UPDATE 9:00PM: Doug Jones wins!
—–
UPDATE 7:20PM: Roy Moore leads 53-48% with 22% of precincts reporting.
———
Today is Election Day in Alabama, where a special election to fill the Senate seat of now-Attorney General Jeff Sessions has become one of the most-watched races in recent memory.
Thanks to a number of factors, from the odd timing of the election to the difficulty in projecting voter turnout in a largely-rural state, political prognosticators have been all over the map on what might or might not happen in Alabama today. A good number of polling firms, in fact, are flat-out refusing to put out numbers in the traditional horse race format because there are so many unknown components at play. In other words, friends, you have as good an idea of what is going to take place today as anyone else!
Cast your vote in the poll below, and remember: As always in our polls, we want to know what you THINK is going to happen, not what you might prefer to see in the outcome.
You must be logged in to post a comment.
BY: ParkHill
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: ParkHill
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: ParkHill
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: ParkHill
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: DavidThi808
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: 2Jung2Die
IN: Hick Smacks Down Even More Straight-Up Lying From Amendment 80 Campaign
BY: cgrandits
IN: Here’s What YOU Think is Happening in Colorado’s Tightest Congressional Races
BY: joe_burly
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: Lauren Boebert is a Worthless POS
IN: Monday Open Thread
BY: Chickenheed
IN: Monday Open Thread
Subscribe to our monthly newsletter to stay in the loop with regular updates!
Unfortunately, it's likely the voter suppression actions (closing drivers license offices in counties with greater than 75% black populations, no early voting, etc) combined with the typical Republican "fall in line" behavior indicates, as with Trump, voters will hold their noses and vote for the sexual predator rather than break with orthodoxy.
I'm happy that there was an effective antidote to voter suppression in yesterday's Alabama voting:
Moore didn’t do it, but if he did, it was ok. Also, those women are liars paid off by Soros.
Trae Crowder says: Roy Moore does not represent Alabama.
Also: “Been a while since anything pleased me as much as watching a bumbling Roy Moore remind everyone that “God is in control” right after becoming the first Republican Senate candidate to lose in Alabama in decades.” https://twitter.com/traecrowder/status/940804640232366081
As always, the race probably comes down to turnout. But this line from Politico is worth mentioning:
Virginia Effect plus a certain percentage of Republicans who won't vote for Moore will give Jones a 2 pt victory.
Inshallah!
Ojala!
Covfefe!!!
Moore narrowly won his elections before, when he had a less politically prominent opponent, no one running a write-in campaign for someone with cover for partisans, and fewer highlighted political negatives.
If Sen. Shelby cannot vote for Moore and goes public with it, I think there are enough Republicans who will swallow hard and follow his lead. Not enough to elect Nick Saban to an office he isn't running for. Not enough to vote for Jones and create a landslide election. But enough to tip the balance and put a Democrat in office until 2020.
Of course, I thought there would be enough revulsion about Trump that he would lose, too. So I may be an excessively optimistic observer, hoping others will vote as they SHOULD (ought to, but not necessarily will).
I can’t remember the first time I had any faith in the voters of Alabama to make a decent decision . . .
. . . this isn’t it.
this was the time, Dio
Happy to wrong, finally!
8:30 And the Times has called it for Jones! +1.7
Take that, you racist piece of swamp slime, you freaky little cowboy hat wearing perverted sophomore stalker, you Bannonite Breitbart- barfing buffoon!
Ok, I’m done. for now.
NYT early election results:
8:15 MT, 86% in 49.3% Jones to 49.1 % Moore – Jones is about 2,000 votes ahead. 😀 Now Jones is about 500 votes ahead.
With 43% in, Moore is 6 points ahead 🙁
With 1% in, Jones has 40 pt lead Times predicts a squeaker though, Jones with a .02 margin.
If Jones pulls this out wouldn't you relish the power Susan Collins holds over the Senate Majority? She should switch to Independent tomorrow and caucus with the Dems.
They would still have their Holy Roller Veep who would break ties. But Collins could shake things up all the same.
Obama won the state twice; Clinton won by 3. Can't imagine there would be much collateral damage if that's what it takes to put the old white boys in their place. If it's 50/50 what determines who controls the committees? Majority Leader?
That had this problem in 2001 when there was 50/50. They had a deal worked out then for getting stuff to the floor. But remember, there was no Tea Party then.
Absolutely!
Collins? With the one exception of the ACA vote, whenever the Rs have really needed Collins' vote they got it, as they did on the tax bill–when she was either hopelessly naive, stupid, or willfully in denial to believe McConnell and the House would follow through on "promises" to her.
