saturday.  This one leaked first.

      What’s the deal, holmes?  Lead.

      1. …but his press conference was moved to Saturday because of the leak.  My point is two-fold:  (1) control leaks, dammit! and (2) if you can’t manage the first, then try to catch up to the story immediately, not over 24 hours later when the story is already written.  At least, that’s the political theory preached by my mom.

        2. there is a negative connotation to having an announcement such as this one come out on a Friday afternoon and/or a weekend.  That’s when bad news is usually released.  It would be nice if there were a public way to understand Ritter’s choice, not just a backroom way to understand it.  So, now we know – legislative experience apparently means little when it comes to appointments to the U.S. Senate.  I hope this works out well but as a non-Denverite I’m less than thrilled.

          1. There’s no reason why he should esteem legislators, given that he rode a wave of optimism into office, with NO legislative background.  Hasn’t compiled much in the last two years either, beyond signing bills.  

            You’re right in implying that this was not a choice geared to immediately please the public.  It was a stealth bomber delivery.

            I still say:  it’s all about money, and Bennet has big-time ties to it.  In tandem with that,  Bennet is actually a good guy, smart, and potentially viable. As Brillig says, the business angle in tight times doesn’t hurt.   Bennet would not have been my pick – and I am a Denverite – but then I live in a more ideal world and don’t have to worry about the next election’s treasure chest or who’s going to fill vacated seats.

          1. ..why didn’t he announce it today?  you know, rather than delaying it until tomorrow.  Today is when everybody but Ritter is talking about it.

        4. though the Senate doesn’t meet until Jan 6 for the first time of the 111th Session.

          Any further delay would have cost Colorado’s junior Senator (how about that senior Senator Udall) seniority, so practically speaking, Saturday was pretty much the last possible moment to delay releasing the news unless the was a very good reason to do otherwise.

          The name for a leak like this one (probably implicitly welcomed by Ritter himself), is a “trial balloon.”  By giving the press and public 24 hours to rip Bennet to pieces, before making it official, Ritter has basically given himself one final background check and opportunity to back out if something really serious (a la Sarah Palin) was out there that his own people missed it.

          Ritter could justify backing out, if necessary based on any early news reports, by claiming (probably honestly) that Bennet failed to disclose to him in an interview when asked if there was anything out there that could be a problem.

          If nobody knows who your appointing until it is official, you are stuck with a lead balloon nominee whether you like that fact or not.  This is particularly useful for an appointee like Bennet who has never received the attention that comes from running for high office.

  14. but, IMO, by appointing Bennet, Ritter just guaranteed himself a weaker opponent come Nov. 2010.  There’s no way whoever repubs consider their top candidate to be is going to take on Ritter over Bennet.  

    Just a thought…

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