U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 02, 2010 09:36 PM UTC
34 Comments
the campaign figures out right now that acknowledging your opponent sucked all the air out of your campaign is not the kind of explanation that makes it look like you can remain viable.
OTOH, he could now renounce donations since money is bad and corrupting.
If not for those outside groups I’d say Buck is definitely toast. With those outside groups, I still don’t see a way forward for Buck.
But if the outside groups continue to pour money in, then maybe. John McCain brought his campaign back from the dead. But the odds suck.
On Tom Weins, keep in mind that Jared raised over 1 mil in addition to his self funding. The dollars raised from outside of donations is the key metric. If Weins is not telling – that’s a pretty good indicator.
With that said, I think Weins has a glass jaw so I don’t see him being a serious contender.
Based on what?
They wanted to do it and we were good to go for a week. Then the day before I asked here for questions and a couple of nasty suggestions were posted.
A couple of hours after that, less than 12 hours before the interview, he suddenly couldn’t make the interview because of “travel plans.” And since then, no reply to further requests.
since he announced. I wouldn’t take it personal, Dave.
I would agree. But he wanted the interview, it was set, and it was hours after the questions were suggested and the day before the interview. And it was a very generic excuse.
It could have been something else, but Occam’s Razor points to this.
But maybe you aren’t quite as important as you think you are.
It’s a secret.
I base it on the timing of how it played out. And how it went from we really want to do this to who are you.
Could he be coached past that?
If he has cash, he could hire advisors and staff. But that only helps if he will follow thier guidance.
You have met Weins right????
It’s “Wiens”. 🙂
Campaign for Liberty has done a cable ad buy for Buck. Very weak ads that are hard to decipher.
If Buck runs for Congress he will win.
If he stays in the Senate race he might win the primary as Jane Norton is a pathetic candidate. With primary turnout generally under 20% in contested GOP races anything can happen.
You must not watch local broadcast. Those ads have been on all the time on Denver channels, at least. $350,000 buys a lot of spots.
A pretty amateurish ad for such a large buy
Gardner can raise cash, but he has no natural base among the 90% of voters NOT on the eastern plains. Buck’s base of support is in the most critical county to CD-4: Weld. Also, Buck has been railing against the so-called anointed candidates. The NRSC’s pick is Norton. The NRCC’s pick is Gardner. He has an opportunity to harness the Tea Party energy and turn more republicans against the establishment in Washington. I think Buck would destroy Markey in Weld county, which would easily win him the seat.
Ken Buck could turn the Tea Party crowd against “Washington’s Sweethearts” and beat Betsy Markey badly in Weld County.
Tom Wiens is personally wealthy but has two bankruptcies and a lot of lawsuits in his past.
If he wins the nomination Bennet or Romanoff will just dust off the ads attacking Angie Paccione in 2006 for her personal financial troubles.
But $750,000 is still $750,000. Right now it’s all about who can be the most competitive in the primary. Grassroots Republican activists are desperate for someone other than Norton to vote for.
$725,000.
n/t
Jared Polis would beg to differ. I know it’s not the same but, in the scheme of things, how much different is a dollar raised from a supporter than a dollar thrown in by a candidate?
I’m oversimplifying of course, and I’m sure Wiens wishes he could raise that kind of money from people rather than from his bank account, but if he can buy the air time, and gather some name rec… who knows.
I still think Tea Partiers and GOP activists are so desperate for a non-Norton candidate that they will throw their support behind whoever looks like they have the best shot at beating her. If Wiens has the cash, then maybe he doesn’t need the money to be coming form anyone other than him.
If you look at candidates who are self funded (not additional, but primarily) – they almost always lose.
But he still contributed $6 million of his own money.
I had been unable to remember. One of them was when he was running an insurance company. I can’t recall the other.
Then there was the difficulty he had with the vets nonprofit.
Do you know if he ever repaid any of those creditors that he owed once he got well financially?
The guy should bow out while there’s still time to do so in a partially-graceful manner. At this point, running a severely lethargic campaign only hurts Republicans in the Fall by splitting funds. It is indeed time for him to switch gears.
Wiens would be the best thing to ever happen to Bennet and the Dems; he’s rife with baggage, whether it be bankruptcies, legal issues, or mismanaging (to put it lightly) charities. All of it is fodder for some touchy campaign ads. Being ambiguous about how much of your fundraising came from outside your pockets doesn’t help either.
Because of Bennet’s fundraising prowess, the longer the CO GOP waits to coalesce, the more time Bennet has to unify his primary situation.
I’ve worked for Wiens and I’ve witnessed his handling of his own company finances and how he treats people…I’ll pass on him, thank you.
Bennet would love for Wiens to win this primary. His campaign would be a disaster and it is already showing. The electorate is already suspicous of politicians, and the fact that Wiens has not disclosed the source of the money he raised doesn’t help either.
of the $728K reported for Q4 fundraising, in what his campaign is calling a “candidate-provided loan.”
He can self fund- but that doesn’t generally lead to victory.
blah blah blah Polis blah blah didn’t matter blah blah studies show blah blah blah. Blah blah blah blah.
Since David’s off writing code or something, I thought someone needed to make that point.
I would like to see the details on fundraising. Did Wiens just commit suicide by throwing out a number that seems quite suspicious? Buck’s similar grassroots campaign reports much smaller results. If I were a betting man I would say some people are really digging into Wiens figures right now. I would prefer to be in Buck’s position with his truthful paltry numbers than the alternative. Norton’s fund raising was impressive, but it is expected since she is the RNC choice. The problem with all that RNC money is it does not reflect Colorado’s choice. This is turning into a great race.