A new poll of Colorado voters released today from Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Martin Campaigns (KOM) includes some pretty discouraging results for Colorado Republicans hoping to re-elect President Trump and Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Yuma) in 2020.
Rather than type a bunch of words about these new poll numbers–don’t worry, here’s the memo, toplines, and crosstabs for your geekout pleasure–we decided to tell the story with graphics instead. Enjoy!
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Polls are worthless to me… usually.
But when they affirm what I hope is true – then they are more valueable.
These guys must be the best pollsters anywhere.
To quote the galaxy brain from the Lone Star State: "Oops"
Wait a minute…
How is it that the most vulnerable senator in America, if you believe this story and the last one, can only be beaten by John Hickenlooper?
Am I missing something, Michael?
I don't think you're missing a thing 🙂
Shhhhhhhhhhh . . .
. . . I don’t think we’re supposed to be thinking around here?
We don't know how any of the other Dems running would do because none of those minor candidates can afford to commission a poll to show how he or she would stack up against Gardner.
D+????? . . .
. . . You mean there are people who could imagine Ttump doing even worse?? Fuxsakes . . .
Morning Consult also published polling on Gardner and pushed it out in an email today.
Gardner has 36% approval, 39% disapproval [I still don't get how a Senator can have 25% of the population not approve and not disapprove]. He is listed as #10. Looking at their Senator Lookup, it shows Cory now with net approval among:
Just for fun….
If *rump is convicted and removed, and SDNY doesn't arrest him, can he run again for POTUS? Tancredo (a verb) the party? What would happen to the money in his re-election coffers?
He’d probably try to start a recall campaign (following the examples of Colorado’s grifters-in-chief) against whichever Democrat wins the Presidency.
Yes, I realize that one cannot recall from Federal office….but when has the Constitution ever stopped the Donald from making money?
Realistically, he’d donate it to a “charity” – which would be overseen by himself or members of his family. One thing we know he wouldn’t do with leftover re-election monies- follow Obama’s example and pay off the debts of his primary opponent, and of the Party.
I wonder how much, if any, former governor Hickenlooper moved from his presidential campaign to his senatorial campaign? He can do that, right?
Yes, he could transfer but IIRC he was not very successful in raising much for his presidential run.
Hick & co. could move funds between federal campaigns.
As of the quarterly report, he hasn't. FEC report from the Senate committee is https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S0CO00575/?cycle=2020&election_full=true
Transfers from other authorized committees$0.00
And I don't think Hick will be moving money: The 3rd quarter report of the Presidential campaign winds up with:
Ending cash on hand$7,468.27
Debts/loans owed to committee$0.00
Debts/loans owed by committee$75,000.00
I actually looked at that on the latest filings on Hick’s FEC site. Hick spent more than he received on his Presidential campaign, and had to loan himself $75,000.
His Presidential campaign committee (Hickenlooper 2020) finished 3/31 with $1.3 M CoH. At the end of July, that committee had $836,000 C o H. He spent ~ $2.3M, including refunding about $35,000 to contributors. At the end of September, when the DSCC was steamrolling over all the other Senatorial candidates to recruit the Great White Hick, he had spent 3.3million on contributions of $3.2 million. Hick loaned himself $75,000 to make up the difference. So Hick’s Presidential aspirations basically ran out of money. There wasn’t anything to transfer to a Senate run.
His Senate Committee, Hickenlooper for Colorado, has about 3 million on hand- but about half of that is from party and other committees; only about 1.5 million is itemized contributions from individuals. So in terms of actual voters willing to back a candidate with money, Hick has about the same level of support as Romanoff.
I always like people using math.
But I think we both know htat's not the relevant math.
Call 1000 likely D primary voters.
How many know a candidate's name?
How many care?
True, but Hick raised his.money in five weeks, less than half the time Romo spent.
If Trump is convicted and removed, and nothing else happened, he could run again.
Precedent says the disqualification from any office is a separate matter — but only has to be approved by the Senate's majority vote. I read an interview with the long-time Senate Parliamentarian who pointed out the disqualification had been used a couple of times — but he didn't know if it would hold up in court if it were challenged, as it was only a Senate resolution, not a Constitutional judgment.
the money?
Clearly his.
Or will be when he launders it through Mar A Lago or one of his other properties.
FAKE NEWS! Look what the "POLLS" did for Hillary!!
Colorado Republicans obviously need to go further hard right.
You are 100% correct – that is what Colorado Rs need to do. For the good of the party, the state and our country. If only they would listen to Don Maze, Tom Tancredo, and other R leadership