U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 03, 2020 09:34 AM UTC
27 Comments
there is no "winning"
just the press cycle
Yep.
Garbage in —> Garbage out
Nothing is all we ever learn.
or Spin Cycle, MADCO? Agreed that Iowa decides nothing. It's the opening hurdle in a months-long race of press manipulations.
I think there are something like 50 out of 4,900 delegates to be decided tonight. Whoop-whoop!
Bernie has this tonight. Caucuses are his forte. He will win tonight and next week in New Hampshire although New Hampshire will not be by the blow-out margin by which he beat Hillary. Then he runs into Nevada and South Carolina which will not .go as well for him
Agree with R&R – caucuses favor the super-committed, though the candidate has to have some decent raw material or else even fanaticism won't do the trick. In primaries, voters can just choose in the privacy of a booth or living room so tribalism may be less powerful.
Seems reasonable to me that the vote for Clinton last time would be split in this more competitive primary with all the other candidates, while Sanders’ could only suffer minor losses to Yang and Warren. From this far away it looks like a Sanders shoe-in.
Still don’t have a damn clue who I’d vote for in the primary, though I can safely rule out Bloomy and Gabbard.
As seen on the internet recently, the Dems starting their nomination process in Iowa and New Hampshire is akin to the GOP starting theirs in the UC Berkeley faculty lounge and on the set of Portlandia, but tonight might be interesting just the same. A strong third for Klobuchar in Iowa might just serve as a springboard once the campaign moves on past the stump jumpers.
A third for Amy, however distant, gives her the coveted better than expected title.
This guy:
Obviously Moddy, as the sycophants in the party you subscribe to equate differing opinions to nothing less than treason against a god-emperor. I think we all fully expect Trump to defeat Weld and Walsh tomorrow.
Or did you forget/go blissfully unaware that there is in fact still a primary process for the Republican nomination? Afraid Trump didn’t succeed at crushing all attempts at opposing him. The democratic process must still play out, much to his chagrin.
Oh, the anthem respecter?
As others stand at attention for anthem, Trump fidgets, points, pretend-conducts the band
Well- as pertains to a pro athlete- don't care.
As pertains to a president – I agree.
IOKIYARWASP . . .
Is Iowa a state where the GOP refused to allow any other candidates on the GOP ballot? No further proof needed of a Trump dictatorship than that, a-hole.
LIKE I SAID.
Much as I'd like to see Warren win tonight, I think the polls have it right: Sanders will walk away with 1st place tonight, and Biden will take second, giving us two old white guys at the top.
538.com shows 13 polls of Iowa voters in the past week, with Sanders up in 11 (one tie of Sanders/Biden, one Buttigieg lead). Overall average is Sanders up by 3%.
This poll is misleading. What do you mean by "win"? Bernie may win the vote total metric, but someone else (Biden, Buttigieg, ??) will win the most delegates (which is what actually matters). Similar to the electoral college, delegates are allocated based on precincts. Bernie might have thousands of college students show up and swamp the few college town precincts, but he won't get that kind of support outside of the college towns where the majority of delegates are earned.
We won’t know who got the most delegates until Iowa has their convention in a couple of months.
But if Sanders is projected to get the most delegates, he wins?
Iowa – 41 delegates to the DNC
Bernie is polling at 25% – say he gets 11 “state delegate equivalent” (SDE). And the next highest projected SDE is 10 – Bernie wins.
That is how it would work if it were a statewide proportional vote system. Itlduso explains the problem. It's analogous to the electoral vote system.
math is math.
Delegates is delegates.
The 2020 IA caucus is different than prior years- but not much.
The winner is the one who won the most delegates.
I understand – Bernie cannot win.
So all good D's everywhere can change the definition of winning. Or can get Kerry out of retirement. Or HRC. Or whoever.
Pols, I think the Bernie bros are freeping your poll.
more likely Rs who want Ds to be nervous
874 votes for Bernie? It looks like Roger Edwards and Moderatus have been busy today.
I would have expected Powerful Pear to split his ticket and voted for Tulsi as well.
Pols poll here today now shares the same equal legitimacy with the Iowa caucuses . . .
Yeah – pretty sure those aren't daily readers.