U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
January 09, 2012 08:20 PM UTC
52 Comments
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And I’ll certainly eat my words if Romney does win the GOP nomination, but with all my disagreement against the GOP, I am not a hater and I hope the GOP finds its way back to classical conservatism, because that will make America better
That said….
Do the Caucus/Primary voters of the GOP seriously not question Romney’s sincerity??? Do they seriously take him at his word, to the point that success in the GOP is merely a function of just telling everyone what they want to hear (and dismissing every opinion one has held in the past) instead of demonstrating character by being yourself and defending it???
When the GOP elected Ford in 1976, the majority of the Party preferred a de-tente with the Soviet Union
When Reagan won in 1980, he CHANGED the Party into supporting potential nuclear annihilation over peace – it was a huge change that was a result of a talented candidate, with a tremendous ability to communicate, along with an electorate that was open to new ideas
What to make of the current GOP voters?
Tell them whatever they want to hear, in addition to berating your own past, and celebrate the extreme positions of everything they hold dear?
I’ll just end it this way – haven’t any of these GOP voters ever shopped at a Used Car Parking Lot?
TEBOW BABY!!!!!
Whatever Tebow is doing, keep doing it !
My wife and I woke up my kids screaming at the TV last night and jumping up and down. Just completely awesome when they iced the Steelers 11 seconds into overtime. Kabloom !
Sorry, off topic, but I had to say it.
I watched it at Loaded Joes in Avon with a group of Colorado friends – we were biting our nails for 3 straight hours
When the last pass to Thomas was caught, we all cheered…. then as he kept running, everyone in the bar, one by one, got off their stool, cheering louder and louder, exploding when he scored
One of my favorite Colorado moments ever
Who else do you think will get it? How? Certainly not your disgusting (sorry but he really is) “Uncle” Newt!?! Peacenik racist Paul? Now there’s an odd combination of attributes. “Blah” people(?) critic Santorum? Immigrant loving, secessionist Perry? A last minute rescue from somebody entirely different?
My dearest BC…
I will eat my words because, while I am deeply critical of the GOP (and a proud Democrat), I at least thought that there was convictions behind their bigotry, homophobia, and totalitarian desires
I am starting to realize that there are, in fact, no convictions behind the GOP
Has something happened to, “I got mine . . . “??
Once again, since you say you say you’ll eat your words if Romney is the nominee, that would seem to mean you don’t think he will be. So, to be clear:
Do you think he will not be the nominee?
If so, who do think will be?
Does your comment mean something else?
If so could you be a little more clear?
I’m saying that, if Romney becomes the nominee (which could definitely happen) then it means that the GOP has no convictions – and that surprises me
Don’t quite understand it but…got it. Of course you’re much too young to remember what the Republican party used to be which was nowhere near as exclusively far right or as devoted to big government in your private life as it is now. Romney would have been more than conservative enough for the really grand old GOP. The convictions you must be referring to would have been considered pretty extreme.
On the other hand, in an era in which a Catholic president was almost a bridge too far, Romney would never have been spoken of in connection with that office, so there was that. Of course the idea of a black president would have gotten you laughed out of the room. But that wasn’t a left/right convictions thing. It was just the way things were in the “good old days”.
The purpose of primary is to the vet the candidates and this primary has already weeded out Trump and Cain so you’ve gotta give a thumbs up that the primary has lasted as long as it has. Bonus points for seeing Perry go small in the debates.
In fact, I think you are just plain wrong. An end to the primary early is a huge victory for Romney. Then the press will stop the focus on all these absolutely idiotic ideas and just plain craziness spouted by all of these Republican candidates. It will allow Romney a time to go dark and become the moderate that he really is and it will allow Romney to put the light being shined on the extermeism of the Republican Party under a shade and hide from what his party really believes. That’s his best hope for having any chance in the general election.
I say that Santorum and Gingrich should go the next two rounds and then all the right wingers except the winner between those two should drop out giving the nomination to the winner between these two.
In Romney’s case a long primary will not be his friend. The sooner Rs stop attacking him and rally behind him to face Obama, the better.
This might be true if the situation was a vote is divided among too many popular candidates with Romney needing more exposure for name rec. Instead it’s because he’s completely familiar and what most GOPers see in him is not what they want.
Don’t see how constant reminders of why they don’t like him help. Newt’s thing is that Romney’s just as bad as Obama. If that message gains more traction with unhappy GOPers in an endlessly Romney bashing primary season, there’s less reason to rally behind him to beat Obama and more to go third party to register displeasure.
and staying in gets their name out there for next time. Gingrich arguably dosen’t need this exposure, but hey he’ll sell some more books, so what the hell.
Paul and the erstwhile Bachmann at least have to fly back to DC, vote no for whatever it is, then go home.
besides more beat up?
maybe he has to sweat it out. I think he is already a good debater and has campaigning down pat so there really is nothing in it for him. Sorry Mittens !
Any of the 3 would shut up for a cabinet position and Newt would likely take an ambassadorship someplace warm & welcoming for his fat ass.