Unfortunately, gaf, you are correct. She is in lockstep with the GOP's agenda to corrupt our institutions and desecrate the founding principles of our nation:
Your point is taken, Davie, but she's inside a rotten, corrupt caucus that has given her few choices. It's the equivalent of finally standing up to the bully in the schoolyard: they generally run. Bring Murkowski with her (unlikely giver her state demographics). Point being, those two (Republican) women could upend the current dynamics of the Senate and at the very least get them back to regular order (as one of their white guys promised, but failed to deliver on, months ago?) Again, you're probably more on point than I, but why not dream a little?
One can hope, but speaking of Murkowski — she's all in on the revised tax bill because she got what she wanted — to plunder the ANWR:
Well…#BabyRepublicanJesus™ did hide all those fossil resources under
RussiaAlaska so Caribou Barbie could discover them and parlay her allegiance to dinosaur poop (it's a joke, OTD) into a (failed) political career under Murkowski's watchful hand.When last we saw Caribou Barbie struggling to be relevant, she was in Alabama campaigning for Judge Moore.
Ugh, Michael. The latest from Senator Collins regarding regular order:
Afterall, there isn't a black Democrat in the White House anymore…
Geezuz. OK. I take back everything I said. Ugh.
8:21 – NYT has a 90% likelihood of a Jones win. Jones had pulled ahead with mostly favorable areas outstanding.
The N.Y. Times just called the race
https://www.nytimes.com/?action=click&contentCollection=Politics®ion=TopBar&module=HomePage-Button&pgtype=article
As Moderatus said………….let the voters decide.
Cnn calls it for jones.
Alabama tells Trump to drop dead!
Has a tweet emanated from the Oval Office yet?
Surprisingly (and probably from the phone that isn't Trump's) there was a congratulations, we'll win next time. Moore refuses to concede.
To quote Andrew Carnegie……
You lost because your candidate sucked.
And, sadly, it was an uncertain thing even so. Hope Jones proves to be an effective legislator for AL.
I can't help but think ol' Roy'd a pulled it out if he only got hisself a few more Jews
Good luck with that flip attempt, Cory! Cory Gardner to Doug Jones: Congrats, now represent AL by voting with Republicans
Daily Kos's elections editor is all over that:
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/12/12/1723757/-Hahah-Pathetic-Republican-Senate-honcho-desperately-begging-Doug-Jones-to-switch-parties
Fuck you, Cory. Fuck you, Mitch.
And Fuck You, Bipartisanship!
Our very own Eddie Haskell slithered in to save face for the GOP:
Yeah, right
Perhaps Cory Gardner will at last do the right thing and represent Colorado by voting with the Democrats. I mean…Hillary Clinton won our state. Same logic, no?
Covfefe Cory always talks like a moderate…and he votes for the Trump agenda 100% of the time.
Being out of step with his roots isn't anything new for Convenient Cory; the gossip in Yuma is that he comes from a very fine FDR New Deal Democratic family, who barely talk to him anymore.
Not a 100% of the time. Oh man. And all this time I thought Cory was a wise and independent thinker who weighed all sides of the issue and only made up his mind after carefully considering what's best for America. I think I've been had by his con man character. Too bad he isn't up for election in '18.
I'm not surprised. Wasn't there a period of time when he was registered as a Dem? No wonder his family won't talk with him.
The staff better lay low tonight. Cheetolini picked both losers in the AL Senate race. Bwahaha!
Have the tweets begun yet?
He should have backed Mo Brooks! Are we tired of winning yet?
Democrats are running 9-10 points ahead of the historical partisan voting patterns. That sweeps out the GOP in Colorado.
We're all California, now!
Go Dems!
Lamborn will remain as a reminder.
Coffman is probably shopping his lobbyist cred about now. He probably wishes that Ryan had given him a pass on the tax bill too.
This is the mirror image of Massachusetts in 2010, when the Bay State elected its first Republican US Senator since 1972. And we saw how that worked out later that year. (One big difference: Martha Coakley was not a bigot or a kiddie diddler.)
I predict a rash of retirement announcements among House Republicans in the next couple of weeks. I predict the Senate Dems put money into Tennessee and Texas.
Finally, yesterday shows what a difference op research can make. As long as the GOP nominates these fringe nut cases, there is no telling what is in their background. Remember Christine O'Donnell? It doesn't get much weirder than that.
Here's hoping Steve Bannon is put in charge of all of their candidate recruitment!
But, Martha Coakley dissed the Red Sox
I don't see this as at all the same. Massachusetts elects moderate Republicans to office more than occasionally. Alabama not so much in the other direction.
It took a Troy Aikins / Christine O'Donnell level of idiocy combined with a national Democratic wave combined with new DNC strategies that work to get Jones to a 1.5% margin of victory (and a +26 over the state's PVI).
This is a reminder to Democrats (as if they needed it after the VA elections): run good candidates who connect to local issues, keep the national party out of the way doing party-building, GOTV, and voter registration – and always put someone up for every seat! This seat went unopposed for Jeff Sessions…
As I recall, Coakley also didn't put a whole lot of effort into her campaign, since she seems to have thought she had it in the bag from the outset.