UPDATE #2: It ain’t over until it’s over, and it may never be over.
President Trump is backing the lawsuit to throw out the ACA, which is now unlikely to be decided by November 2020. So this election may once again be a referendum on the future of the ACA.
— Larry Levitt (@larry_levitt) December 18, 2019
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UPDATE: University of Michigan law professor Nicholas Bagley tries to sort out the news:
But the Supreme Court isn’t normally in the habit of reviewing cases that aren’t yet final. Interlocutory appeals are generally (though not universally) discouraged.
— Nicholas Bagley (@nicholas_bagley) December 18, 2019
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We finally have a ruling from the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals on the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Well, part of a ruling, anyway.
A federal appeals court on Wednesday ruled that the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate provision was unconstitutional but punted on deciding whether the rest of the landmark health-care law should be tossed out.
The court is ordering a lower court judge to reconsider whether ACA, more commonly known as Obamacare, should remain intact.
“The individual mandate is unconstitutional because it can no longer be read as a tax, and there is no other constitutional provision that justifies this exercise of congressional power,” the ruling stated. “On the severability question, we remand to the district court to provide additional analysis of the provisions of the ACA as they currently exist.”
Texas and other Republican-led states brought the suit, which was defended by Democratic-led states and the House of Representatives. The court heard arguments in July.
The suit alleged that the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate was unlawful under the federal government’s taxing powers after Congress reduced the penalty for not having insurance to $0 in 2017. Texas argued that therefore the ACA, more commonly known as Obamacare, must be scrapped.
We’re still waiting for more analysis on this mixed bag of a ruling, but at first glance it seems accurate to call the decision a “punt” by the 5th circuit. This certainly isn’t a positive decision for supporters of the ACA, but it’s far from the catastrophic ruling that some had feared; there was plenty of speculation that the ACA could be ruled unconstitutional altogether.
Today’s ruling likely means that a Supreme Court decision on the constitutionality of the ACA won’t arrive before the 2020 election. In the meantime, you’ll have to busy yourself with Googling the definition of “severability.”
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Ok, I'm not an attorney, but even if the "tax" is $0, it is still in the law, and thus a tax nevertheless. The amount of the tax should not be the deciding issue.
If this is true, it might be beneficial for Democrats to talk about what would be lost with the ACA for folks who have nothing to do with the exchanges or Medicaid. The privately-insured benefit from a number of significant features of the ACA that affect all insurance plans.
If they're not proudly supporting Medicare for All, which is better, of course.
I can see the campaign slogan now: "Re-elect Trump — you don't need no stinkin' health insurance!"
There is no individual mandate anymore.
The Trump/Republican tax cuts and destabilization of America act of Dec 2017 removed the mandate starting this year.
Just set the tax penalty to $0. The court ryled that this meant it was no longer a tax. (We have certainly seen other taxes set to zero for a period without taking them off the books, but…)
It no longer exists. Doesn't have to be set to anything.
Severability is a tough pull given the fact that the government vigorously argued in multiple courts back in 2010-12 that the ACA is basically useless without the individual mandate. The wingnut dipshit trial court judge who decided this case originally will rule once again that the death of the individual mandate kills the entire ACA, then the appeal process will begin anew.
Perhaps in 2021 with a Democratic president, and a couple more Democratic senators. Just enough to make the public understand, universal heathcare isn't a benefit, but a necessity.
"
For plan years through 2018, if you can afford health insurance but choose not to buy it, you may pay a fee called the individual Shared Responsibility Payment when you file your federal taxes. (The fee is sometimes called the "penalty," "fine," or "individual mandate.")
Starting with the 2019 plan year (for which you’ll file taxes in April 2020), the Shared Responsibility Payment no longer applies."