(Promoted by Colorado Pols)
At his first campaign rally for U.S. Senate, on a snowy day in 2014 at a Denver lumber yard, Cory Gardner warned that Obamacare was “destroying this country.”
The words may sound harsh today, but they came easily to then-Congressman Gardner. His attacks on the country’s new health care law were a centerpiece of his first successful run for Congress four years earlier, when he raised the specter of 17,000 new IRS agents “storming” America in search of Obamacare cheaters and of the health care law failing because people just wouldn’t sign up.
Torching Obamacare in interviews and ads, Gardner cruised into the House in 2010 and edged his way into the Senate four years later.
But in an irony that’s lost on no one who’s followed Colorado’s Republican senator over his ten years in Washington, Gardner’s long war against the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is now a driver of his likely downfall.
Gardner Entered Congress Stoking Anti-Obamacare Tea Party Wave
Gardner was first elected to the U.S. House in the Republican Tea Party wave of 2010, when he defeated Democratic incumbent Betsy Markey in a Republican-leaning district.
It was the first midterm election after President Barack Obama took office, and newly organized Tea Party groups grabbed headlines across the country by confronting Democrats about Obama’s newly passed ACA.
In the summer before the election, at town hall meetings across her district, Markey faced rooms packed with constituents angry about Obamacare.
“Betsy would go into these meetings, and she held her ground, but we would have people literally scream at her for two hours about the ACA,” Markey’s then-campaign manager, Anne Caprara, told the Colorado Times Recorder. “She took it, but it was hard.”
“Gardner did everything in his power to gin up the Tea Party to attack Betsy at those town halls,” said Caprara, adding that she finds it “incredibly ironic that now he’s running for re-election to the Senate” and hasn’t held a town hall meeting in over two years.
Gardner’s 2010 and 2014 campaign manager, Chris Hansen, didn’t return an email seeking comment, but Gardner said at the time that voters were genuinely “outraged” at Markey for supporting the health care law, which could “very well” come down to her vote in particular. He said Markey’s constituents wanted somebody in Congress who “actually represents them instead of just does the party’s work.”
Gardner ridiculed the congresswoman for drawing praise from Obama himself for her ‘yes’ vote on the legislation.
In March of 2010, after Markey voted for the ACA, Gardner wrote in a fundraising appeal stating that, if elected, he would repeal the “trillion-dollar healthcare takeover.”
“Betsy Markey is out of step with the 4th Congressional district to be in lockstep with the Washington lobbyists who have been the main sponsors of this legislation,” wrote Gardner at a time.
Caprara says Markey was trying to find a practical approach to address a health care crisis, which, among other things, included 16% of Coloradans who had no health insurance.
“Cory made a big deal of saying, ‘It’s not that I don’t want to protect people with pre-existing conditions, it’s just that this whole health care situation will be bad for people,” said Caprara.
“Gardner played this game constantly with us.” said Caprara. “He cared about one thing, and that was winning.”
As Congressman, Gardner Remained at War with Obamacare
After beating Markey and entering the U.S. House, Gardner kept his promise, voting dozens of times during his two terms to repeal the ACA and requesting during an ACA House hearing that his Colorado House district receive a waiver to opt out of the law. ( Cory Gardner starts at 3:02:51 on the CSPAN video.)
Gardner even threatened in 2013 to shut down the federal government unless Obamacare funding was removed from the budget bill. And, ultimately, as 9News later confirmed, Gardner voted “in line with the Republican strategy that led to the government shutdown” over Obamacare funding.
“I want to do anything and everything I can to stop Obamacare from destroying our health care, from driving up increases in costs,” Gardner said at the time when asked about whether he’d favor shutting down the government to defund Obamacare, resulting in the death of the law. “Whether that’s through the continuing resolution, I want to defund everything that we can….”
Gardner’s Senate Campaign Centered on Blaming Udall for Obamacare
With his unassailable record opposing Obamacare, and with Democrats again staring at a red wave in the 2014 election, Gardner announced in February of that year that he was challenging Mark Udall for Colorado’s Senate seat.
And what was at the heart of Gardner’s campaign-origin story, his reason for running? Obamacare.
Gardner said he’d thought previously about running for Senate, but he rejected the idea until he received notice that his own health insurance plan had been cancelled due to Obamacare.
