UPDATE (3:10pm): Walker Stapleton finally figured out how to use the Internet. We’ve updated the numbers below…
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The fundraising numbers for the Q4 (2017) reporting period are in – most of them, anyway – giving us our first glimpse at the level of support for the various campaigns seeking one of Colorado’s top jobs in November.
Let’s break down the numbers for Colorado’s top candidates for Governor…
NOTES
We haven’t broken out self-funding numbers like this in the past, but with so many candidates drawing from their own checking accounts and not even trying to fundraise in a traditional manner (see: Victor Mitchell, Jared Polis, etc.), it is more important than ever to distinguish self-funding numbers that can be included in the total “contributions” for the quarter.
We also haven’t broken out the numbers from various Independent Expenditure Committees (IECs) that have been formed to (essentially) support individual candidates. Walker Stapleton can expect more than $750k in support from “Better Colorado Now.” There is also more money in an IEC for Cynthia Coffman than the she has raised herself.
SORE THUMBS (OR, WHAT STICKS OUT)
Democratic candidates for Governor are outraising Republicans by significant margins; Michael Johnston, Donna Lynne, and Cary Kennedy all raised more than $250k in Q4. Democratic candidates are also spending considerably more money than Republicans, which indicates more comprehensive and well-organized campaign operations.
On the Republican side, former Congressman Tom Tancredo isn’t bringing in a lot of cash – but he’s also the only candidate in the field whose public profile is robust enough to run a viable campaign without raising a lot of money. The most alarming numbers belong to Coffman, who only cracked the $100k mark because of a $15k transfer from her Attorney General campaign coffers. Both Tancredo and Coffman were expected to seek ballot access via the caucus/assembly route, and their relative inability to raise money essentially precludes them from trying to petition onto the ballot.
Second-tier gubernatorial candidates such as Mitt Romney’s Nephew (R) and Noel Ginsburg (D) are only going to be competitive to the extent that they are willing to continue writing personal checks to their campaigns, although Mitt’s Nephew will benefit from a hefty IEC (“Build Colorado’s Future”) while he spends the bulk of his campaign warchest petitioning onto the ballot.
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Pols, let's not forget about the
PACIEC that shares Mike's slogan, Frontier Fairness PAC (oops, soIECPAC), which has raised 420,000 and spent 160k so far. I should note, of course, that Mike has issued a no PAC pledge, so he's clearly not accepting donations from the PAC that bears his slogan.Cary Kennedy is the one to watch.
Why?
Because I suspect she'll get a tremendous boost from the caucus-goers.
I hope you are right. Polis could beat Tancredo but not so sure about Stapleton. Kennedy could beat both, IMHO. Tancredo's $ numbers are so low– are we sure he's the one to beat in the primary in which independents can vote?
Many Independents know Tancredo's name as well as Republicans
But independents are less likely to vote for him, I would argue. Stapleton has an opportunity now that indies can vote for him in the primary.
Not to be excessively demanding, but do you suppose that future spreadsheets with dollars on them could have columns with flush right figures?
No