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December 10, 2011 08:00 PM UTC

Colorado GOP Establishment Pushing Back Hard For Romney

  • 24 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

You know the story after the release of Public Policy Polling’s numbers this week:

Thirty-seven percent of those surveyed by Public Policy Polling said they’d pick Gingrich if the state caucus were held at this point.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney only got support from 18 percent of those polled.

No other single candidate earned double digits and 16 percent remain undecided.

You might think Romney is starting to look like an underdog in Colorado, but political scientist Peter Hanson with the University of Denver says you might want to think again.

And why is that, increasingly worried top-brass Colorado Republicans hope you ask? The Hill, recapping the second half of Wednesday’s most-discussed story:

Mitt Romney significantly outperforms Newt Gingrich in a head to head match-up against President Obama in Colorado, but the president would still defeat the entire field of GOP candidates, according to a Public Policy Poll released on Wednesday.

Obama, who won Colorado easily in 2008, would defeat Gingrich 50 percent to 42 percent in the state, while Mitt Romney is within the margin of error, only trailing Obama 45 percent to 47 percent.

This is the message sources tell us is being urgently distributed to likely GOP caucusgoers by the Mitt Romney campaign in Colorado. And it’s critical to understand that despite the daily swings in polling, Romney has effectively sewn up support among just about the entire GOP leadership (sorry, Mike Coffman) in this state. These are the surrogates now working the base to quell the so-called “Gingrich surge.” In addition, Romney is still the only GOP primary candidate with a field organization on the ground of the scale needed to win the caucus. Next to Romney, we’d have to say Rep. Ron Paul is the best-organized candidate, and his perennial backers aren’t exactly Newt Gingrich friendly–or predictably transferable at all.

Ultimately, the staying power of the “Gingrich surge”–or any other Romney alternative–will be much more apparent by the date of the GOP caucuses here on February 7th. That said, we still don’t see anyone actually working to win this state other than Romney, and his defeat would come despite intense pressure from local Republican leaders on the GOP base at this point.

We honestly think the Romney insiders will be okay, Dan Maes taught them valuable lessons.

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24 thoughts on “Colorado GOP Establishment Pushing Back Hard For Romney”

  1. The Donald.

    Bachman.

    Pawlenty.

    Marco Rubio. Christy.

    Newt.

    Romney is going to the be the guy. He’s not loved in Iowa.  He’s going to lose in South Carolina – those guys don’t care about cohesive, they want Christians.  

     But the guns are going to line up behind Flopney because they think he’s the most electable.  Unfortunately for them, “electable” doesn’t exactly resonate with the current GOTP base. I mean so what that he puts some purple states in play in the general and Newt wins Georgia by a little bigger margin.

    1. Given the volatility of the poll numbers for all the candidates (except Mitt), I think Romney will take Colorado in the caucuses.  Perhaps not with the 60% that he had in 2008.  But he’s still the best of a bad lot.

      As for the rest of the primaries, Gingrich’s disorganized, underfunded and understaffed campaign will ultimately collapse from the Newt’s own self-destructive tendencies.

      Romney has the money to weather as many defeats as it takes to outlast his erst-while competitors.  Because delegates aren’t awarded on a winner-take-all basis, he simply needs to be there at the end of the marathon, while the rest of the field drops out one by one.

      Of course I’d enjoy seeing Gingrich pull a Dan Maes as the GOP nominee.  But my bet is he only gets a slot in the convention lineup to give his also-ran swan song speech.

        2. A cynic is someone like Henry Kissinger of Dick Cheney: he KNOWS he is lying, but CHOOSES to deceive.

          ArapaGOP follows the Party line, much as a Stalinist or COMINTERN member.

          He avoids answering whether he believes or denies science, but knows that Party success depends on a lot of people who do believe that wacky stuff.    

          1. treating whatever bullshit that spews forth from ” the party ” each day as absolute dogma. There is nothing as mentally weak as being happy to be told what to think.

  2. The Republican leadership still doesn’t understand that they no longer run things and the lunatics have taken over the asylum. They failed to determine the candidate in Nevada, Delaware, & Colorado last election.

    I’m sure the leadership thinks they’ve learned from the last election. What remains to be seen if they truly have learned how to regain control. Call me skeptical.

  3. Perry campaigner. Hope Miklosi’s people realize the value of tying Coffman to crazy, dumb as a post, single digit polling Perry.  That might  put a dent in the perception that Coffman isn’t a crazy right winger. Miklosi ads should play some of Perry’s wackier and dumber moments and remind people that this is the guy Coffman thought should be our president.

    As to whether or not GOP leaders can take back control in Colorado any better than they did in 2010, I wouldn’t place any bets.

      1. Dems can still use the fact that Coffman was chair of the Perry Campaign Colorado in anti ads in the general election. Still demonstrates that, since Coffman was the official Colorado face of the campaign for such an extremist, he might not be as reasonable as many low info, not very tuned in moderates and indies think.  It links Coffman with the guy most of those voters do know about by now, will remember by the general and do consider too extreme.  The fact that Perry will, by then, have been long rejected doesn’t change that.  

  4. If Romney doesn’t completely slaughter the field (or if Newty has even a respectable showing) he’ll be for all intents and purposes effectively down four before the end of January. If that’s the case, with Super Tuesday just around the next bend, there won’t be enough money on the planet to stop the bleeding and buy him the nomination.

    Romney needs to crush Newt in these few remaining debates to start building that necessary momentum.  

  5. It is must see TV.   It is like watching 1.5 hours of something knowing that a disaster WILL occur at any moment.  Kind of like rubber necking at a car accident.  I love it.  I think it is on ABC.  

    1. much ballyhooed debate because only Newt and Santorum are willing to show. Guess the Donald has irrefutably jumped the shark.  Nobody’s even going to want to pay him to put his name on real estate anymore and when his show tanks he’d better hang on to his (not in the billions by a long shot) money.  There won’t be many new opportunities rolling in.  

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