There are serious ways Mitt & his backers and stop the sniping once he wins FL.
There isn’t a nation left big enough to fit Newt’s ego in!
would you send Newt? We like ambassadors to cultivate positive relationships
Allowing Romney to win early and lie low does his campaign no favors. It takes him out of the news cycle and forces him to spend time and dime to get any MSM’s attention. His best hope is that this thing drags out for awhile, the way Obama and Clinton’s primary did. It was the news every single day in every single news cycle for months. It sucked all the air out of McCain’s campaign.
If Romney wins the primary early, he cedes the spotlight to Obama for the next 6 months (provided he wraps things up by March.)
If all he does is run commercials during that time period, (and he will be forced to in order to keep his name front and center) he’s going to burn out and bore most voters right back into Obama’s corner.
And being endorsed by McCain only makes Romney look like McCain light, another candidate that didn’t exactly stir enthusiasm among the Party faithful.
Sometimes bad attention is better than no attention at all and in Romney’s case, he needs all the attention he can get in order to ignite Unaffiliateds to become enthusiastic enough to pull the lever for him in November.
The long primary really helped Obama and the Dems, as both candidates articulated core Democratic values. The Dem advertising machine is so weak, that they really, really needed this.
The Republicans have Fox News, so they don’t have a built-in channel for free advertising. The utility to the Republican Party of the long primary is that they get to massage all parts of their base.
Concern Trolling: The benefit for the Democrats is that the constant focus on the crazies destroy the Republican brand for the foreseeable future.
May that happen, and the country will be a much better place.
and there’s no shortage of living, breathing right wing super PACs.
Romney will get all the GOPers, hell, Perry or Cain would get the GOPers, but he’s going to need the independents to win this. What’s going to influence the independents more, a stealth-Romney or letting them see that today’s GOP is 95% dangerous wackos? Romney needs to get the family skeletons back into their closets as quickly as he can.
Santorum in 2008 from PRNewsWire
About same time, Santorum was on Laura Ingraham’s radio show to say:
Now Santorum fears Mittens will “destroy this country” and spews shit like “We want someone who’s gonna stand up and fight for the conservative principles, not bail out and not run and not run to the left of Ted Kennedy.”
The sooner Mittens can stuff these hypocritical clowns back into the car the better. Mitt will find a way to stay in the news. It’ll likely happen that a 3rd party TeaBaggin’ candidate will show up & give enough fodder for press to pay attention the next 6 mos.
Romney will get plenty of attention, and can focus all of his effort on bad attention to Obama instead of having to counter bad attention to himself from so many in his own party.
There was very little policy difference between Obama and Clinton. Dems were highly energized to be in it to win it whichever turned out to be the nominee. Most Dems who preferred one didn’t despise the other. This is an entirely different situation.
Instead of two competing candidates with very like-minded constituencies, it’s an unpopular candidate at the top who can’t improve his numbers no matter how many rivals, the most powerful with big policy differences, crash and burn. He needs grudging acceptance and solidarity more than he needs attention to his continuing inability to improve on an unimpressive ceiling. So far he has no more supporters than in 2008, a year in which he lost to the guy who lost the general.
Prolonged primaries aren’t good for getting more attention when you are already such a completely known and not much liked quantity.
Money is a non-issue for Romney. He and Obama are both going to spend over a billion, we all know that. The side groups will also spend billions too. Money is no issue for either candidate. Both of them will wear out their welcome with voters. He’s tech savvy enough to come close to Obama. So, if he wins right now, he avoids all the negative impressions his opponents are giving him in the primary. The reality is that the country already knows Romney. And from the polls I’ve seen he’s only something like 3-5% behind the President. His message about the President is getting lost in all of this BS with his Republican opponents, none of whom have a prayer of beating the President.
Also, you’ve got to remember that the American public has a very short memory span. There are lots of my folks (the country club Republicans) who voted for Obama last time that aren’t going to do it this time. And trust me, watching these bozos only discourages them and makes them think about voting for any “Republican” at all.
Romney has been trying to turn and face Obama for months. But the “anyone but Romney” momentum has caused him to keep defending himself from within his own party.
As soon as he can say that he has comfortably locked up the nomination, he will be able to stop engaging the right wing rhetoric and go full force at the President while reinventing himself as a moderate.
He doesn’t have to hold his fire. It will show the country the difference between the candidates in black and white so to speak.
the sooner he can move to the center. He wants the nomination as soon as possible, so he can present himself as a moderate to the American poeple. Although, having Ron Paul and Rick Santorum around, as contrast, is not going to hurt him. He can claim that he is not a right wing economic nut (thats Paul), and not a right wing social nut (thats Santorum).
The Tea Partiers aren’t the only crazies running the asylum. Before them and larger in numbers, we have the religious right.
Over and above all of them are the super-wealthy, hard-right ideologues. Some of these are Republican Establishment, but many are to the right of Joe Coors, namely the Koch brothers who are hard-core Corporate Libertarians.
