U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
March 10, 2010 01:54 AM UTC
20 Comments
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If he doesn’t have a solid lead over Norton, then he’s toast (which is too bad).
Wiens already is toast. But he could help Norton by siphoning just enough votes from Buck to kill his chances.
Oh, David, you say that so authoritatively. Want to make a bet?
I only ask because I may want a piece of the action.
I need to start proofreading before I post.
Try this again–which part of his comment are you betting him on?
to make sure what I read was what you wrote!
of my post
They’re debating right now.
http://apps.facebook.com/color…
But knock yourself out. And thanks for the link, too.
If Wiens gets over 5% I’ll pay you a quarter (the most I ever bet) at the next Pols meetup.
He’s not “toast,” his performance at caucus matters not a bit. If he does OK, then that’s a pleasant surprise. If not, Buck will have taken Norton down a notch and Wiens will emerge as the conservative alternative who can afford to go the distance. It’ll be a hard-fought primary between those two this summer.
Most Republican primary voters drop their jaw a bit, cock their head to the side, and manage a weak “wu-huh?” when you mention Tom Wiens’ name. Nobody knows who he is, and he has less than nothing in terms of an active base.
If Buck loses the straw poll at the caucuses next week by any significant margin, he can forget about his own future in this race. Whichever way it works out, hopefully we see some dropouts in the CD-4, CD-7, Senate, and Treasurer races. We’re just wasting a lot of time and money to pick a handful of relatively inevitable candidates. I hope Dan Maes takes the Gov. race to the state convention, no matter how he polls next Tuesday.
everything will be decided on the floor. Ken still has a chance if he doesn’t win the actual straw poll
I see Norton’s support as slipping among the faithful who attend rubber-chicken dinners and debates, and Buck and Wiens gaining.
My prediction is the order will be:
Top tier
1. Buck (likely close to Norton)
2. Norton (likely close to Norton)
3. Wiens
Second tier
4. Tidwell
5. Barton (me)
Third tier
6. Greenheck (likely under 1%)
7. Martinez (likely under 1%)
Given that Kennedy (who had the nicest personality in the race) is already gone.
From his debate performance, Wiens will get much more than 5%, doing much better than “toast” and will surprise many as he burst into the top tier.
Tidwell will likely do better than me, which makes sense since he’s outspent me by a factor of 20 or more. I think he would do better if he spoke more about WHERE he got his business experience.
I’m wondering if I’ll show well enough to garner the contributions needed to buy some radio ad time, pay for targeted ads to State and County Assembly delegates, and really get going….
It is unfortunate that electability is all about money. I lost my shirt when Intel fell from 75 to 15 nearly overnight in 2000, and am still nowhere near a million.
I certainly hope Norton is close to Norton in the outcome! Otherwise, you’re going to have to say something to the caucus vote counters…
I mean that’s good that you’re realistic, but you could have at least put yourself above Clive Tweedwheel.
among the faithful. Even if much of it is joke name ID.
with all of the other Tidwells. There are so many.
And don’t sell Stevie B short. Some GOP caucus goers will likely confuse him with the late musical theater actor Steve Barton, who played the phantom in the original Broadway run of Phantom of the Opera. Or some of the faithful who forget their reading glasses and hearing aids might think they’re voting for hall of fame pitcher Steve Carlton.
if Republicans checked off names on a ballot, but they won’t. They’ll have to write the name of their favorites on a blank slip of paper. And “oh, what’s the name of that fifth guy, the one who’s not Buck, Norton or Tidwell, or that rancher dude” won’t count.
Steve really thinks Norton will be 1, Buck 2, Barton 3, Tidwell 4 and Wiens 5.
I just feel it in my bones.
he is only trying in Douglous and it isn’t wrapped up for him