“I thought about reconsidering running for the U.S. Senate, but it really picked up last year when we received our healthcare cancellation notice,” said Gardner at the time in explaining his change of heart in running for the U.S. Senate.
“Mark Udall voted for Obamacare,” Gardner told Fox 31 Denver the week after he announced his candidacy. “It’s destroying this country.”
Even the national debt was linked to Obamacare.
“We need to start addressing the issue of our national debt by repealing Obamacare, which adds hundreds of millions of dollars in debt to our economy,” Gardner said during the campaign.
In interviews, Gardner portrayed Udall as somehow the “deciding vote” in passing Obamacare and as responsible for “Barack Obama’s bill that Mark Udall passed.”
Gardner went on to fill Colorado’s TV screens with ads blaming Udall for insurance cancellations received by hundreds of thousands of Coloradans.
“When Mark Udall voted for Obamacare, he promised us, if we liked our health care plan, we could keep it. But you know how that worked out. I got a letter saying that my family’s insurance plan was canceled,” said Gardner in one ad as he famously flashed his Obamacare letter in front of the camera. “335,000 Coloradans had their plans canceled too. Thousands of families saw their healthcare premiums rise. More cancellations are on the way. You might have one of those letters in your mailbox right now. I’m Cory Gardner. I approve this message. Let’s shake up the Senate.”
“You’ve got all these new voters who are coming into this election, compared to the last time Gardner was elected, and they support Obamacare,” said Keating.
In addition, Colorado now has more Democrats registered to vote than Republicans.
“Republicans had a five-point advantage in 2014,” said Keating. “That’s 100,000 votes Gardner had in the bank just from that difference. When he goes into this election, it’s going to be plus two [percentage points] Democrats. So Democrats are going to have that in the bank, plus they’ve got the unaffiliated voters. There’s no conceivable path I see for Gardner.”
While Obamacare will likely hurt Gardner, Keating emphasizes that Trump is a bigger problem for him.
“Number one, this election is going to be a referendum with Trump,” said Keating, pointing out that hostility toward Obama himself, not just Obamacare, drove voters to Gardner in 2014. “The number one thing is, Gardner’s association with Donald Trump, and the fact that he has stood by him.”
Republican activists worry about Gardner in the next election, to be sure, but some say, if any candidate can win this year, it’s Gardner, despite voting 90% of the time with Trump.
“I think Cory is going to eke it out; I really do, at this point, I really do,” said longtime GOP operative Dick Wadhams said this month, due to “the quality of candidate [Gardner] is going to be.”
Obamacare Defenders Out in Force
When Gardner used Obamacare to attack both Udall and Markey, you didn’t see progressive activists, or Democratic groups, doing much to defend the health care law.
Today, with surveys showing that the health care issue was a major benefit for Democrats in 2018, most every national development on the Obamacare front (e.g., a court decision, congressional vote, Trump utterance) is met with news releases from Democratic candidates and/or progressive groups and, often, protests in front of Gardner’s office in Colorado. Meanwhile, the anti-Obamacare sirens are mostly silent.
Protect Our Care, for example, is a national coalition that exists to “protect the Affordable Care Act from Republican Attacks,” says spokeswoman Olga Robak.
“Protect Our Care Colorado is here to remind voters in our state exactly where Gardner’s loyalties lie on protecting health care,” said Robak. “And let’s be clear: it’s not with Coloradans, it’s with the Trump administration.”
“Health care was a major issue in the 2018 election and will be again in 2020,” said Adam Fox, Director of Strategic Engagement for the Colorado Consumer Health Initiative, a progressive health care advocacy organization. “Senator Gardner’s consistent efforts to take away Coloradans’ health care despite the outcry from his constituents will undoubtedly be highlighted and on the minds of voters.”
For those who lived through Gardner’s rise to power, it makes sense that the senator’s popularity in Colorado loosely tracks with the inverse of the favorability rating of the ACA. Gardner’s approval stands at about the 39% mark today, down from 48% percent just after he was elected to the Senate in 2015. The inflection point hit around January 2017.
Now, where does Gardner go on Obamacare?
As he launches his re-election campaign, Gardner isn’t standing with his Obamacare letter in his hand and saying the health care law will destroy America, like he did in 2014.
His Senate website still calls for “repealing the Affordable Care Act and replacing it with patient-centered solutions, which empower Americans and their doctors.”
But there are signs that Gardner may try to talk about Obamacare as little as possible.
