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August 13, 2018 01:10 PM UTC

Panicked Gardner Asks for Trump's Help in Arizona Senate Race

  • 15 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

UPDATE: Republican Senate candidate Kelly Ward is running digital ads criticizing “Amnesty Senator Cory Gardner”:

Screenshot of Facebook ad (8/11/18)

—–

Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Yuma) is the Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) for 2018, which means it is his job to make sure that Republicans maintain their Senate majority in November. This is not a good job to have at the moment.

Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Yuma) hopes President Trump can save him from embarrassing losses in November.

As Politico reported on Friday, Gardner is worried enough about Republican chances of holding onto a seat in beat-red Arizona that he’s calling on President Trump for help:

National Republicans are asking President Donald Trump to intervene in the Arizona Senate primary amid rising fears that the GOP will nominate an unelectable candidate and cede the seat to Democrats in November.

During a recent phone call, National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) asked the president to endorse GOP Rep. Martha McSally, widely viewed as the establishment favorite in the Aug. 28 primary, according to two senior Republicans familiar with the conversation.Trump, according to one of the Republicans, was noncommittal and did not say yes or no to the request. [Pols emphasis]

McSally is facing former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, both of whom are running as conservative insurgents. Polls have consistently shown McSally leading in the primary, but Republicans fear that if Ward or Arpaio wins the nomination, it would effectively hand a victory to the expected Democratic nominee, Rep. Kyrsten Sinema.

It was only about a year ago that Trump infamously pardoned longtime buddy Joe Arpaio, so it’s fair that Gardner would be afraid that the President might come to Arpaio’s aid once more. Republican troubles in Arizona, coupled with a surging Democratic candidate in Kyrsten Sinema, are just the latest troublesome changes for the NRSC. The billionaire Koch Brothers recently made it clear that they don’t want anything to do with the Republican Senate candidate in North Dakota, where incumbent Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp had long been considered the best pickup opportunity for Republicans in 2018. And in West Virginia, Republicans are about to throw in the towel on GOP challenger Patrick Morrisey, who doesn’t appear to be up to the task of defeating incumbent Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin in a state Trump carried by 42 points in 2016.

It’s looking increasingly likely that Democrats will regain majority control of the House of Representatives in 2018, but it’s only been in recent months that Republicans really started to worry about losing their Senate majority…and things are only looking worse. Democrat Phil Bredesen appears to be outperforming Republican Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee, and incumbent Republican Sen. Dean Heller is in a dogfight with Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen in Nevada.

If Democrats can win in 2 of 3 races in Arizona, Nevada, and Tennessee, the Republican Senate majority is doomed.

Smiles have been harder to come by for Sen. Cory Gardner of late.

As we’ve discussed before in this space, heading up the NRSC in 2018 has been a massive headache for the ambitious Gardner — so much so, in fact, that it might mark the end of Gardner’s political ascension. Running the NRSC looked much different when Gardner was actively angling for the job in 2016 as a way to join the ranks of Senate Republican leadership and raise his own national profile. Maintaining a Senate majority with Democrat Hillary Clinton as President probably looked like a fairly safe bet for Gardner.

Unfortunately for Gardner, he now must deal with an entirely different political atmosphere. Gardner has consistently struggled to raise money for the NRSC, and with opportunities fading around the country, it seems that embracing Trump is Gardner’s last hope at avoiding embarrassment in 2018. Earlier this year, Trump started to get more involved in the battle for the Senate majority, and Gardner eventually admitted that he regularly consults with Trump on political strategy related to maintaining a GOP majority in the Senate.

Less than three months from the November election, Gardner appears to need Trump just to put himself in a position to avoid a major face plant this fall. If that Hail Mary play somehow manages to work, Gardner then needs to worry about distancing himself from the unpopular Trump ahead of his own 2020 re-election campaign.

Yup, it definitely sucks to be Cory Gardner right now.

Comments

15 thoughts on “Panicked Gardner Asks for Trump’s Help in Arizona Senate Race

  1. Details emerging at the end of the last special election before the 2018 general election.

    Republicans (including Gardner's NRSC) "In total, Republicans spent at least $41.7 million on the special elections in AL-SEN, GA-6, MT-AL, SC-5, KS-4, PA-18, AZ-8 and OH-12." A similar set of Democratic groups had "$12.3 million in Democratic spending." That is over 3-to-1 spending margin, resulting in a Senate flip, a House flip, and narrowed (single digit) escapes in GA-6, MT-AL, SC-5, KS-4, AZ-8 and OH-12.

  2. Pols overlooks that Dems have really tough races in Missouri and Indiana. I wouldn't automatically place North Dakota either as a Dem hold.

    But, Trump made a major mistake when he blasted the Koch brothers. It’s not really smart politics; even from a “stable genius” like Trump; to hit hard at couple of your biggest funders.

    1. True.  Dems are exposed in those states.  Mathematically, if Dems were to win AZ, NV and TN, they could only lose one other race and still have a majority in the Senate.

    2. N. Dak. Republican hopeful isn't getting funded by Koch's network. The Guardian says:

      The Kochs’ political arm, Americans for Prosperity, plans to help Republican Senate candidates in Tennessee, Florida and Wisconsin. But it is unclear how hard it will work to defeat Democrats in West Virginia, Missouri and Montana. It will ignore North Dakota.

       

    3. It's a high bar for the Senate Banger.  Blue wave is a reality only if there is a 8-10 point swing.  What's not in doubt is that Gardner, being Trumps front man, has forever destroyed any meme or narrative that he is a moderate politician who represents all Coloradans.  There are hours of video now of him lying one way one day and the exact opposite the next day.  Even better he gets to run in 2020 on the same ticket with Trump.  It would be fitting justice to see both their political careers end on the same night.

  3. Worried about the senate race in Florida also.

    Even with fraud in his background in medical fraud….their Guv was elected

    twice. Bill Nelson (D) is pretty laid back guy.  

  4. Glad to see a Republican Whacka-doodle-doo candidate attack a "When you buy me, I'll stay bought (until I get a better offer)" Senator?  What a lovely couple they make broken heart

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