Alright, Polsters, it’s time to crack open those crystal balls for the open congressional race in CO-03.
Will Republican Lauren “Q*Bert” Boebert be able to hold onto a seat that has been safely in Republican hands for the last decade? Or will Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush and her not-crazypants campaign pull out the victory?
As always, we want to know what you think will happen here — not what you want to happen or who you personally might support. If you had to place a bet — right now — on the outcome in CO-03, where would you put your money?
Click after the jump to cast your completely un-scientific vote…
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Even with an exact tie, someone wins.
Coin toss or whatever.Pistols at dawn.My prediction: Q-bert wins in a squeaker.
And Ken Buck will no longer be considered the most extreme and bombastic member of the Colorado delegation. And Doug Lamborn will no longer be viewed as the most stupid member of the delegation.
Two. Two mints in one.
I agree. She's not particularly popular out here in the hinterlands, but conservatives tend to be pretty rabid out here as well.
She's a one termer, though. As it is, Breck/Frisco/Dillon/Silverthorne are basically suburbs of Denver anymore, and now that work from home looks to really take off, I fully expect that to spread down I70 past Eagle to Rifle and so on. That will serve to continue blue-ifying the Best Slope, especially as the boomer retirees in Junktown die off to the totally fake virus hoax.
How does 0 votes equate to 1%?
Asking for a math challenged friend…😉
Is she dumb enough to wear that 45 hat to DC after we flush that turd on Nov 3?
My prediction – if Q-bert pulls this one out, and she might just as a result of historic inertia, she will not be so lucky in 2 years. There is absolutely no chance that she will be a remotely competent member of Congress.
I fail to see a connection between being a remotely competent member of Congress and getting re-elected.
To wit: Exhibit A is Representative Doug Lamborn. And outside Colorado, we find Exhibits B, C, and D: Louie Gohmert, Matt Gaetz, and Ted Yoho.
Matt Gaetz isn’t totally bad. He actually seems to get it on the need to take climate action. So, he’s ahead of some of the other R congress critters in FL, who haven’t yet figured out that the high natural point of FL is a 345 ft. hill north of Tallahassee.
Not gonna disagree that there are a lot of highly incompetent individuals in Congress. But, the Colo 3rd District (+6 R) is not the Colo 5th (+14 R). And it is definitely not Tex 1, Gohmert (+25 R), or Fla 1, Gaetz (+22 R). Yoho's district is only R+9, but he is retiring, so you won't have hom to kick around much longer. Also, as mentioned below, there are some Republicans that may challenge Q*Bert in the primary (after the Trump colonic of 2020® ).
The Indy's (U's) will make the difference. 3rd CD may lean to R's in an average year. This isn't an average year. I think Diane will squeak through.
The 2016 race was
Party………….Candidate…………………..Vote %……Votes
Republican
Scott Tipton Incumbent 54.6% 204,220
Democratic…Gail Schwartz……………….40.3% 150,914
Libertarian….Gaylon Kent…………………..5.1%.. 18,903
Total Votes………………………………………………..374,037
Early days, but the SoS summary of 15 October had District 3 votes (by county) adding up to
I'm thinking having more Democrats and Independents voting than Republicans is not a traditional path to a Republican victory.
Qbert in a squeaker, embarrasses herself and us in Congress for 2 years, is primaried by Josh Penry next time around, gets back in the tainted pork slider game.
You heard it here first.
Interesting….
The return of the Mesa County prodigal political son.
I trust he won't step aside again if Scott McInnis decides he wants to get back into the game.
McInnis' standing took a huge body blow with the plagiarism scandal, and I think Penry could just tell him to pound sand at this point.
And I would add, the whole guns/freedom/drillbabydrill/maga schtick definitely has a short shelf life, after folks realize that a) the person espousing this view is nuts and b) they have basically zero depth or knowledge beyond that.
Why would Penry take a pay cut?
The spotlight. Lots of successful business people take pay cuts to run for Congress.
Josh had his turn in the spotlight. It didn't go well when he tried for the big time. Even Scooter looked better.
I see him raking in the big bucks and being a player in whatever the Colorado GOP morphs into.
This is going to be a wave election like no other and sweep Bush into office. Fired up is a weak term for what’s happening around the country and in CD 3. People are standing in lines up up to 11 hours to vote these fools out and Boebert is a fool among fools.
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(Diane Mitsch) – Bush