U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 03, 2019 12:10 PM UTC
26 Comments
All this does is reinforce China's determination not to bow to Trump's wildly misdirected trade war. They will simply wait for his exit from office — January 2021 isn't that far from now for a nation steeped in thousands of years of historical perspective.
Or to continuously try to normalize his disgraceful behavior.
Ttumpus Caligula . . .
It's a classic Nazi tactic (and one used regularly by criminal defense lawyers):
That's like double reverse psychology mixed with Alinsky#5 and a sprinkle of fear porn. Argumentum ad Nazium. Well played.
This is just nuts. It is easy to assume that Trump, as stupid as he is, asked Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden because the magic box (Fox News) told him to do so. He did not understand that it was an abuse of his authority. But now he is providing evidence of why he needs to be impeached. Without consequences, his behavior, his abuses of power, his perversion of the office of president, will only get worse. There is nothing and no one restraining him.
However, Trump's support holds steady in the same range of 39-43% it has been in since Jan. 2018. The strong negative partisanship of hating everything the other side stands for is holding strong right now.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo
It could change, but it is like a cult falling apart. No one wants to be the first true believer to give up. The first stalwarts to turn on the group think, as opposed to moderates already branded as mere RINOs, will be torn apart by the rest of the cult.
An astute observation, Denny.
There's a small chance it'll change, afterall Trump had to pass a tax cut to get that sliver of conservatives to finally fall in line behind him. I'd argue they could still let their support lapse, but he's definitely not dipping into the low 30s w/o a recession.
Exactly. I know many Republicans who think Trump is repulsive, but love how the economy is doing.
What I find amazing is Trump approval consistency. Gallup shows a breakout by party, Republican, Independent, Democrat. This entire year, Republicans have been between 87 and 91; Independents between 31 and 39; Democrats between 3 and 12.
I'm not certain what sort of events would shake things up — but so far, "actual performance" doesn't seem to matter.
I believe the polls are trending away from Trump
Five Thirty Eight has a good article up today about how partisanship affects the way we assess facts.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-partisans-look-at-the-same-evidence-on-ukraine-and-see-wildly-different-things/
They link to an academic article that has a very descriptive title, "Motivated Reasoning and Yard-Sign-Stealing Partisans: Mine is a Likable Rogue, Yours is a Degenerate Criminal."
When Trump overtly requests foreign interference in our elections, he is simply joking, or investigating corruption, or draining the swamp. If any Democrat did it, it would be treasonous.
Turn about as well. While objectively not as big of crooks as the Trump Organization (or as shameless), there are some pretty bad characters on the Democratic side. Even ones in this state that I would be holding my nose to vote for. Vote for the lizard not the wizard, yay.
Whither goest Fox?
I'm wondering if the UK, France, and Italy have refused to collude with barr and pompeo on the 2016 "investigation" and that's why he slapped them with tariffs.
I expect the next thing he will say is that he asked Russia for help in 2016, and Mueller exonerated him so there is nothing wrong with his perfect talk with Zelinsky.
We're getting closer to a two-fer. Rachel Maddow last night noted how Pence may be guilty of the same offenses that get Trump impeached.
But instead of President Pelosi that I have been suggesting for many months, the Repugs might play it this way:
1) Assume Trump and Pence are both guilty of impeachable offenses that are so bad that even 20 GOP senators vote to convict. (Don't scoff — we're learning more crap each day.)
2) The GOP sees the handwriting on the wall and force Pence to resign and replace him with any other GOPer.
3) Then, they vote to convict Trump and the new GOP VP assumes the presidency.
Don't know if they'll be that smart.
Doesn't the House have to confirm the VP in that scenario?
Yes, both the Senate and the House. By a simple majority.
Go ahead … be a thought leader. Try to name someone who could be nominated by Trump AND earn a majority in both the House and Senate.
My mind is baffled by the challenge. Trump's selection of one of "the best people," appears certain to be accepted by many in the Senate — except for the hard-core religious fans of Mike Pence. So I'm not certain he or she would be able to gain a majority in the closely split Senate.
Then, trying for a majority in the House — and it would need to be someone as appealing as Pelosi stepping into the Presidency.
There is a kludge to get around nominating a new VP.
If the Republicans and Democrats in the House can agree. (Yes, yes, I know cats and dogs living together and all that. I know exactly what I said. I said, 'if'.)
A new unity Speaker of the House could be designated. The GOP would only have to find one Republican the Democrats could trust to be Speaker of the House while removing the President and VP. It might even appeal the the Democratic reflexive desire to bend over backwards trying to be 'fair'.
A name that springs to mind is Will Hurd of Texas.
It would need to be someone who would agree to finish term and not run again. (Good luck making that promise stick. Even Hick's successor as mayor – who promised not run – briefly had second thoughts and considered it.)
And it would need to be someone both sides could tolerate. And given the levels intolerance on both sides, that is impossible.
DENependent's suggestion of Will Hurd is the type needed.
The Constitution is pretty clear on succession to the Presidency. I don’t think that scenario will work, itlduso.
Not to say that McConnell won’t try to appoint a friendly for Acting Pres; Moscow Mitch knows what side his bread is buttered on, and respects the Constitution only when convenient. Whatever happens with impeachment, until the 2020 election, there will continue to be a battle in all 3 branches of government and in the streets.
Not a civil war as Trump longs for, but an intensification of what we’re seeing now- demonstrations, protests, press coverage, world disapproval and mockery, crumbling of the economy.
Not that simple.
25th Amendment: Whenever there is a vacancy in the office of the Vice President, the President shall nominate a Vice President who shall take office upon confirmation by a majority vote of both Houses of Congress.
In a total non-surprise, Republicans are falling in line with the proposition that as long as you do it openly, then it must not be a crime.
Pedestrians on 5th Avenue might start thinking about wearing body armor, you know, just in case Trump wants to fulfill another one of his campaign promises.