Tomorrow will mark two weeks since Republican University of Colorado Regent Heidi Ganahl launched her campaign for governor, and the bipartisan consensus view with the benefit of that much hindsight is that Ganahl’s campaign kickoff was a messaging failure–squandering months of overwrought preparation, including a contrived “podcast tour” to build Ganahl’s poor name ID while maintaining the pretense of not being a candidate.
The worst of Ganahl’s campaign rollout, which is no small statement from a tour inviting the public to “meat Heidi” at pitifully underattended campaign stops across the state in the campaigns decidedly not-late-model RV, came when Ganahl repeatedly declined to answer what she characterized as “divisive questions” about the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential elections. Ganahl’s lack of preparation for this essential question for any candidate for elected office in 2021 damagingly shaped the narrative of her campaign launch–particularly given Ganahl’s enthusiastic support as CU Regent for the Benson Center’s visiting conservative professor John Eastman, who authored Donald Trump’s last-ditch coup plan to be carried out on January 6th.
In the days since Ganahl’s marred campaign launch, a faction of local conservative influentials–obviously, not the Lauren Boebert/Tina Peters faction–have come out strongly for Republicans in general and Heidi Ganahl in particular to concede that Joe Biden won the 2020 elections, recognizing the centrality of this issue to any successful statewide run for office in Colorado. The day after Ganahl’s faceplant on the question, former Republican Party chairman Dick Wadhams wrote this in a Denver Post column:
Unfortunately, a large number of Republican activists across the state are more interested in refighting the 2020 presidential election they claim was stolen. They refuse to accept the fact former President Donald Trump lost not because of election fraud but because of his own actions and words that alienated many of the voters who voted for him in 2016.
A few days later, more or less outright pleading that Ganahl take this issue off the table was loud and clear from two more prominent local conservative columnists:
Ari Armstrong, writing at Colorado Drudge on September 21:
Heidi Ganahl is running for governor. Her campaign let slip the move on September 10, and she officially announced a few days later. I figure if she really wanted my advice she could find my number. But I’m going to offer it anyway. This doubles as general advice for the Republican Party in Colorado.
My basic advice to Ganahl is run like you’re going to lose. Because you are probably going to lose… [Pols emphasis]
I…advise that Ganahl stay as far away as humanly possible from Lauren Boebert and her sycophants. Boebert is popular in her region but toxic statewide. Ganahl’s job is to try to convince suburban centrist voters that the Republican Party is not absolutely bat-guano crazy, admittedly a tough assignment given all the Republican shenanigans this year regarding the presidential election (paging Tina Peters), [Pols emphasis] the pandemic and vaccines, and conspiracy lunacy of various flavors.
While acknowledging Ganahl’s weaknesses, Armstrong attributes Ganahl’s lack of competitiveness more to Gov. Jared Polis’ popularity–and downplays Ganahl’s ties to Eastman as “guilt by association.” But Krista Kafer at the Denver Post got less apologetically to the point in her own “get ready to lose” column on September 23:
Since a number of Republicans continue to believe the election was stolen despite the paucity of evidence, consultants are likely telling GOP candidates to avoid the issue. How many Republicans still dispute the election results? How many of them would abandon a statewide GOP candidate for saying the election wasn’t stolen? Hard to say but no GOP candidate in a blue state wants to lose a bloc of Republican voters.
I would argue that Ganahl must be willing to risk losing these Republicans in order to win. There was no evidence of massive fraud during the last election. Reporters at center-right news agencies, GOP secretaries of state, the courts, and law enforcement had every reason to find, expose, and report malfeasance if it existed and they didn’t…
Fortune doesn’t always favor the brave. Even so, we must be fearless in the defense of the truth. It is worth the risk.
This would have been good advice to give Ganahl before she fumbled the question repeatedly on the first day of her campaign launch, but today all this after-the-fact advice manages is to remind everyone that Ganahl has already messed this up. And that’s not all: despite these conservative opinionmakers who want to project a reasonable face to a general election audience, the fact remains that a majority of Republican voters believe the “Big Lie.” That’s why Ganahl defending the legitimacy of the 2020 elections while there is any risk of a primary on her right flank is so risky.
Unless Ganahl believes the “Big Lie” too! In that case, this advice from the Colorado Republican pundit class is just a smokescreen. The only way we’ll ever know for sure is for Heidi Ganahl to set the record straight herself.
When that happens, she’s going to pay a price. Because she could have been honest the first time.
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Well, judging by her website, if this is going to be her brand she's off to a great start with that!
You misspelled Dickwad Hams name again.
Dave, repeating a stupid and offensive slur you’ve already used 50 times doesn’t make it — or you — any less stupid or offensive. It just underscores your lack of imagination.
I am an engineer. We lack imagination. But, we are precise.
You are precisely offensive. Now, go eat some butterscotch and leave the adults alone.
Maybe I'm missing something, but Ganahl's launch was, at best, fumbled.
In the few campaigns I've been involved with enough to hear about strategy, candidates and the staff wanted "good press" to be milked as long as possible and "bad press" to be pushed out of the minds of people as soon as possible. There was one candidate who even prepared a full-on sequence of statements and contacts in the media concerned about a topic he was well informed on — and then held back on it to pull out when there was a negative story.
Ganahl seems to have nothing to provide a distraction from people talking about her unwillingness to answer questions about the 2020 election.
You're not missing anything, JiD. She's really bad at this. The poor thing seems to equate winning a seat on the Board of Regents, a position that precious few care that much about, with winning a job everyone cares a great deal about. I'd be surprised if she doesn't draw a primary. If she doesn't, the state GOP is dumber than I imagined.
Actually, Cookie, upon this very date, Sept. 27, 1974, Thelma Borden of Littleton actually cared about the CU Regents race. The feeling subsided by early evening.
No primary. She's the GOP's anointed sacrificial lamb. Smarter GOPers will wait til Polis is gone.
My thinking went that way, too. She is so obviously unqualified and unprepared.
Polis is popular and will be hard to beat. She needs to borrow a sidearm from Pew-Pew and strap it on. 😁
Hell, I’m pretty sure that you all know she has already won . . .
. . . but, you’re going to successfully algorithm another steal of that bigly win away from her, same as always??
Heidi Hoe’s “Meat (sic) Heidi” sign is no worse than:
a. Bob Schaffer’s website featuring Mt. McKinley,
b. Bob Beauprez posing next to the ass of a horse,
c. Scott McInnis’ “Musings on Water,” or
d. Dan Maes getting caught hitting up Freida Poundstone for a loan to pay his mortgage.
A direct appeal to the MeatIn! crowd? Does she have something against sheep? #WheresTheMutton? #SacrificialLamb (we’re a ‘Top Ten State”)
If Ganahl is, as some have suggested, the GOP's self-chosen sacrificial lamb, then there's no downside to her going full-on Bobie-corp — they're the only ones nutter enough to spend any time, money, or attention on her.
In Ganahl, Polis is likely to be facing not a conventional candidate, but the wackiest set of outlandish charges and allegations imaginable. . .
They would have been better off running Taller Coffman. Does anyone think that the state GOP Powers-That-Be asked her and she declined?
No.
Coffman is a highly intelligent woman and I think she would be a good governor. But Polis has a personal fortune close to a half billion dollars and is willing to spend it freely to keep his job.
I agree with Moddy's commendably brief analysis.
Analysis schmalysis . . .
. . . The question was, "Does anyone think…?"
Which is what Fluffy was answering (for himself).
Amazingly, he finally got one right today!?
Thanks for the laugh. Coffman would be about a good of a governor as she was an AG, which was laughable