I would guess Coors-style corporatists want a “responsible-dependable-conservative” Republican Party that’s good for business. The big money behind Gingrich is more extrmist and fighting to keep the Republican Party as hard right as possible.
I think the real civil war in the Republican Party is the one within the Conservative Establishment.
a Republican presidential primary these days with a shred of credibility as a candidate who can appeal to the middle. Everything that would help you take a few steps back toward the middle is anathema in the primary. For instance:
.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/…
What’s a Romney to do?
the main takeway time & again was Mittens seeming presidential compared to the rest of the buffoons on stage. Hell he just had to shut up to stand head & shoulders against raging idiots like Bachmann & Parry.
The only suspense remaining after FL (if we even have to wait that long) is who will round out the ticket. Christie sure has his dinghy tied up to the SS Mittens but could a tru Nor’easter ticket really play? And Stay-Puft Christie’s disdain for Occupier “sweethearts” make Mitt seem almost non-Stepford but still a bit to much of the 1% for the heartland.
So who’s gonna ride shotgun on Mitt’s bumperstickers in ’12?
Marco Rubio … Nikki Haley … Bob McDonnell … Bobby Jindal … Jeb Bush …
or Guv Cristie? This bit of suspense deserves a poll vs. any Palmetto odds …
…with the guts to jump in so late is Palin, but I doubt she does
or peddle a reality show.
of Discovery channel programmers??
Come in people, you better start watching those Gold Rush programs, or they’ll have no choice.
Don’t you think?
You must be joking. She’s a general election joke candidate.
OFA,or a 527, can run ads on TV with folks who Romney caused to lose jobs
Can run ads with folks who lost their jobs in the last four years and blame it on Obama. What’s your point? If I were Romney, I’d take my chances on that.
I think a lot of these candidates are auditioning for Vice President, and or building their names for 2016. (Or trying to keep their name in the game for bool tours or FOX News shoes.
Frankly, if Romney wins, he’ll probably select Huckabee, who has been keeping his head under the umbrella.
Finger fudging.
With you PH>
Mitt Romney Blowout Could Help Senate Democrats, Memo Says
HuffPost broaches idea that with an early Mitt win only the die hard righties will turn out in the later primaries. Any of those featuring a TeaBagger vs. a mod GOP match up could result in splitting Senate races and giving a Dem an advantage. An idea worth paying attention to.
but had spent all the money he was allowed to spend prior to the nomination. Clinton, with no opposition, spent months tarring him with the “Dole and Gingrich” brush. campaign rules may be different now, especially Since I don’t think Romney has taken matching funds. But assuming the Mittster wraps it up for all practical purposes in Florida late this month, that gives a long time for Team Obama to run ads establishing Bain Capital as a tool of Satan or the Oakland Raiders (but I repeat myself;-))
Dole took Public funds. Romney didn’t so he has no limit pre-primary and of course in Dole’s time there were no “SuperPACs.” This isn’t an issue this year.
I assumed not, but wasn’t sure. But there is still a long time from the Florida primary to the convention in which he is only the presumed nominee. Team Obama can poison the wells since most voters, as opposed to gop primary voters, don’t know much about the man. In contrast, there isn’t much to say about Obama that hasn’t been said.
It’s better for Romeny to lock it up early and distance himself from the loons.
It’s better for him to have an extended primary (June) so that the media attention can build and more voters can get comfortable with him.
Short is also better because it provides more motivation for 3rd party candidate (whatever their motivation) to enter. Any 3rd party candidate is likely to be …more extreme and help Flopney look more normal.
Of course, what would be best for Romney as candidate would be for the economy to tank next September, right as the president starts lying about having an affair with an intern. In short, whether the primary is long or short, the best thing for candidate Romhey has nothing to do with when he gets the nomination nor even himself.
how much does the fact that Romney is a Mormon affect his chances? The base may not have been wild about McCain but he was sufficiently vanilla Christian to at least not be weird to the evangelical right. If young voters are less enthusiastic about Obama this time and evangelicals are less enthusiastic about Romney is it pretty much a wash in that department? It’s not just about bothering to vote. It’s also about passion, bothering to write generous checks, volunteer and really work it.
It is absolutely for-sure that the VP will be someone respected by the Christian Right.
Perry proved to be a bozo. Palin is an idiot. Gingrich is self-destructing. Santorum is Catholic and hates contraceptives. Paul is just a crazy States-rights racist, not really a libertarian.
We’re working down a process of elimination, which is why I suggested Huckabee… Unless Huck is the compromise last white hope selected at a brokered convention. He’ll run to the left of Obama on the economy, and far to the right mixing religion with the Constitution women’s issues.
He’d have to give up his lucrative gig at Fox. Much easier way to make a living. And I don’t think there really are very many GOP pols to choose from, besides the Mormon ones, who aren’t suitably Christian so that doesn’t really narrow it down much.
Ooo…I know. How about a Mormon and the only remaining Jewish Republican in congress, both houses, Eric Cantor? The Christian right likes pro-Israel (too bad, Ron Paul) don’t they? Wouldn’t that be a fun ticket?