In a little-noticed change to the “Health Care” section of his new re-election campaign website, Gardner has removed any mention of Obamacare, much less his darkest views about the threat it poses to the country.
Instead, Gardner is trying to tout his goals and achievements in the health care arena, with his campaign website stating that the senator “worked with Governor Polis and the Trump Administration to secure a waiver for Colorado to implement a reinsurance program that will reduce health care costs for hardworking Coloradans.”
But the reinsurance program is actually part of Obamacare, which Gardner still wants to kill. The Republican’s ironic stance led 9News’ Kyle Clark to observe, “Senator Gardner wants to demolish the house, but today he’s claiming credit for helping the homeowners put on an addition.”
Gardner’s Costly Refusal to Try to Improve Obamacare?
Did Gardner try to demolish the house for too long, without perhaps giving renovation a try?
If Republicans had changed directions along the way, and tried to help Democrats fix Obamacare, instead of continuing their campaign to kill it, the issue might not be the liability that it is today, says Carpenter, Udall’s former adviser.
“I think the big mistake Republicans have always made on this is, and a frustration for Democrats, is that they haven’t been able to go in and fix particular pieces of it,” said Carpenter. “No law, particularly something this big, is going to be perfect on day one or on day 100. You have to go in and fix it. And hopefully you have people of good faith working on those things, but we just haven’t seen that in our political process.”
He said that it would have hard, if not impossible, for Gardner politically to join Democrats in making Obamacare work better. But still.
“Gardner has found himself in this spot where he’s advocating to get rid of the whole thing and start over, but it’s just not where people are now,” said Carpenter. “Again, short-term political advantage gets you in trouble down the road. I think Cory has found himself in a lot of those spots now.”
For Gardner, the trouble down the road has arrived.
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Well, we got the daily attack piece on Gardner. Can't wait to see what shows up today (Feb. 12).
Lots of muttering and wailing about Gardner. But nobody yet has figured out how to take on the far right wing, dark money, PACs that will be coming into Colorado.
Casino magnate Sheldon Adelson is giving $100 million to support Trump's re-election and campaigns of other Republicans. Wonder how much of that will come into Colorado, especially since Gardner is widely considered as the most vulnerable Republican up for re-election?
Every time I read these, The Who's "Won't Get Fooled Again" starts playing in my head.
Money poured into Gardner's re-election campaign is money that won't go to some other GOP candidate's campaign. Good riddance to money going down the drain 🙂
That's my anthem too, harry! Check out the version on Pete Townshend's "Live at the House of Blues, Maryville Academy benefit". It's an obscure album, but one of the best live concerts I've ever heard.
The GOP will reach a point – probably right after Labor Day – when they do triage. They'll see that Tillis, Ernst and McSally may be salvageable but Collins and Gardner are not. They will put their money there – and Alabama, if it is necessary.
The bottom line is that Cory is a lousy candidate in addition to running in a bad venue and in a bad election cycle. Who can forgot how stupid he looked at the Durango town hall meeting they held a couple of years ago. Wasn't that his last planned public appearance in a non-controlled environment?
I can’t say I share any of your outrage or concern. Of all of the myriad outrages that need fixing at this time, many of which can’t be fixed or can’t be easily fixed, the Cory Weasel outrage is easily fixable and well within our grasp.
Better is better; If you want to change the world, start at home; and some other semi-sagish stuff …
I’ll have plenty of time to feel sorry for poor picked-on Cory, for never one single moment, after he’s been swept away into the dustbin.
While Gardner is having trouble here in Colorado, his pack leader, Moscow Mitch seems to be facing some election problems in Kentucky. McConnell's election odds have been dropping — he is only, (ONLY!?) a 1 to 3 favorite to win in 2020.
All the while having a really great 18% popularity rating.
Wow, this is a hell of a story Jason. Great work.
Very fine clarification of Gardner’s focus on health care. Clear reasoning about why he won’t be maintaining the prominence of his opposition in 2020.
I firmly expect people to be asking about Gardner’s plan to replace the ACA, especially since there is a chance there will be BIG publicity that the courts could strike down the law.
Gardner (and many other Republicans) has said many times there is a plan for a better, less expensive, approach to health care. I for one can hardly wait to hear it — promised for the past decade, but never actually shown to be able to be passed, even when the Republicans had majorities in both chambers of Congress and a Republican President.