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February 20, 2020 09:55 AM UTC

Cory Gardner is Feeling Blue

  • 4 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

It appears that folks around the country are starting to understand that Colorado has moved from a purplish-color to a more robust shade of blue.

Over at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Colorado’s 2020 U.S. Senate race has been changed from Toss-Up to Leans Democratic:

The likely Democratic nominee, Hickenlooper, is not a perfect candidate, but he is a proven one, having won the state’s governorship in the difficult Democratic years of 2010 and 2014. He is hardly a favorite of the left, but that’s probably an asset in a general election environment. Republicans have been trying to criticize Hickenlooper over whether it was appropriate for him to accept free air travel while he was governor. Gardner’s path to victory likely involves Trump getting at least a little bit closer in Colorado than he did in 2016 and outwitting Hickenlooper on the trail. This reelection path for Gardner isn’t impossible, but he needs some things to break his way in order to retain his seat. Hence, it makes more sense to look at Gardner as an underdog. [Pols emphasis]

This analysis fits well with what we’ve been seeing over the past couple of years. Gardner’s poll numbers have been consistently terrible, and his decision to glue himself firmly to President Trump’s derriere on impeachment was not well-received in Colorado. And as you can see from the map below, voters in Colorado have steadily moved toward the left since Gardner was elected to the Senate by a slim margin in 2014.

Via CenterForPolitics.org

 

 

 

Comments

4 thoughts on “Cory Gardner is Feeling Blue

  1. Voter registration numbers continue to support the "bluer" narrative, too.  Republicans are holding in number, but drifting down in proportion.  Democrats are holding their own and slightly increasing.  Unaffiliated registrations are going gangbusters, increasing 35% from Jan 2016 to Jan 2020.  And Magellan Strategies has pointed out the Republicans are losing their appeal to those Unaffiliated.

  2. Democratic margin has increase as:

    – 2.1 pts
    + 4.9
    +10.6

    Almost 100,000 new people have been moving to Colorado every year since 2008, and these would include a high percentage of younger people.

    CD-06 changed dramatically, but I notice that CD-03 is merely pink, now.

    1. You say that CD-06 has changed and that CD-03 is merely pink now: A question for you. After the census Colorado will most likely get another congressional district — what color will that be?

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